Sat, Dec 14, 2024·Madison Square Garden, New York
Los Angeles Kings 5, New York Rangers 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 58% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 217 | 37 | 08 | 532 |
| NYR | 08 | 114 | 010 | 132 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:05LAKAlex TurcotteAssists: Adrian Kempe, Anze Kopitar · Snap, 0.14 xG1–0
- P1 15:06LAKWarren FoegeleGWGAssists: Quinton Byfield, Tanner Jeannot · Wrist, 0.25 xG2–0
- P2 2:46LAKQuinton ByfieldAssists: Warren Foegele, Mikey Anderson · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–0
- P2 4:40LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Anze Kopitar, Alex Turcotte · Wrist, 0.18 xG4–0
- P2 5:04LAKPhillip DanaultAssists: Brandt Clarke, Akil Thomas · Snap, 0.15 xG5–0
- P2 12:17NYRFilip ChytilAssists: Victor Mancini, Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.01 xG5–1
Penalties (8)
- P1 4:10NYRAdam Edstrom: High sticking2 min
- P1 7:58LAKSamuel Helenius: Fighting5 min
- P1 7:58NYRConnor Mackey: Fighting5 min
- P1 15:26LAKMikey Anderson: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:54NYRFilip Chytil: Hooking2 min
- P2 14:21LAKJordan Spence: Holding2 min
- P3 6:03NYRAdam Fox: High sticking2 min
- P3 11:42LAKMikey Anderson: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zibanejad won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestFoegele – Jeannot – Byfield8:51
xG 0.95–0.38 (71%)attempts 15–8goals 2–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Turcotte10:33
xG 0.60–0.34 (63%)attempts 14–12goals 2–1
- Danault – Fiala – Laferriere9:13
xG 0.27–0.05 (85%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Foegele – Thomas – Helenius2:20
xG 0.03–0.08 (26%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdmundson – Clarke7:46
xG 0.75–0.05 (94%)attempts 10–5goals 2–0
- Gavrikov – Anderson14:12
xG 0.55–0.35 (62%)attempts 12–13goals 1–0
- Anderson – Spence2:11
xG 0.14–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- Smith – Zibanejad – Edstrom2:29
xG 0.17–0.15 (54%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Trocheck – Panarin – Lafrenière9:46
xG 0.33–0.43 (43%)attempts 9–6goals 0–2
- Kreider – Smith – Zibanejad5:30
xG 0.12–0.26 (32%)attempts 3–8goals 0–1
- Kreider – Carrick – Berard3:34
xG 0.00–0.17 (0%)attempts 0–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJones – Schneider5:06
xG 0.40–0.22 (65%)attempts 9–3goals 0–0
- Mackey – Schneider7:56
xG 0.02–0.13 (13%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Fox – Lindgren14:33
xG 0.42–0.54 (43%)attempts 17–16goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 58% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).