Thu, Dec 19, 2024·United Center, Chicago
Seattle Kraken 1, Chicago Blackhawks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 83% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 05 | 011 | 111 | 127 |
| CHI | 010 | 19 | 25 | 324 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 10:54CHIIlya MikheyevAssists: Teuvo Teravainen · Deflected, 0.14 xG0–1
- P3 6:06CHIIlya MikheyevGWGAssists: Teuvo Teravainen, Tyler Bertuzzi · Wrist, 0.08 xG0–2
- P3 11:26SEARyker EvansAssists: Oliver Bjorkstrand, Brandon Montour · Snap, 0.11 xG1–2
- P3 15:11CHINolan AllanAssists: Ryan Donato, Connor Murphy · Snap, 0.13 xG1–3
Penalties (9)
- P2 2:02SEAJosh Mahura: Tripping2 min
- P2 14:54CHILouis Crevier: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 17:31SEABrandon Tanev: Interference2 min
- P2 17:38CHIFrank Nazar: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:03CHIConnor Murphy: Roughing2 min
- P2 18:03CHIConnor Murphy: Roughing2 min
- P2 18:03SEAVince Dunn: Roughing2 min
- P2 18:03SEAVince Dunn: Roughing2 min
- P3 0:41CHILouis Crevier: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Stephenson won the faceoff against Dickinson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestBjorkstrand – Tolvanen – Wright9:19
xG 0.57–0.28 (67%)attempts 10–8goals 0–1
- McCann – Kakko – Beniers7:13
xG 0.12–0.11 (52%)attempts 6–2goals 0–0
- Gourde – Sprong – Tanev7:58
xG 0.32–0.33 (49%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Schwartz – Stephenson – Burakovsky11:31
xG 0.20–0.68 (23%)attempts 10–11goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestMontour – Evans5:31
xG 0.50–0.17 (74%)attempts 8–4goals 1–0
- Mahura – Evans7:43
xG 0.37–0.04 (89%)attempts 10–1goals 0–0
- Larsson – Evans2:21
xG 0.17–0.02 (89%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Donato – Bedard10:28
xG 0.97–0.42 (70%)attempts 10–12goals 1–1
- Teravainen – Dickinson – Mikheyev10:00
xG 0.52–0.13 (80%)attempts 10–8goals 2–0
- Maroon – Anderson – Reichel4:59
xG 0.07–0.06 (52%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
- Hall – Bertuzzi – Nazar7:36
xG 0.08–0.32 (20%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Crevier13:57
xG 0.54–0.21 (72%)attempts 7–13goals 0–0
- Murphy – Allan11:12
xG 0.55–0.37 (60%)attempts 11–11goals 2–0
- Murphy – Vlasic2:26
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 83% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).