Thu, Dec 19, 2024·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Los Angeles Kings 7, Philadelphia Flyers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 69% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 111 | 28 | 48 | 727 |
| PHI | 19 | 215 | 02 | 326 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:53LAKKevin FialaAssists: Phillip Danault · Backhand, 0.11 xG1–0
- P1 14:11PHINoah CatesAssists: Bobby Brink, Tyson Foerster · Backhand, 0.11 xG1–1
- P2 1:31LAKTanner JeannotAssists: Warren Foegele, Jordan Spence · Wrist, 0.32 xG2–1
- P2 11:30PHITyson FoersterAssists: Scott Laughton · Wrist, 0.19 xG2–2
- P2 15:04PHITyson FoersterAssists: Morgan Frost, Owen Tippett · Snap, 0.28 xG2–3
- P2 19:16LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Alex Laferriere, Vladislav Gavrikov · Backhand, 0.10 xG3–3
- P3 1:54LAKWarren FoegeleGWGAssists: Jordan Spence, Jacob Moverare · Tip-in, 0.08 xG4–3
- P3 10:39LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Alex Turcotte, Vladislav Gavrikov · Wrist, 0.20 xG5–3
- P3 16:23LAKQuinton ByfieldENUnassisted · Wrist, 0.74 xG6–3
- P3 17:34LAKKevin FialaAssists: Alex Laferriere, Brandt Clarke · Wrist, 0.16 xG7–3
Penalties (3)
- P2 9:16PHITyson Foerster: High sticking2 min
- P2 12:57LAKTanner Jeannot: Tripping2 min
- P3 6:02LAKJacob Moverare: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couturier won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestKopitar – Kempe – Turcotte13:05
xG 0.74–0.14 (84%)attempts 21–8goals 1–0
- Foegele – Jeannot – Byfield10:26
xG 0.56–0.41 (58%)attempts 7–13goals 2–0
- Danault – Fiala – Laferriere11:45
xG 0.69–0.56 (55%)attempts 14–13goals 2–1
- Fiala – Thomas – Helenius2:16
xG 0.00–0.01 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMoverare – Spence12:05
xG 0.72–0.28 (72%)attempts 7–14goals 3–0
- Gavrikov – Anderson15:05
xG 0.62–0.30 (67%)attempts 25–10goals 2–1
- Edmundson – Clarke10:55
xG 0.62–0.43 (59%)attempts 10–7goals 1–0
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- bestCates – Brink – Foerster12:24
xG 0.41–0.21 (66%)attempts 12–4goals 1–0
- Laughton – Hathaway – Poehling10:10
xG 0.35–0.41 (46%)attempts 6–10goals 0–2
- Couturier – Konecny – Farabee13:44
xG 0.44–0.67 (40%)attempts 11–23goals 0–0
- Tippett – Frost – Michkov8:28
xG 0.08–0.82 (9%)attempts 9–12goals 0–3
Defence pairs
- Zamula – Andrae12:04
xG 0.33–0.32 (51%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
- Sanheim – Drysdale18:52
xG 0.95–1.27 (43%)attempts 14–26goals 1–4
- Seeler – Ristolainen16:47
xG 0.30–0.65 (31%)attempts 20–19goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHI is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 69% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHI − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).