Sat, Nov 9, 2024·Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Florida Panthers 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 50% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 111 | 113 | 17 | 06 | 1 | 337 |
| FLA | 010 | 37 | 011 | 03 | 2 | 431 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:57PHIJoel FarabeeAssists: Scott Laughton, Bobby Brink · Snap, 0.26 xG1–0
- P2 5:32FLANate SchmidtAssists: Evan Rodrigues, Aleksander Barkov · Slap, 0.02 xG1–1
- P2 8:40FLADmitry KulikovAssists: Evan Rodrigues, Sam Reinhart · Snap, 0.17 xG1–2
- P2 13:00PHIAnthony RichardAssists: Travis Konecny, Rasmus Ristolainen · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–2
- P2 14:56FLASam BennettAssists: Carter Verhaeghe, Niko Mikkola · Slap, 0.21 xG2–3
- P3 9:47PHIGarnet HathawayAssists: Scott Laughton, Nick Seeler · Backhand, 0.03 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. FLA Aleksander Barkov scored
- 2. PHI Travis Konecny stopped
- 3. FLA Sam Reinhart stopped
- 4. PHI Owen Tippett scored
- 5. FLA Anton Lundell stopped
- 6. PHI Bobby Brink stopped
- 7. FLA Matthew Tkachuk stopped
- 8. PHI Sean Couturier stopped
- 9. FLA Evan Rodrigues scored
- 10. PHI Morgan Frost stopped
Penalties (6)
- P1 6:38FLAEvan Rodrigues: Tripping2 min
- P1 13:09PHINick Seeler: Interference2 min
- P2 8:40PHIJoel Farabee: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- P3 7:31FLAAleksander Barkov: Interference2 min
- P3 8:08PHITravis Konecny: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 8:08FLANiko Mikkola: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Nosek won the faceoff against Cates
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestLaughton – Farabee – Brink10:03
xG 0.84–0.76 (53%)attempts 10–15goals 1–3
- Richard – Frost – Foerster6:27
xG 0.00–0.13 (3%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
- Couturier – Konecny – Tippett15:06
xG 0.59–0.76 (44%)attempts 15–22goals 0–0
- Deslauriers – Hathaway – Cates4:57
xG 0.00–0.25 (0%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSanheim – Andrae6:53
xG 0.50–0.00 (100%)attempts 14–1goals 0–0
- Zamula – Andrae7:53
xG 0.14–0.28 (33%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Sanheim – Drysdale15:02
xG 0.30–0.67 (31%)attempts 9–25goals 0–1
Florida Panthers
Forward lines
- bestBoqvist – Luostarinen – Lundell13:14
xG 0.89–0.49 (65%)attempts 16–9goals 0–0
- Nosek – Greer – Gadjovich6:27
xG 0.26–0.01 (96%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Verhaeghe – Bennett – Tkachuk10:11
xG 0.49–0.40 (55%)attempts 11–7goals 1–1
- Barkov – Reinhart – Rodrigues12:27
xG 0.41–0.56 (42%)attempts 20–10goals 2–1
Defence pairs
- bestKulikov – Mikkola17:14
xG 1.28–0.39 (77%)attempts 24–9goals 2–0
- Ekblad – Forsling19:49
xG 0.61–0.84 (42%)attempts 22–19goals 0–0
- Schmidt – Balinskis10:53
xG 0.04–0.51 (7%)attempts 6–10goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 50% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).