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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 2, 2024·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Buffalo Sabres 1, Detroit Red Wings 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 56% of the time.

DET winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:48Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Talbot
  3. P1 1:46Shot by Berggren, saved by Luukkonen
  4. P1 2:35Kane: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Edvinsson · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Krebs, Byram, Peterka

  5. P1 2:40Shot by Cozens, saved by Talbot4v5
  6. P1 4:03Shot by Quinn, saved by Talbot4v5
  7. P1 4:41Shot by Byram, saved by Talbot
  8. P1 5:14Shot by Johansson, saved by Luukkonen
  9. P1 8:41Shot by Berggren, saved by Luukkonen
  10. P1 8:45Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Luukkonen
  11. P1 8:59Shot by Greenway, saved by Talbot
  12. P1 10:01Shot by Zucker, saved by Talbot
  13. P1 10:36Shot by Lafferty, saved by Talbot
  14. P1 10:57Malenstyn: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Gustafsson, Fischer, Rasmussen, Veleno · BUF Lafferty, Malenstyn, Dahlin, Krebs, Byram

  15. P1 11:02Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  16. P1 11:13Shot by Larkin, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  17. P1 11:39Goal by Tuch, unassisted5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · BUF Tuch, Jokiharju, McLeod, Byram

  18. P1 12:50Shot by Dahlin, saved by Talbot5v4
  19. P1 13:30Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Luukkonen
  20. P1 14:03Shot by Tuch, saved by Talbot
  21. P1 17:37Shot by Zucker, saved by Talbot
  22. P1 18:29Chiarot: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Petry, Chiarot, Fischer, Rasmussen, Veleno · BUF Tuch, Greenway, Thompson, Bryson, McLeod, Dahlin

  23. P1 19:43Shot by Quinn, saved by Talbot4v5
  24. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:38Shot by Tuch, saved by Talbot
  27. P2 1:24Shot by Kane, saved by Luukkonen
  28. P2 5:11Shot by Cozens, saved by Talbot
  29. P2 7:14Power: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Petry, Chiarot, Tarasenko, Berggren, Kasper · BUF Tuch, Malenstyn, Thompson, Jokiharju, Power

  30. P2 7:49Goal by Larkin (Kane)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · BUF Greenway, Samuelsson, Byram, Cozens

  31. P2 9:10Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Luukkonen
  32. P2 9:25Shot by Johansson, saved by Luukkonen
  33. P2 11:10Shot by Cozens, saved by Talbot
  34. P2 11:18Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Talbot
  35. P2 11:33Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Luukkonen
  36. P2 13:01Shot by Dahlin, saved by Talbot
  37. P2 13:53Shot by Seider, saved by Luukkonen
  38. P2 14:25Quinn: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: DET Copp, Compher, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson · BUF Jokiharju, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  39. P2 14:38Goal by Larkin (DeBrincat, Raymond)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · BUF Greenway, Samuelsson, Byram, Cozens

  40. P2 15:25Shot by Raymond, saved by Luukkonen
  41. P2 15:48Shot by Kasper, saved by Luukkonen
  42. P2 18:06Shot by Peterka, saved by Talbot
  43. P2 19:59Shot by Greenway, saved by Talbot
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 1:31Shot by Zucker, saved by Talbot
  47. P3 1:49Shot by Kasper, saved by Luukkonen
  48. P3 3:33Shot by Peterka, saved by Talbot
  49. P3 3:52Shot by Dahlin, saved by Talbot
  50. P3 4:34Shot by Berggren, saved by Luukkonen
  51. P3 5:31Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Talbot
  52. P3 6:31Shot by Dahlin, saved by Talbot
  53. P3 8:10Shot by Thompson, saved by Talbot
  54. P3 8:57Shot by Kulich, saved by Talbot
  55. P3 9:28Shot by Chiarot, saved by Luukkonen
  56. P3 10:11Shot by Tuch, saved by Talbot
  57. P3 10:55Shot by Veleno, saved by Luukkonen
  58. P3 13:36Shot by Power, saved by Talbot
  59. P3 15:14Shot by Kane, saved by Luukkonen
  60. P3 15:46Shot by Seider, saved by Luukkonen
  61. P3 15:57Shot by Larkin, saved by Luukkonen
  62. P3 17:55Shot by Thompson, saved by Talbot5v6
  63. P3 17:57Shot by Peterka, saved by Talbot5v6
  64. P3 17:59Shot by Peterka, saved by Talbot5v6
  65. P3 18:35Shot by Tuch, saved by Talbot5v6
  66. P3 19:58Greenway: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Copp, Compher, Seider, Raymond · BUF Zucker, Tuch, Greenway, Dahlin, Peterka, Power

  67. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  68. P3 0:00Final5v4