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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 14, 2024·Ball Arena, Denver

Nashville Predators 2, Colorado Avalanche 5

Away

Nashville Predators

2

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 76% of the time.

COL winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:27Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Saros
  3. P1 2:08Shot by Middleton, saved by Saros
  4. P1 3:48Shot by Stamkos, saved by Blackwood
  5. P1 3:50Shot by Forsberg, saved by Blackwood
  6. P1 4:23Shot by Evangelista, saved by Blackwood
  7. P1 4:29Shot by Wilsby, saved by Blackwood
  8. P1 5:14Shot by Sissons, saved by Blackwood
  9. P1 7:14Shot by Evangelista, saved by Blackwood
  10. P1 8:59Shot by Forsberg, saved by Blackwood
  11. P1 9:17Shot by Toews, saved by Saros
  12. P1 10:39Shot by Girard, saved by Saros
  13. P1 11:51Shot by Wilsby, saved by Blackwood
  14. P1 11:53Shot by Novak, saved by Blackwood
  15. P1 13:26Shot by Stamkos, saved by Blackwood
  16. P1 13:29Shot by Forsberg, saved by Blackwood
  17. P1 13:51Shot by Stamkos, saved by Blackwood
  18. P1 16:15Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Saros
  19. P1 16:22Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Saros
  20. P1 16:57Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Saros
  21. P1 17:25Shot by Girard, saved by Saros
  22. P1 18:06Shot by Smith, saved by Blackwood
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:27Blankenburg: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard, Malinski · NSH Nyquist, O'Reilly, Skjei, L'Heureux, Blankenburg

  26. P2 0:34Shot by Sissons, saved by Blackwood5v4
  27. P2 3:38Shot by Schenn, saved by Blackwood
  28. P2 4:05Shot by Wagner, saved by Saros
  29. P2 4:28Shot by Toews, saved by Saros
  30. P2 4:34Shot by Toews, saved by Saros
  31. P2 6:39Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Blackwood
  32. P2 7:30Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Saros
  33. P2 8:24Shot by Marchessault, saved by Blackwood
  34. P2 8:47Shot by Marchessault, saved by Blackwood
  35. P2 8:50Shot by Skjei, saved by Blackwood
  36. P2 9:53Shot by Smith, saved by Blackwood
  37. P2 11:22Shot by Toews, saved by Saros
  38. P2 11:32Goal by Colton (Mittelstadt, Toews)+19 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nichushkin, Toews, Colton, Mittelstadt, Malinski · NSH Stamkos, Gravel, Jankowski, Evangelista, Wilsby

  39. P2 11:44Shot by Forsberg, saved by Blackwood
  40. P2 13:07Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Blackwood
  41. P2 13:30Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Saros
  42. P2 13:48Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Saros
  43. P2 14:06Shot by Skjei, saved by Blackwood
  44. P2 14:14Shot by Blankenburg, saved by Blackwood
  45. P2 14:16Smith: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Wagner, Smith, Girard, Makar, Ivan · NSH Skjei, Sissons, McCarron, Smith, Blankenburg

  46. P2 14:28Shot by Forsberg, saved by Blackwood4v5
  47. P2 16:02Shot by Evangelista, saved by Blackwood4v5
  48. P2 17:01Shot by Skjei, saved by Blackwood
  49. P2 18:11Shot by Marchessault, saved by Blackwood
  50. P2 18:52Goal by MacKinnon (Rantanen)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · NSH Schenn, Marchessault, Forsberg, McCarron, Del Gaizo

  51. P2 19:02Shot by Toews, saved by Saros
  52. P2 19:50Shot by Novak, saved by Blackwood
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 2:13Shot by Kelly, saved by Saros
  56. P3 3:17Shot by Gravel, saved by Blackwood
  57. P3 3:30Goal by Lehkonen (MacKinnon)+5 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · NSH Nyquist, O'Reilly, Gravel, Wilsby, L'Heureux

  58. P3 4:27Shot by Novak, saved by Blackwood
  59. P3 5:03Shot by Blankenburg, saved by Blackwood
  60. P3 5:55Shot by McCarron, saved by Blackwood
  61. P3 6:04Shot by Stamkos, saved by Blackwood
  62. P3 7:53Shot by Jankowski, saved by Blackwood
  63. P3 8:40Shot by Malinski, saved by Saros
  64. P3 8:48Shot by Malinski, saved by Saros
  65. P3 8:50McCarron: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Girard, Kelly, O'Connor, Kiviranta, Malinski · NSH Skjei, Sissons, McCarron, Smith, Blankenburg

  66. P3 8:50O'Connor: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Girard, Kelly, O'Connor, Kiviranta, Malinski · NSH Skjei, Sissons, McCarron, Smith, Blankenburg

  67. P3 9:28Skjei: Slashing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Makar · NSH O'Reilly, Skjei, Forsberg, Wilsby

  68. P3 10:11Shot by Rantanen, saved by Saros4v3
  69. P3 10:50Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Saros4v3
  70. P3 11:01Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Blackwood5v4
  71. P3 11:14McCarron: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Rantanen, Mittelstadt, Makar, O'Connor · NSH Jankowski, McCarron, Wilsby, Blankenburg

  72. P3 11:14O'Connor: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Rantanen, Mittelstadt, Makar, O'Connor · NSH Jankowski, McCarron, Wilsby, Blankenburg

  73. P3 13:03Goal by Stamkos (Marchessault, Forsberg)+2 pts WP

    On ice: COL de Haan, Lehkonen, Nichushkin, Girard, Mittelstadt · NSH Stamkos, Marchessault, Skjei, Forsberg, Blankenburg

  74. P3 14:18Shot by Rantanen, saved by Saros
  75. P3 14:32Shot by Makar, saved by Saros
  76. P3 15:08Goal by Evangelista (Wilsby, Novak)5v6+9 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nichushkin, Girard, Colton, Mittelstadt, Malinski · NSH Nyquist, Skjei, Jankowski, Novak, Evangelista, Wilsby

  77. P3 16:51Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Saros
  78. P3 17:26Shot by O'Connor, saved by Saros
  79. P3 17:30Shot by O'Connor, saved by Saros
  80. P3 17:48Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Saros
  81. P3 18:08Goal by MacKinnon (Makar, Rantanen)5v6+6 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · NSH Stamkos, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Marchessault, Skjei, Forsberg

  82. P3 18:36Shot by Evangelista, saved by Blackwood
  83. P3 19:10Goal by Lehkonen (Rantanen, Kelly)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: COL de Haan, Lehkonen, Toews, Rantanen, Kelly · NSH Stamkos, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Marchessault, Forsberg, Evangelista

  84. P3 19:24Shot by Smith, saved by Saros
  85. P3 0:00Period end
  86. P3 0:00Final