Thu, Oct 24, 2024·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
San Jose Sharks 2, Los Angeles Kings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 81% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 07 | 17 | 112 | 226 |
| LAK | 317 | 07 | 06 | 330 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:31LAKJordan SpenceAssists: Trevor Moore, Phillip Danault · Snap, 0.09 xG0–1
- P1 8:47LAKWarren FoegeleAssists: Alex Laferriere · Backhand, 0.12 xG0–2
- P1 11:36LAKWarren FoegeleGWGAssists: Alex Laferriere, Brandt Clarke · Tip-in, 0.11 xG0–3
- P2 10:05SJSMikael GranlundPPAssists: Jack Thompson, Alexander Wennberg · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–3
- P3 19:00SJSMikael GranlundPPAssists: Jack Thompson, Alexander Wennberg · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–3
Penalties (12)
- P1 9:17LAKAndre Lee: Fighting5 min
- P1 9:17SJSLuke Kunin: Fighting5 min
- P1 15:55LAKTrevor Lewis: High sticking2 min
- P1 19:23LAKAdrian Kempe: High sticking2 min
- P2 0:53SJSJake Walman: Tripping2 min
- P2 8:37LAKKyle Burroughs: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 11:20SJSDanil Gushchin: Hooking2 min
- P2 14:15SJSTyler Toffoli: Slashing2 min
- P2 14:15LAKTanner Jeannot: High sticking2 min
- P2 19:04LAKTrevor Lewis: Hooking2 min
- P3 14:06LAKJordan Spence: Cross checking2 min
- P3 18:55LAKKevin Fiala: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Wennberg
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- Goodrow – Grundstrom – Dellandrea7:47
xG 0.00–0.11 (0%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Kunin – Kostin – Sturm2:22
xG 0.04–0.20 (17%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Wennberg – Zetterlund – Gushchin5:14
xG 0.15–0.53 (22%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Toffoli – Granlund – Eklund9:04
xG 0.20–1.22 (14%)attempts 7–18goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- Ferraro – Rutta13:00
xG 0.39–0.42 (48%)attempts 15–5goals 0–0
- Ceci – Walman12:41
xG 0.38–0.88 (30%)attempts 13–14goals 0–1
- Thrun – Thompson8:49
xG 0.20–0.89 (18%)attempts 8–13goals 0–2
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestFoegele – Turcotte – Laferriere9:58
xG 0.81–0.25 (76%)attempts 13–11goals 2–0
- Danault – Fiala – Moore9:01
xG 0.56–0.08 (88%)attempts 9–6goals 1–0
- Lewis – Jeannot – Lee6:14
xG 0.44–0.18 (71%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Byfield9:36
xG 0.50–0.37 (57%)attempts 8–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBurroughs – Gavrikov11:34
xG 1.16–0.22 (84%)attempts 16–12goals 0–0
- Edmundson – Clarke11:28
xG 0.84–0.21 (80%)attempts 13–6goals 0–0
- Anderson – Spence13:30
xG 0.46–0.47 (49%)attempts 8–18goals 2–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 81% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).