Mon, Nov 25, 2024·Honda Center, Anaheim
Seattle Kraken 3, Anaheim Ducks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 16 | 011 | 211 | 328 |
| ANA | 16 | 16 | 011 | 223 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:12SEAShane WrightAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand, Ryker Evans · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–0
- P1 15:59ANATrevor ZegrasAssists: Troy Terry, Brian Dumoulin · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–1
- P2 6:17ANAFrank VatranoAssists: Olen Zellweger, Troy Terry · Tip-in, 0.07 xG1–2
- P3 0:46SEAAndre BurakovskyAssists: Jared McCann, Ryker Evans · Tip-in, 0.11 xG2–2
- P3 1:10SEABrandon MontourGWGAssists: Shane Wright · Slap, 0.02 xG3–2
Penalties (8)
- P1 12:58ANATroy Terry: Interference2 min
- P2 11:35ANARyan Strome: Hooking2 min
- P2 15:23SEATye Kartye: Interference2 min
- P2 15:23ANARadko Gudas: Roughing2 min
- P2 15:23SEATye Kartye: Roughing2 min
- P2 15:23ANATrevor Zegras: Slashing2 min
- P2 17:11ANAOlen Zellweger: Hooking2 min
- P3 4:05SEAOliver Bjorkstrand: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lundeström won the faceoff against Gourde
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestBjorkstrand – Tolvanen – Wright7:06
xG 0.26–0.01 (96%)attempts 12–4goals 2–0
- Schwartz – Stephenson – Sprong7:47
xG 0.23–0.16 (58%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Gourde – Tanev – Kartye7:41
xG 0.11–0.06 (63%)attempts 10–4goals 0–0
- Burakovsky – McCann – Beniers10:05
xG 0.34–0.34 (50%)attempts 7–8goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestOleksiak – Montour13:59
xG 0.67–0.36 (65%)attempts 16–11goals 1–1
- Larsson – Evans15:57
xG 0.44–0.30 (60%)attempts 21–9goals 2–0
- Montour – Evans2:35
xG 0.07–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestStrome – Vatrano – Terry11:45
xG 0.68–0.37 (64%)attempts 16–11goals 1–1
- Killorn – Zegras – Carlsson5:41
xG 0.19–0.13 (59%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Killorn – Zegras – McTavish2:43
xG 0.13–0.10 (56%)attempts 2–4goals 0–1
- Lundeström – Leason – Gauthier2:01
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLaCombe – Zellweger12:18
xG 0.63–0.28 (69%)attempts 15–14goals 1–2
- Dumoulin – Zellweger2:01
xG 0.00–0.10 (1%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
- Dumoulin – Helleson14:48
xG 0.11–0.30 (27%)attempts 8–14goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).