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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 12, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Anaheim Ducks 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Away

Anaheim Ducks

2

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 89% of the time.

TOR winsANA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:51Shot by Leason, saved by Stolarz
  3. P1 1:06Shot by Gauthier, saved by Stolarz
  4. P1 3:22Shot by Matthews, saved by Dostal
  5. P1 4:40Shot by McGinn, saved by Stolarz
  6. P1 5:16Shot by Matthews, saved by Dostal
  7. P1 5:24Shot by Rielly, saved by Dostal
  8. P1 6:52Shot by McCabe, saved by Dostal
  9. P1 6:57Goal by Pacioretty (Tavares, McCabe)+11 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Pacioretty, Tavares, Tanev, McCabe, Nylander · ANA Dumoulin, Fowler, McGinn, Harkins, Lundeström

  10. P1 9:17Shot by McTavish, saved by Stolarz
  11. P1 11:05Shot by Trouba, saved by Stolarz
  12. P1 11:38Shot by Matthews, saved by Dostal
  13. P1 12:08Gudas: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Holmberg, Benoit, Minten · ANA Gudas, Fabbri, LaCombe, McTavish, Gauthier

  14. P1 13:53Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Dostal5v4
  15. P1 14:17Goal by Nylander (Pacioretty, Rielly)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Pacioretty, Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Domi, Nylander · ANA Dumoulin, Fowler, Fabbri, McTavish, Gauthier

  16. P1 14:28Shot by Benoit, saved by Dostal
  17. P1 14:53Benoit: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Reaves, Lorentz, Timmins, Dewar, Benoit · ANA Trouba, Fabbri, McTavish, Gauthier, Mintyukov

  18. P1 15:56Goal by Vatrano (LaCombe, Strome)4v5+11 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Lorentz, Timmins, Holmberg · ANA Strome, Vatrano, Terry, LaCombe, Carlsson

  19. P1 18:17Shot by McTavish, saved by Stolarz
  20. P1 18:36Shot by Fabbri, saved by Stolarz
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:17Shot by Marner, saved by Dostal
  24. P2 0:31Shot by Matthews, saved by Dostal
  25. P2 1:28Shot by Nylander, saved by Dostal
  26. P2 1:44Trouba: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Domi, Timmins, Holmberg, Benoit, Minten · ANA Trouba, Fabbri, McTavish, Gauthier, Mintyukov

  27. P2 1:50Shot by Matthews, saved by Dostal5v4
  28. P2 3:20Shot by McGinn, saved by Woll5v4
  29. P2 3:22Shot by McGinn, saved by Woll5v4
  30. P2 3:23Shot by McGinn, saved by Woll5v4
  31. P2 3:24Shot by McGinn, saved by Woll5v4
  32. P2 4:17Shot by Dewar, saved by Dostal
  33. P2 5:27Shot by Marner, saved by Dostal
  34. P2 6:03Shot by Nylander, saved by Dostal
  35. P2 6:12Shot by Strome, saved by Woll
  36. P2 6:54Shot by Nylander, saved by Dostal
  37. P2 8:33Shot by Fabbri, saved by Woll
  38. P2 8:53Shot by LaCombe, saved by Woll
  39. P2 9:01Shot by McTavish, saved by Woll
  40. P2 10:42Shot by Minten, saved by Dostal
  41. P2 12:48Shot by Marner, saved by Dostal
  42. P2 12:54Goal by Pacioretty (Timmins, Tavares)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Pacioretty, Tavares, Nylander, Timmins, Benoit · ANA Trouba, Fabbri, McTavish, Gauthier, Mintyukov

  43. P2 13:28Shot by Nylander, saved by Dostal
  44. P2 13:54Shot by Strome, saved by Woll
  45. P2 13:59Goal by LaCombe (Strome, Terry)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tanev, McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Knies · ANA Gudas, Strome, Vatrano, Terry, LaCombe

  46. P2 15:05Shot by Timmins, saved by Dostal
  47. P2 15:27Shot by Gauthier, saved by Woll
  48. P2 16:11Shot by Vatrano, saved by Woll
  49. P2 16:33Shot by Terry, saved by Woll
  50. P2 16:56Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Dostal
  51. P2 17:50Shot by McGinn, saved by Woll
  52. P2 18:37Shot by Vatrano, saved by Woll
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 1:45Shot by Domi, saved by Dostal
  56. P3 3:29Shot by McCabe, saved by Dostal
  57. P3 3:53Shot by Marner, saved by Dostal
  58. P3 4:12Shot by Knies, saved by Dostal
  59. P3 4:53Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Dostal
  60. P3 5:11Shot by Nylander, saved by Dostal
  61. P3 5:12Shot by Tavares, saved by Dostal
  62. P3 6:30Shot by Knies, saved by Dostal
  63. P3 9:00Shot by McTavish, saved by Woll
  64. P3 9:26Shot by Matthews, saved by Dostal
  65. P3 10:38Shot by Nylander, saved by Dostal
  66. P3 13:58Shot by Vatrano, saved by Woll
  67. P3 16:07Shot by LaCombe, saved by Woll
  68. P3 19:30Shot by Terry, saved by Woll5v6
  69. P3 19:37Shot by Vatrano, saved by Woll5v6
  70. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  71. P3 0:00Final5v6