Sat, Dec 7, 2024·United Center, Chicago
Winnipeg Jets 4, Chicago Blackhawks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 96% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 18 | 19 | 212 | 429 |
| CHI | 28 | 03 | 03 | 214 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:01CHIAlex VlasicPPAssists: Teuvo Teravainen, Connor Bedard · Slap, 0.08 xG0–1
- P1 13:31WPGGabriel VilardiAssists: Logan Stanley, Kyle Connor · Tip-in, 0.06 xG1–1
- P1 19:47CHIAlec MartinezAssists: Ilya Mikheyev, Jason Dickinson · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–2
- P2 13:10WPGNino NiederreiterAssists: Mason Appleton, Haydn Fleury · Backhand, 0.07 xG2–2
- P3 10:18WPGMark ScheifeleGWGAssists: Kyle Connor · Snap, 0.17 xG3–2
- P3 18:19WPGMason AppletonENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.77 xG4–2
Penalties (3)
- P1 8:40WPGRasmus Kupari: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P1 13:38CHICraig Smith: High sticking2 min
- P2 1:17CHITaylor Hall: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dickinson won the faceoff against Scheifele
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestScheifele – Connor – Vilardi15:50
xG 1.11–0.30 (78%)attempts 16–10goals 2–1
- Niederreiter – Lowry – Appleton12:27
xG 0.85–0.10 (90%)attempts 12–7goals 1–0
- Namestnikov – Perfetti – Lambert9:15
xG 0.38–0.05 (88%)attempts 11–2goals 0–0
- Iafallo – Barron – Kupari7:24
xG 0.68–0.39 (64%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDeMelo – Morrissey11:09
xG 0.89–0.07 (93%)attempts 15–1goals 0–1
- Fleury – Pionk9:43
xG 0.82–0.31 (73%)attempts 11–7goals 2–0
- Morrissey – Pionk8:39
xG 0.52–0.14 (79%)attempts 7–6goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- Foligno – Dickinson – Mikheyev9:28
xG 0.18–0.43 (29%)attempts 4–10goals 1–2
- Hall – Bertuzzi – Donato10:55
xG 0.29–0.70 (29%)attempts 8–12goals 0–0
- Maroon – Smith – Reichel9:02
xG 0.19–0.67 (22%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
- Teravainen – Kurashev – Bedard12:13
xG 0.04–0.63 (5%)attempts 4–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMartinez – Allan8:50
xG 0.49–0.22 (69%)attempts 11–7goals 1–0
- Murphy – Kaiser2:03
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
- Murphy – Allan3:39
xG 0.03–0.12 (22%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 96% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).