Sun, Dec 8, 2024·Madison Square Garden, New York
Seattle Kraken 7, New York Rangers 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 06 | 411 | 35 | 722 |
| NYR | 112 | 212 | 213 | 537 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:38NYRReilly SmithAssists: K'Andre Miller, Mika Zibanejad · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–1
- P2 1:46SEAOliver BjorkstrandPPAssists: Chandler Stephenson, Matty Beniers · Wrist, 0.25 xG1–1
- P2 2:50NYRFilip ChytilAssists: Kaapo Kakko, Will Cuylle · Snap, 0.12 xG1–2
- P2 4:47NYRVincent TrocheckPPAssists: Adam Fox · Wrist, 0.19 xG1–3
- P2 14:06SEABrandon TanevAssists: Mitchell Stephens, Tye Kartye · Wrist, 0.19 xG2–3
- P2 15:34SEAEeli TolvanenAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand, Shane Wright · Slap, 0.13 xG3–3
- P2 19:24SEAOliver BjorkstrandAssists: Brandon Montour, Eeli Tolvanen · Wrist, 0.14 xG4–3
- P3 1:00SEAVince DunnAssists: Andre Burakovsky, Chandler Stephenson · Slap, 0.03 xG5–3
- P3 11:13SEAShane WrightGWGAssists: Eeli Tolvanen, Oliver Bjorkstrand · Tip-in, 0.08 xG6–3
- P3 12:27NYRK'Andre MillerAssists: Artemi Panarin, Adam Fox · Wrist, 0.01 xG6–4
- P3 14:57NYRAlexis LafrenièreAssists: Vincent Trocheck, Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.08 xG6–5
- P3 18:14SEAYanni GourdeENAssists: Matty Beniers, Jamie Oleksiak · Wrist, 0.63 xG7–5
Penalties (4)
- P1 6:18SEAMatty Beniers: Slashing2 min
- P1 8:08NYRFilip Chytil: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 0:14NYRRyan Lindgren: Elbowing2 min · PPG
- P2 4:31SEABrandon Montour: Cross checking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Beniers won the faceoff against Zibanejad
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestBjorkstrand – Tolvanen – Wright8:02
xG 0.60–0.20 (75%)attempts 14–9goals 3–0
- Stephens – Tanev – Kartye6:38
xG 0.25–0.79 (24%)attempts 6–15goals 1–1
- Schwartz – Gourde – Beniers12:28
xG 0.20–0.76 (21%)attempts 15–21goals 0–1
- Stephenson – Burakovsky – McCann9:02
xG 0.11–0.85 (12%)attempts 5–14goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestLarsson – Oleksiak2:21
xG 0.14–0.00 (99%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Borgen – Evans13:47
xG 0.45–0.51 (47%)attempts 14–16goals 2–1
- Larsson – Dunn15:46
xG 0.23–0.76 (23%)attempts 14–22goals 1–3
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestTrocheck – Panarin – Lafrenière14:09
xG 1.33–0.40 (77%)attempts 26–11goals 2–3
- Kreider – Smith – Zibanejad12:37
xG 0.84–0.36 (70%)attempts 20–9goals 1–1
- Chytil – Kakko – Cuylle10:41
xG 0.57–0.24 (70%)attempts 16–10goals 1–1
- Carrick – Vesey – Edstrom7:09
xG 0.25–0.12 (67%)attempts 5–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMiller – Schneider14:02
xG 1.10–0.36 (75%)attempts 19–15goals 2–2
- Jones – Mancini14:10
xG 0.49–0.14 (78%)attempts 17–11goals 0–0
- Fox – Miller4:38
xG 0.49–0.19 (72%)attempts 14–3goals 2–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).