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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 13, 2024·Madison Square Garden, New York

New York Islanders 2, New York Rangers 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 65% of the time.

NYR winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:26Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Sorokin
  3. P1 0:47Shot by Panarin, saved by Sorokin
  4. P1 1:52Shot by Kakko, saved by Sorokin
  5. P1 1:54Shot by Cuylle, saved by Sorokin
  6. P1 2:41Shot by Miller, saved by Sorokin
  7. P1 5:36Shot by Bortuzzo, saved by Shesterkin
  8. P1 6:55Shot by Roslovic, saved by Sorokin
  9. P1 7:21Shot by Nelson, saved by Shesterkin
  10. P1 7:40Shot by Palmieri, saved by Shesterkin
  11. P1 8:36Shot by Fox, saved by Sorokin
  12. P1 8:44Shot by Horvat, saved by Shesterkin
  13. P1 9:54Shot by Palmieri, saved by Shesterkin
  14. P1 10:34Shot by Cizikas, saved by Shesterkin
  15. P1 10:56Shot by Pageau, saved by Shesterkin
  16. P1 10:57Shot by Pageau, saved by Shesterkin
  17. P1 13:09Shot by Lindgren, saved by Sorokin6v5
  18. P1 13:11Reilly: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Vesey, Wennberg, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Kakko · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Reilly, Fasching, Aho

  19. P1 14:19Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Sorokin5v4
  20. P1 14:26Shot by Trocheck, saved by Sorokin5v4
  21. P1 15:01Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Sorokin5v4
  22. P1 15:21Shot by Cizikas, saved by Shesterkin
  23. P1 15:39Shot by Romanov, saved by Shesterkin
  24. P1 16:17Shot by Barzal, saved by Shesterkin
  25. P1 16:47Goodrow: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Goodrow, Vesey, Fox, Lindgren, Rempe · NYI Cizikas, Nelson, Pelech, Horvat, Pulock, Barzal

  26. P1 19:20Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Sorokin
  27. P1 19:21Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Sorokin
  28. P1 19:31Kakko: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: NYR Wennberg, Fox, Lindgren, Kakko, Cuylle · NYI Bortuzzo, Palmieri, Nelson, Pelech, Fasching

  29. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 2:34Shot by Pageau, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  32. P2 3:19Lindgren: Boarding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Zibanejad, Trouba, Vesey, Lindgren · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pelech, Horvat, Barzal

  33. P2 3:46Shot by Nelson, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  34. P2 4:31Shot by Schneider, saved by Sorokin4v5
  35. P2 4:33Goal by Schneider (Zibanejad, Kreider)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Miller, Schneider · NYI Nelson, Pageau, Horvat, Pulock, Barzal

  36. P2 8:07Shot by Cuylle, saved by Sorokin
  37. P2 8:11Shot by Cuylle, saved by Sorokin
  38. P2 10:07Shot by Engvall, saved by Shesterkin
  39. P2 10:31Shot by Engvall, saved by Shesterkin
  40. P2 11:15Shot by Trocheck, saved by Sorokin
  41. P2 11:16Shot by Rempe, saved by Sorokin
  42. P2 11:38Shot by Nelson, saved by Shesterkin
  43. P2 11:42Goal by Nelson (Palmieri, Fasching)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Goodrow, Vesey, Fox, Lindgren, Rempe · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Fasching, Aho, Romanov

  44. P2 13:10Shot by Kreider, saved by Sorokin
  45. P2 13:48Shot by Reilly, saved by Shesterkin
  46. P2 14:49Shot by Vesey, saved by Sorokin
  47. P2 15:41Shot by Schneider, saved by Sorokin
  48. P2 16:56Shot by Trouba, saved by Sorokin
  49. P2 19:19Shot by Palmieri, saved by Shesterkin
  50. P2 19:32Goal by Nelson (Fasching, Palmieri)+25 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Vesey, Wennberg, Miller, Schneider, Cuylle · NYI Bortuzzo, Palmieri, Nelson, Reilly, Fasching

  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 1:52Shot by Kakko, saved by Sorokin
  54. P3 2:49Shot by Roslovic, saved by Sorokin
  55. P3 4:24Shot by Trocheck, saved by Sorokin
  56. P3 4:25Shot by Trocheck, saved by Sorokin
  57. P3 4:31Shot by Fox, saved by Sorokin
  58. P3 5:02Shot by Trouba, saved by Sorokin
  59. P3 6:04Shot by Miller, saved by Sorokin
  60. P3 6:14Shot by Panarin, saved by Sorokin
  61. P3 6:44Shot by Fasching, saved by Shesterkin
  62. P3 6:45Lindgren: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Fasching, Aho, Romanov

  63. P3 7:19Shot by Trouba, saved by Sorokin4v5
  64. P3 8:50Shot by Aho, saved by Shesterkin
  65. P3 9:16Shot by Barzal, saved by Shesterkin
  66. P3 9:42Shot by Bortuzzo, saved by Shesterkin
  67. P3 10:02Shot by Lee, saved by Shesterkin
  68. P3 10:37Shot by Palmieri, saved by Shesterkin
  69. P3 10:40Shot by Nelson, saved by Shesterkin
  70. P3 10:52Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Sorokin
  71. P3 11:11Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Sorokin
  72. P3 12:23Shot by Panarin, saved by Sorokin
  73. P3 12:50Shot by Vesey, saved by Sorokin
  74. P3 13:04Panarin: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Lafrenière · NYI Cizikas, Pelech, Horvat, Pulock, Barzal

  75. P3 13:04Shot by Pelech, saved by Shesterkinother
  76. P3 13:26Shot by Martin, saved by Shesterkin
  77. P3 14:04Shot by Schneider, saved by Sorokin
  78. P3 14:47Shot by Roslovic, saved by Sorokin
  79. P3 15:22Shot by Trouba, saved by Sorokin
  80. P3 15:26Shot by Roslovic, saved by Sorokin
  81. P3 15:43Goal by Panarin (Trocheck)+40 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Lafrenière · NYI Cizikas, Pelech, Horvat, Pulock, Barzal

  82. P3 17:47Shot by Cizikas, saved by Shesterkin
  83. P3 17:48Shot by Cizikas, saved by Shesterkin
  84. P3 18:29Shot by Pulock, saved by Shesterkin
  85. P3 19:10Shot by Vesey, saved by Sorokin
  86. P3 19:23Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Sorokin
  87. P3 0:00Period end
  88. OT 0:00Period start
  89. OT 2:27Shot by Reilly, saved by Shesterkin3v3
  90. OT 3:27Shot by Barzal, saved by Shesterkin3v3
  91. OT 4:19Shot by Nelson, saved by Shesterkin3v3
  92. OT 4:50Shot by Barzal, saved by Shesterkin3v3
  93. OT 5:00Period end3v3
  94. SO Period start
  95. SO Goal by Panarin, unassistedother
  96. SO Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Sorokinother
  97. SO Shot by Nelson, saved by Shesterkinother
  98. SO Goal by Trocheck, unassistedother
  99. SO Period endother
  100. SO Finalother