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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 6, 2024·Capital One Arena, Washington

Nashville Predators 2, Washington Capitals 3

Away

Nashville Predators

2

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 76% of the time.

WSH winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:46Shot by Protas, saved by Saros
  3. P1 0:55Shot by Marchessault, saved by Thompson
  4. P1 2:06Shot by Schenn, saved by Thompson
  5. P1 2:19Shot by L'Heureux, saved by Thompson
  6. P1 3:12Goal by Parssinen (Evangelista, Tomasino)+14 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Dowd, Raddysh, Duhaime, Fehérváry · NSH Josi, Skjei, Tomasino, Parssinen, Evangelista

  7. P1 3:42Shot by McMichael, saved by Saros
  8. P1 4:20Shot by Wilson, saved by Saros
  9. P1 4:24Shot by Roy, saved by Saros
  10. P1 4:26Goal by McMichael (Roy, Dubois)+14 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Wilson, Roy, Dubois, Sandin, McMichael · NSH Nyquist, Marchessault, Sissons, Lauzon, Carrier

  11. P1 6:34Shot by Del Gaizo, saved by Thompson
  12. P1 6:44Del Gaizo: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Wilson, Roy, Dubois, Sandin, McMichael · NSH Stamkos, Schenn, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Del Gaizo

  13. P1 7:23Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Saros5v4
  14. P1 7:31Shot by Nyquist, saved by Thompson5v4
  15. P1 7:52Shot by Schenn, saved by Thompson5v4
  16. P1 8:49Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Saros
  17. P1 9:54Shot by Dowd, saved by Saros
  18. P1 10:22Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Saros
  19. P1 10:23Shot by Milano, saved by Saros
  20. P1 10:31Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Saros
  21. P1 10:37Shot by Milano, saved by Saros
  22. P1 10:39Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Saros
  23. P1 11:56Shot by Roy, saved by Saros
  24. P1 13:29Shot by Skjei, saved by Thompson
  25. P1 14:11Mangiapane: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Dowd, Milano, Mangiapane, Fehérváry · NSH Stamkos, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Lauzon, Carrier

  26. P1 14:33Shot by Marchessault, saved by Thompson4v5
  27. P1 14:42Marchessault: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Dowd, Duhaime, Fehérváry · NSH Stamkos, Josi, O'Reilly, Marchessault, Forsberg

  28. P1 15:32Shot by Sissons, saved by Thompson4v4
  29. P1 16:10Shot by Fehérváry, saved by Saros4v4
  30. P1 17:19Shot by Dowd, saved by Saros
  31. P1 18:06Lauzon: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Milano, Mangiapane, Sandin, Lapierre · NSH Lauzon, Carrier, Tomasino, Parssinen, Evangelista

  32. P1 18:51Shot by McCarron, saved by Thompson5v4
  33. P1 19:32Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Saros5v4
  34. P1 19:41Shot by Lapierre, saved by Saros5v4
  35. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  36. P2 0:00Period start
  37. P2 0:08Shot by Dubois, saved by Saros
  38. P2 1:44Shot by Tomasino, saved by Thompson
  39. P2 2:40Shot by Josi, saved by Thompson
  40. P2 3:16Shot by L'Heureux, saved by Thompson
  41. P2 5:45Shot by Skjei, saved by Thompson
  42. P2 6:06Shot by Lapierre, saved by Saros
  43. P2 6:12Shot by Lapierre, saved by Saros
  44. P2 8:11Shot by McMichael, saved by Saros
  45. P2 8:12Shot by McMichael, saved by Saros
  46. P2 8:13Shot by McMichael, saved by Saros
  47. P2 10:42Shot by Fehérváry, saved by Saros
  48. P2 11:20Shot by Josi, saved by Thompson
  49. P2 11:32Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Saros
  50. P2 12:48Shot by Evangelista, saved by Thompson
  51. P2 13:11Shot by Roy, saved by Saros
  52. P2 14:08Shot by Raddysh, saved by Saros
  53. P2 14:28Shot by L'Heureux, saved by Thompson
  54. P2 14:48Shot by McMichael, saved by Saros
  55. P2 14:51Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Saros
  56. P2 15:03Goal by Protas (Ovechkin, Strome)+21 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, van Riemsdyk, Strome, Fehérváry, Protas · NSH Schenn, Nyquist, Marchessault, Parssinen, Del Gaizo

  57. P2 15:34Goal by Stamkos (Carrier, O'Reilly)+21 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Wilson, van Riemsdyk, Dubois, Fehérváry, McMichael · NSH Stamkos, O'Reilly, Skjei, Forsberg, Carrier

  58. P2 17:23Shot by Forsberg, saved by Thompson
  59. P2 18:13Shot by Josi, saved by Thompson
  60. P2 18:14Shot by Smith, saved by Thompson
  61. P2 19:20Shot by Forsberg, saved by Thompson
  62. P2 19:22Roy: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Milano, Strome, Roy, Sandin, Protas · NSH Stamkos, Josi, O'Reilly, Skjei, Forsberg

  63. P2 19:45Shot by Josi, saved by Thompson4v5
  64. P2 19:58Shot by Carlson, saved by Saros4v5
  65. P2 0:00Forsberg: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Dowd, Duhaime, Fehérváry · NSH Stamkos, Josi, O'Reilly, Marchessault, Forsberg

  66. P2 0:00Period end4v4
  67. P3 0:00Period start
  68. P3 3:29Shot by Evangelista, saved by Thompson
  69. P3 4:00Carrier: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Alexeyev, Protas, Lapierre · NSH Josi, McCarron, Carrier, Tomasino, L'Heureux

  70. P3 4:32Shot by Carlson, saved by Saros5v4
  71. P3 5:20Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Thompson5v4
  72. P3 7:28Shot by Skjei, saved by Thompson
  73. P3 7:59Shot by Dubois, saved by Saros
  74. P3 8:09Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Thompson
  75. P3 8:16Shot by Del Gaizo, saved by Thompson
  76. P3 10:01Shot by Smith, saved by Thompson
  77. P3 10:25Goal by Ovechkin (Strome, Fehérváry)+30 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Strome, Fehérváry, Protas · NSH Stamkos, Josi, O'Reilly, Skjei, Forsberg

  78. P3 12:07Shot by Marchessault, saved by Thompson
  79. P3 12:13Evangelista: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Dowd, Roy, Alexeyev, Protas · NSH Schenn, Marchessault, Parssinen, Del Gaizo, Evangelista

  80. P3 15:31Shot by Skjei, saved by Thompson
  81. P3 15:40Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Thompson
  82. P3 18:18Shot by Carlson, saved by Saros
  83. P3 18:47Shot by Stamkos, saved by Thompson5v6
  84. P3 19:51Shot by Forsberg, saved by Thompson5v6
  85. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  86. P3 0:00Final5v6