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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 30, 2024·Ball Arena, Denver

Edmonton Oilers 4, Colorado Avalanche 1

Away

Edmonton Oilers

4

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 70% of the time.

COL winsEDM wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:26Shot by Bouchard, saved by Georgiev
  3. P1 3:56Shot by Makar, saved by Skinner
  4. P1 5:27Janmark: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: COL de Haan, O'Connor, Ludvig, Kiviranta, Ivan · EDM Henrique, Skinner, Janmark, Stecher, Emberson

  5. P1 7:02Goal by Kovalenko (Lehkonen, Girard)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, Toews, Girard, Kovalenko, Ivan · EDM Kulak, Brown, Nurse, Podkolzin

  6. P1 11:00Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Skinner
  7. P1 11:23Shot by McDavid, saved by Georgiev
  8. P1 11:48Goal by Kapanen (McDavid, Nugent-Hopkins)+12 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · EDM Ekholm, Nugent-Hopkins, Kapanen, McDavid, Bouchard

  9. P1 12:33Shot by Girard, saved by Skinner
  10. P1 13:29Shot by Makar, saved by Skinner
  11. P1 13:36Shot by Makar, saved by Skinner
  12. P1 13:40Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Skinner
  13. P1 13:48Shot by Makar, saved by Skinner
  14. P1 15:54Shot by Ludvig, saved by Skinner
  15. P1 16:07Shot by Janmark, saved by Georgiev
  16. P1 16:12Shot by Skinner, saved by Georgiev
  17. P1 16:50Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Skinner
  18. P1 17:28Shot by McDavid, saved by Georgiev
  19. P1 17:32Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Georgiev
  20. P1 17:41Shot by Ryan, saved by Georgiev
  21. P1 17:53Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Georgiev
  22. P1 19:30Shot by McDavid, saved by Georgiev
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 2:28Nichushkin: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL de Haan, Nichushkin, Toews, Mittelstadt, Kovalenko · EDM Henrique, Skinner, Janmark, Nurse, Bouchard

  26. P2 2:52Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Georgiev4v5
  27. P2 4:22Shot by Skinner, saved by Georgiev4v5
  28. P2 4:25Shot by Henrique, saved by Georgiev4v5
  29. P2 4:27Shot by Henrique, saved by Georgiev4v5
  30. P2 4:28Shot by Henrique, saved by Georgiev
  31. P2 5:59Bouchard: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nichushkin, Mittelstadt, Kovalenko, Ludvig, Malinski · EDM Ekholm, Nugent-Hopkins, Kapanen, McDavid, Bouchard

  32. P2 7:37Shot by Rantanen, saved by Skinner5v4
  33. P2 8:42Shot by Ludvig, saved by Skinner
  34. P2 9:29Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Skinner
  35. P2 9:33Shot by Malinski, saved by Skinner
  36. P2 9:53Shot by Podkolzin, saved by Georgiev
  37. P2 11:03Shot by Caggiula, saved by Georgiev
  38. P2 11:06Shot by Emberson, saved by Georgiev
  39. P2 11:18Shot by O'Connor, saved by Skinner
  40. P2 11:30Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Skinner
  41. P2 13:24Shot by Nurse, saved by Georgiev
  42. P2 13:35Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Georgiev
  43. P2 13:37Shot by Stecher, saved by Georgiev
  44. P2 13:48Goal by Podkolzin (Stecher, Brown)+25 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nichushkin, Girard, Mittelstadt, Kovalenko, Malinski · EDM Brown, Nurse, Draisaitl, Stecher, Podkolzin

  45. P2 14:14Perry: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL de Haan, O'Connor, Ludvig, Kiviranta, Ivan · EDM Perry, Kulak, Ryan, Caggiula, Emberson

  46. P2 14:21Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Skinner5v4
  47. P2 16:38Kovalenko: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, Toews, Girard, Kovalenko, Ivan · EDM Perry, Ekholm, Kapanen, Emberson, Podkolzin

  48. P2 17:59McDavid: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL de Haan, Nichushkin, Toews, Kelly · EDM Ekholm, Skinner, Brown, Draisaitl, McDavid

  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:27Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Georgiev
  52. P3 0:30Shot by Stecher, saved by Georgiev
  53. P3 1:41Shot by Girard, saved by Skinner
  54. P3 2:39Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Skinner
  55. P3 2:39Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Skinner
  56. P3 3:56Goal by Kulak (Emberson, Skinner)+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL de Haan, Wagner, Ludvig, Ivan, Prishchepov · EDM Henrique, Skinner, Kulak, Janmark, Emberson

  57. P3 6:02Shot by de Haan, saved by Skinner
  58. P3 6:35Ekholm: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL de Haan, Wagner, Ludvig, Ivan, Prishchepov · EDM Ekholm, Nugent-Hopkins, Kapanen, McDavid, Bouchard

  59. P3 6:35Wagner: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL de Haan, Wagner, Ludvig, Ivan, Prishchepov · EDM Ekholm, Nugent-Hopkins, Kapanen, McDavid, Bouchard

  60. P3 8:05Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Georgiev4v4
  61. P3 8:26Shot by Makar, saved by Skinner4v4
  62. P3 9:07Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Skinner
  63. P3 9:28Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Skinner
  64. P3 10:04Shot by Bouchard, saved by Georgiev
  65. P3 10:28Shot by Kovalenko, saved by Skinner
  66. P3 10:51Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Georgiev
  67. P3 11:17Brown: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · EDM Kulak, Brown, Nurse, Draisaitl, Ryan

  68. P3 11:32Shot by Henrique, saved by Georgiev5v4
  69. P3 15:21Shot by McDavid, saved by Georgiev
  70. P3 15:42Shot by de Haan, saved by Skinner
  71. P3 16:13Shot by Girard, saved by Skinner
  72. P3 17:30Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Skinner6v5
  73. P3 18:28Goal by Nugent-Hopkins (Henrique, Bouchard)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Rantanen, Mittelstadt, Ivan · EDM Henrique, Ekholm, Nugent-Hopkins, Brown, Bouchard

  74. P3 19:47Shot by Skinner, saved by Georgiev
  75. P3 0:00Henrique: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL de Haan, Wagner, Ludvig, Ivan, Prishchepov · EDM Henrique, Skinner, Nurse, Kapanen, Stecher

  76. P3 0:00Ludvig: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL de Haan, Wagner, Ludvig, Ivan, Prishchepov · EDM Henrique, Skinner, Nurse, Kapanen, Stecher

  77. P3 0:00Period end4v4
  78. P3 0:00Final4v4