Sat, Nov 9, 2024·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Columbus Blue Jackets 2, Los Angeles Kings 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 83% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 17 | 011 | 18 | 226 |
| LAK | 06 | 210 | 37 | 523 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:26CBJDmitri VoronkovAssists: Justin Danforth · Tip-in, 0.10 xG1–0
- P2 4:16LAKVladislav GavrikovAssists: Adrian Kempe, Anze Kopitar · Snap, 0.04 xG1–1
- P2 6:12LAKWarren FoegeleAssists: Akil Thomas, Samuel Helenius · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–2
- P3 0:30LAKTrevor MooreSHGWGAssists: Phillip Danault · Snap, 0.06 xG1–3
- P3 0:49CBJIvan ProvorovPPAssists: Justin Danforth, Adam Fantilli · Wrist, 0.23 xG2–3
- P3 7:05LAKAlex LaferriereAssists: Joel Edmundson, Warren Foegele · Tip-in, 0.08 xG2–4
- P3 19:29LAKBrandt ClarkeENAssists: Anze Kopitar, Adrian Kempe · Wrist, 0.70 xG2–5
Penalties (9)
- P1 8:55CBJMikael Pyyhtia: Hooking2 min
- P1 15:40CBJSean Monahan: Interference2 min
- P1 16:43LAKAdrian Kempe: Interference2 min
- P2 9:06LAKAndreas Englund: Fighting5 min
- P2 9:06CBJMathieu Olivier: Fighting5 min
- P2 15:29CBJAdam Fantilli: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 19:40LAKSamuel Helenius: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P3 3:06LAKKevin Fiala: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 17:42CBJSean Monahan: Tripping2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Monahan won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestKuraly – Labanc – Aston-Reese8:00
xG 0.36–0.18 (66%)attempts 16–5goals 0–1
- Olivier – Danforth – Voronkov7:28
xG 0.13–0.12 (51%)attempts 6–3goals 1–0
- Pyyhtia – Sillinger – Fantilli11:28
xG 0.11–0.28 (28%)attempts 5–10goals 0–0
- Monahan – Marchenko – Chinakhov10:37
xG 0.27–0.51 (35%)attempts 11–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSeverson – Provorov2:12
xG 0.13–0.04 (77%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Severson – Christiansen13:08
xG 0.45–0.41 (52%)attempts 14–11goals 1–1
- Johnson – Jiricek6:22
xG 0.09–0.11 (45%)attempts 8–4goals 0–1
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestDanault – Fiala – Moore8:49
xG 0.43–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Thomas – Lee – Helenius5:30
xG 0.10–0.04 (73%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Lewis – Kempe7:22
xG 0.26–0.22 (55%)attempts 7–8goals 1–0
- Foegele – Byfield – Laferriere8:45
xG 0.27–0.29 (48%)attempts 5–8goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestGavrikov – Anderson16:37
xG 0.49–0.29 (63%)attempts 12–17goals 1–0
- Edmundson – Clarke14:40
xG 0.50–0.38 (57%)attempts 13–15goals 2–1
- Edmundson – Spence3:48
xG 0.08–0.21 (29%)attempts 3–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 83% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).