Sat, Oct 26, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Detroit Red Wings 3, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 73% of the time.
64%
9%
20%
BUF winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24:35 | 0.07 | 64.0% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:49 | 0.02 | 62.2% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21:40 | 0.40 | 73.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 20:14 | 0.37 | 69.6% | +30.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:43 | 0.03 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:41 | 0.44 | 68.6% | +11.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:36 | 0.02 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:12 | 0.01 | 11.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:18 | 0.08 | 20.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:45 | 0.00 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:59 | 0.05 | 6.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:23 | 0.00 | 19.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:19 | 0.05 | 7.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:06 | 0.10 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:56 | 0.00 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 11:40 | 0.23 | 52.6% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:12 | 0.00 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:46 | 0.04 | 17.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 38 | 34 | 4 | .895 | 2.82 | −1.2 | 58:40 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 23:33 | 0.06 | 62.1% | +34.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 22:29 | 0.05 | 69.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 21:36 | 0.15 | 76.7% | +11.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:16 | 0.05 | 77.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 20:09 | 0.38 | 73.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:59 | 0.03 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 18:36 | 0.54 | 86.0% | +34.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:52 | 0.21 | 19.6% | +21.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:39 | 0.38 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:32 | 0.12 | 29.0% | +21.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:43 | 0.39 | 49.8% | +10.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:27 | 0.01 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:25 | 0.43 | 27.5% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:52 | 0.11 | 73.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:29 | 0.02 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:37 | 0.02 | 33.6% | +21.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:52 | 0.00 | 73.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:54 | 0.23 | 73.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 1.91 | −1.1 | 60:00 |