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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 26, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Detroit Red Wings 3, Buffalo Sabres 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 73% of the time.

BUF winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:50Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Luukkonen
  3. P1 1:35Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Lyon
  4. P1 2:38Kasper: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn · DET Holl, Gustafsson, Veleno, Berggren, Kasper

  5. P1 2:39Shot by Thompson, saved by Lyon5v4
  6. P1 3:32Shot by Thompson, saved by Lyon5v4
  7. P1 3:50Shot by Cozens, saved by Lyon5v4
  8. P1 4:01Shot by Thompson, saved by Lyon5v4
  9. P1 4:04Goal by Zucker (Thompson, Dahlin)5v4+10 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Thompson, Dahlin, Cozens, Peterka · DET Petry, Chiarot, Larkin, Fischer

  10. P1 5:24Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Lyon
  11. P1 5:34Shot by Cozens, saved by Lyon
  12. P1 5:55Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Luukkonen
  13. P1 6:41Shot by Byram, saved by Lyon
  14. P1 7:16Shot by Krebs, saved by Lyon
  15. P1 7:25Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Lyon
  16. P1 9:57Shot by Thompson, saved by Lyon
  17. P1 11:08Shot by Berggren, saved by Luukkonen
  18. P1 12:00Goal by Thompson (Peterka, Dahlin)+11 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Peterka · DET Veleno, Berggren, Seider, Edvinsson, Kasper

  19. P1 12:09Shot by Seider, saved by Luukkonen
  20. P1 13:41Shot by Greenway, saved by Lyon
  21. P1 14:04Shot by Dahlin, saved by Lyon
  22. P1 14:18Shot by Power, saved by Lyon
  23. P1 14:34Shot by Larkin, saved by Luukkonen
  24. P1 14:43Goal by DeBrincat (Seider, Raymond)+12 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Greenway, McLeod, Byram, Power, Kulich · DET Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson

  25. P1 15:11Berggren: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Clifton, Samuelsson, Cozens, Quinn · DET Petry, Chiarot, Tarasenko, Berggren, Kasper

  26. P1 17:13Shot by Compher, saved by Luukkonen
  27. P1 19:38Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Luukkonen
  28. P1 19:58Shot by Raymond, saved by Luukkonen
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 1:35Shot by Tuch, saved by Lyon
  32. P2 2:04Shot by Kulich, saved by Lyon
  33. P2 2:38Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Lyon
  34. P2 2:42Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Lyon
  35. P2 3:20Goal by Thompson (Dahlin)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Peterka · DET Kane, Holl, Gustafsson, Compher, Veleno

  36. P2 3:51Goal by Rasmussen (Seider, Edvinsson)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn · DET Rasmussen, Berggren, Seider, Edvinsson, Kasper

  37. P2 4:04Shot by Chiarot, saved by Luukkonen
  38. P2 4:42Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Lyon
  39. P2 5:12Shot by Tuch, saved by Lyon
  40. P2 5:52Shot by Compher, saved by Luukkonen
  41. P2 5:59Shot by Seider, saved by Luukkonen
  42. P2 6:30Shot by Power, saved by Lyon
  43. P2 6:55Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Luukkonen
  44. P2 7:43Shot by Kulich, saved by Lyon
  45. P2 8:14Shot by Larkin, saved by Luukkonen
  46. P2 8:30Shot by Quinn, saved by Lyon
  47. P2 9:38Compher: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Lafferty, Malenstyn, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Krebs · DET Kane, Compher, Veleno, Seider, Edvinsson

  48. P2 11:02Goal by Raymond, unassisted5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Krebs, Peterka · DET Petry, Chiarot, Raymond, Kasper

  49. P2 11:36Shot by Veleno, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  50. P2 12:54Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Lyon
  51. P2 14:59Shot by Tuch, saved by Lyon
  52. P2 15:13Shot by Larkin, saved by Luukkonen
  53. P2 15:43Shot by Greenway, saved by Lyon
  54. P2 15:54Goal by Byram (Power, Cozens)+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Byram, Cozens, Quinn, Power, Kulich · DET Petry, Chiarot, Copp, Fischer, Rasmussen

  55. P2 16:20Shot by Krebs, saved by Lyon
  56. P2 16:36Shot by Berggren, saved by Luukkonen
  57. P2 17:02Shot by Larkin, saved by Luukkonen
  58. P2 17:30Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Lyon
  59. P2 17:41Shot by Zucker, saved by Lyon
  60. P2 18:53Cozens: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Dahlin, Byram, Cozens, Quinn, Kulich · DET Petry, Chiarot, Copp, Fischer, Rasmussen

  61. P2 19:09Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  62. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  63. P3 0:00Period start
  64. P3 2:07Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Luukkonen
  65. P3 3:08Shot by Chiarot, saved by Luukkonen
  66. P3 4:45Shot by Byram, saved by Lyon
  67. P3 5:07Shot by Quinn, saved by Lyon
  68. P3 8:35Lafferty: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Lafferty, Malenstyn, Dahlin, Krebs, Byram · DET Holl, Gustafsson, Larkin, DeBrincat, Raymond

  69. P3 9:03Shot by Seider, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  70. P3 11:29Larkin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Dahlin, Byram, Quinn, Peterka · DET Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson

  71. P3 12:58Shot by Tuch, saved by Lyon5v4
  72. P3 13:30Shot by Tuch, saved by Lyon
  73. P3 14:54Shot by Byram, saved by Lyon
  74. P3 18:20Shot by Larkin, saved by Luukkonen5v6
  75. P3 19:12Goal by Quinn, unassisted5v6+4 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Samuelsson, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka · DET Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Rasmussen, Seider, Raymond

  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final