Tue, Oct 22, 2024·United Center, Chicago
Vancouver Canucks 6, Chicago Blackhawks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 411 | 010 | 29 | 630 |
| CHI | 213 | 012 | 19 | 334 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:21VANDanton HeinenAssists: Teddy Blueger, Kiefer Sherwood · Wrist, 0.20 xG1–0
- P1 6:01VANJ.T. MillerPPAssists: Quinn Hughes, Conor Garland · Snap, 0.08 xG2–0
- P1 9:25CHIRyan DonatoAssists: Jason Dickinson, Alex Vlasic · Snap, 0.16 xG2–1
- P1 10:46VANDanton HeinenAssists: Filip Hronek, Kiefer Sherwood · Deflected, 0.10 xG3–1
- P1 13:29CHITaylor HallAssists: Connor Murphy · Wrist, 0.09 xG3–2
- P1 15:17VANConor GarlandGWGAssists: Elias Pettersson, J.T. Miller · Wrist, 0.13 xG4–2
- P3 10:29VANBrock BoeserPPAssists: J.T. Miller, Quinn Hughes · Tip-in, 0.10 xG5–2
- P3 10:58VANPius SuterAssists: Erik Brannstrom, Nils Aman · Wrist, 0.15 xG6–2
- P3 14:04CHITyler BertuzziPPAssists: Nick Foligno, Seth Jones · Wrist, 0.27 xG6–3
Penalties (8)
- P1 4:39CHIJason Dickinson: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 10:46CHIAndreas Athanasiou: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- P2 11:46VANCarson Soucy: Tripping2 min
- P2 17:04VANErik Brannstrom: Holding2 min
- P3 3:35VANJake DeBrusk: Hooking2 min
- P3 10:16CHIConnor Murphy: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 12:39VANTeddy Blueger: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 13:05VANFilip Hronek: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Blueger won the faceoff against Bedard
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestGarland – Pettersson – Hoglander9:52
xG 0.99–0.44 (69%)attempts 12–16goals 0–0
- Blueger – Heinen – Sherwood10:48
xG 0.62–0.36 (63%)attempts 11–11goals 2–0
- Suter – Aman – Bains7:31
xG 0.18–0.22 (44%)attempts 9–5goals 1–1
- Miller – Boeser – DeBrusk7:29
xG 0.00–0.41 (0%)attempts 5–5goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestHronek – Hughes13:52
xG 0.89–0.21 (81%)attempts 16–9goals 2–0
- Myers – Soucy13:57
xG 0.62–0.71 (47%)attempts 8–14goals 0–2
- Desharnais – Brannstrom11:31
xG 0.23–0.33 (41%)attempts 17–11goals 1–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestDickinson – Donato – Mikheyev9:57
xG 0.23–0.05 (83%)attempts 5–4goals 1–0
- Hall – Bertuzzi – Reichel3:03
xG 0.05–0.00 (99%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Maroon – Smith – Reichel5:58
xG 0.17–0.20 (46%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
- Maroon – Smith – Athanasiou2:34
xG 0.11–0.18 (37%)attempts 4–4goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMurphy – Kaiser11:18
xG 0.30–0.04 (87%)attempts 10–7goals 1–0
- Murphy – Vlasic4:06
xG 0.01–0.03 (31%)attempts 1–5goals 0–0
- Jones – Vlasic11:52
xG 0.69–0.79 (47%)attempts 12–14goals 1–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).