Mon, Nov 25, 2024·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Los Angeles Kings 2, San Jose Sharks 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 06 | 213 | 05 | 224 |
| SJS | 16 | 15 | 510 | 721 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:47SJSNico SturmAssists: Mario Ferraro, Yaroslav Askarov · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–1
- P2 2:32LAKBrandt ClarkeAssists: Adrian Kempe, Anze Kopitar · Snap, 0.12 xG1–1
- P2 8:58LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Adrian Kempe, Warren Foegele · Backhand, 0.20 xG2–1
- P2 13:59SJSFabian ZetterlundAssists: William Eklund, Macklin Celebrini · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–2
- P3 1:03SJSMacklin CelebriniGWGAssists: Henry Thrun, Jan Rutta · Snap, 0.03 xG2–3
- P3 2:14SJSTimothy LiljegrenAssists: Will Smith · Slap, 0.05 xG2–4
- P3 3:43SJSMacklin CelebriniPPAssists: William Eklund, Will Smith · Slap, 0.10 xG2–5
- P3 10:46SJSAlexander WennbergPPAssists: Jake Walman · Tip-in, 0.07 xG2–6
- P3 18:39SJSLuke KuninUnassisted · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–7
Penalties (7)
- P1 9:41LAKAdrian Kempe: High sticking2 min
- P1 19:47LAKKevin Fiala: Roughing2 min
- P2 4:45SJSBarclay Goodrow: Slashing2 min
- P2 15:58SJSMacklin Celebrini: Interference2 min
- P3 2:14LAKAkil Thomas: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min · PPG
- P3 2:34LAKWarren Foegele: Tripping2 min
- P3 10:42LAKKevin Fiala: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Wennberg
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Kempe – Foegele5:26
xG 0.95–0.10 (90%)attempts 10–3goals 1–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Turcotte5:02
xG 0.23–0.19 (55%)attempts 5–4goals 1–0
- Danault – Fiala – Moore9:46
xG 0.22–0.19 (54%)attempts 11–4goals 0–3
- Kopitar – Fiala – Kempe2:04
xG 0.00–0.00 (0%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdmundson – Clarke11:37
xG 0.72–0.24 (75%)attempts 16–5goals 1–1
- Gavrikov – Anderson19:35
xG 0.69–0.46 (60%)attempts 20–14goals 0–2
- Moverare – Spence9:11
xG 0.16–0.39 (29%)attempts 6–10goals 0–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestToffoli – Wennberg – Kunin11:36
xG 0.42–0.21 (67%)attempts 9–9goals 1–0
- Zetterlund – Eklund – Celebrini10:43
xG 0.32–0.16 (66%)attempts 6–11goals 2–0
- Grundstrom – Smith – Dellandrea5:32
xG 0.07–0.14 (32%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
- Goodrow – Sturm – Smith6:33
xG 0.24–0.79 (24%)attempts 5–7goals 2–1
Defence pairs
- bestCeci – Walman13:51
xG 0.57–0.26 (69%)attempts 12–11goals 0–0
- Ferraro – Rutta2:08
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
- Rutta – Thrun12:56
xG 0.03–0.32 (9%)attempts 2–16goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).