Tue, Nov 5, 2024·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Los Angeles Kings 5, Minnesota Wild 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 86% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 02 | 212 | 314 | 528 |
| MIN | 09 | 18 | 07 | 124 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 7:31MINZach BogosianAssists: Frederick Gaudreau, Ryan Hartman · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–1
- P2 14:30LAKWarren FoegeleAssists: Alex Laferriere, Quinton Byfield · Backhand, 0.19 xG1–1
- P2 18:55LAKKevin FialaPPGWGAssists: Alex Laferriere, Anze Kopitar · Snap, 0.11 xG2–1
- P3 7:39LAKTrevor LewisAssists: Andre Lee, Tanner Jeannot · Wrist, 0.23 xG3–1
- P3 14:12LAKQuinton ByfieldAssists: Vladislav Gavrikov, Trevor Moore · Tip-in, 0.06 xG4–1
- P3 16:14LAKTrevor LewisENAssists: Phillip Danault, Trevor Moore · Wrist, 0.55 xG5–1
Penalties (7)
- P1 18:04LAKJoel Edmundson: Tripping2 min
- P2 4:17LAKBrandt Clarke: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:22LAKKyle Burroughs: Holding2 min
- P2 17:38MINMarco Rossi: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 2:46LAKAlex Laferriere: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 8:14LAKPhillip Danault: Roughing2 min
- P3 8:14MINMats Zuccarello: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Eriksson Ek
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestLewis – Jeannot – Lee3:18
xG 0.47–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 1–0
- Foegele – Byfield – Laferriere9:12
xG 0.57–0.16 (78%)attempts 7–9goals 1–0
- Kopitar – Fiala – Kempe7:11
xG 0.42–0.07 (85%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Lee3:36
xG 0.14–0.03 (84%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestAnderson – Spence10:47
xG 0.63–0.24 (72%)attempts 10–10goals 1–0
- Edmundson – Clarke11:29
xG 0.46–0.10 (82%)attempts 9–7goals 0–0
- Edmundson – Gavrikov2:55
xG 0.29–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–1goals 1–0
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- Foligno – Hartman – Gaudreau8:11
xG 0.08–0.08 (52%)attempts 7–1goals 1–0
- Trenin – Lauko – Khusnutdinov8:15
xG 0.22–0.39 (37%)attempts 3–7goals 0–1
- Johansson – Eriksson Ek – Boldy11:39
xG 0.15–0.46 (24%)attempts 8–11goals 0–0
- Zuccarello – Kaprizov – Rossi7:11
xG 0.05–0.47 (10%)attempts 5–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSpurgeon – Brodin16:04
xG 0.61–0.37 (62%)attempts 18–13goals 0–1
- Middleton – Faber14:19
xG 0.19–0.85 (18%)attempts 8–19goals 0–0
- Bogosian – Merrill13:34
xG 0.11–1.07 (10%)attempts 7–13goals 1–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 86% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).