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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 15, 2024·American Airlines Center, Dallas

San Jose Sharks 2, Dallas Stars 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 63% of the time.

DAL winsSJS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:15Shot by Smith, saved by Blackwood
  3. P1 3:36Shot by Toffoli, saved by Oettinger
  4. P1 3:57Shot by Walman, saved by Oettinger
  5. P1 5:55Shot by Granlund, saved by Oettinger
  6. P1 5:57Shot by Eklund, saved by Oettinger
  7. P1 6:17Shot by Eklund, saved by Oettinger
  8. P1 6:25Shot by Granlund, saved by Oettinger
  9. P1 7:48Shot by Robertson, saved by Blackwood
  10. P1 9:51Shot by Toffoli, saved by Oettinger
  11. P1 11:30Goodrow: High sticking double minor (4 min)6v5

    On ice: DAL Benn, Lindell, Hintz, Robertson, Lundkvist, Stankoven · SJS Goodrow, Ferraro, Rutta, Dellandrea, Sturm

  12. P1 11:46Shot by Walman, saved by Oettinger5v4
  13. P1 12:21Shot by Hintz, saved by Blackwood5v4
  14. P1 12:30Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Blackwood5v4
  15. P1 12:53Shot by Stankoven, saved by Blackwood5v4
  16. P1 13:03Shot by Harley, saved by Blackwood5v4
  17. P1 14:46Shot by Robertson, saved by Blackwood5v4
  18. P1 16:14Shot by Lindell, saved by Blackwood
  19. P1 16:21Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Blackwood
  20. P1 18:18Shot by Eklund, saved by Oettinger
  21. P1 18:54Shot by Smith, saved by Blackwood
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 1:28Shot by Harley, saved by Blackwood
  25. P2 2:03Shot by Kunin, saved by Oettinger
  26. P2 3:17Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Oettinger
  27. P2 5:12Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Blackwood
  28. P2 5:22Shot by Ceci, saved by Oettinger
  29. P2 6:24Goal by Toffoli, unassisted+22 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen, Harley, Johnston · SJS Toffoli, Granlund, Ferraro, Rutta, Eklund

  30. P2 7:00Shot by Blackwell, saved by Blackwood
  31. P2 7:15Shot by Steel, saved by Blackwood
  32. P2 7:39Shot by Dadonov, saved by Blackwood
  33. P2 8:11Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Blackwood
  34. P2 8:13Rutta: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Benn, Heiskanen, Harley, Bourque, Stankoven · SJS Grundstrom, Ferraro, Rutta, Dellandrea, Sturm

  35. P2 8:52Shot by Stankoven, saved by Blackwood5v4
  36. P2 10:52Shot by Lindell, saved by Blackwood
  37. P2 12:03Goal by Duchene (Marchment, Stankoven)+24 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Duchene, Marchment, Heiskanen, Lyubushkin, Stankoven · SJS Toffoli, Granlund, Ceci, Thrun, Eklund

  38. P2 12:29Shot by Harley, saved by Blackwood
  39. P2 12:32Shot by Duchene, saved by Blackwood
  40. P2 14:33Shot by Bourque, saved by Blackwood
  41. P2 14:50Shot by Benn, saved by Blackwood
  42. P2 14:58Shot by Harley, saved by Blackwood
  43. P2 15:12Goal by Dellandrea (Sturm)+26 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Benn, Heiskanen, Harley, Bourque, Stankoven · SJS Walman, Grundstrom, Ferraro, Dellandrea, Sturm

  44. P2 17:12Goal by Hintz (Robertson, Johnston)+27 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Hintz, Robertson, Heiskanen, Harley, Johnston · SJS Goodrow, Benning, Wennberg, Kunin, Ferraro

  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:52Lundkvist: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Dadonov, Duchene, Lindell, Marchment, Lundkvist · SJS Toffoli, Granlund, Ceci, Walman, Eklund

  48. P3 1:16Blackwell: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DAL Smith, Blackwell, Steel, Harley · SJS Toffoli, Granlund, Walman, Zetterlund, Eklund

  49. P3 2:10Shot by Toffoli, saved by Oettinger3v5
  50. P3 3:23Shot by Hintz, saved by Blackwood
  51. P3 4:47Shot by Stankoven, saved by Blackwood
  52. P3 4:48Shot by Benn, saved by Blackwood
  53. P3 4:58Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Blackwood
  54. P3 5:22Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Oettinger
  55. P3 5:32Shot by Hintz, saved by Blackwood
  56. P3 6:40Shot by Goodrow, saved by Oettinger
  57. P3 6:41Shot by Goodrow, saved by Oettinger
  58. P3 6:43Shot by Goodrow, saved by Oettinger
  59. P3 7:41Shot by Grundstrom, saved by Oettinger
  60. P3 7:53Shot by Dadonov, saved by Blackwood
  61. P3 8:24Duchene: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Dadonov, Duchene, Marchment, Heiskanen, Harley · SJS Ceci, Ferraro, Kostin, Zetterlund, Smith

  62. P3 8:48Shot by Granlund, saved by Oettinger4v5
  63. P3 9:27Shot by Eklund, saved by Oettinger4v5
  64. P3 9:36Shot by Walman, saved by Oettinger4v5
  65. P3 10:38Shot by Goodrow, saved by Oettinger
  66. P3 13:08Shot by Dadonov, saved by Blackwood
  67. P3 13:25Shot by Johnston, saved by Blackwood
  68. P3 17:53Shot by Robertson, saved by Blackwood
  69. P3 18:02Shot by Kostin, saved by Oettinger
  70. P3 18:27Shot by Stankoven, saved by Blackwood
  71. P3 18:43Shot by Stankoven, saved by Blackwood
  72. P3 19:52Shot by Lindell, saved by Blackwood
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. OT 0:00Period start
  75. OT 0:19Shot by Ceci, saved by Oettinger3v3
  76. OT 2:56Shot by Duchene, saved by Blackwood3v3
  77. OT 3:34Shot by Wennberg, saved by Oettinger3v3
  78. OT 4:16Kostin: Interference (2 min)3v3

    On ice: DAL Duchene, Robertson, Harley · SJS Granlund, Walman, Kostin

  79. OT 5:00Period end4v3
  80. SO Period start
  81. SO Goal by Robertson, unassistedother
  82. SO Shot by Smith, saved by Oettingerother
  83. SO Goal by Duchene, unassistedother
  84. SO Goal by Granlund, unassistedother
  85. SO Goal by Johnston, unassistedother
  86. SO Period endother
  87. SO Finalother