Mon, Dec 23, 2024·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
San Jose Sharks 3, Vancouver Canucks 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 110 | 06 | 213 | 329 |
| VAN | 16 | 314 | 04 | 424 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 11:36SJSWilliam EklundPPAssists: Mikael Granlund, Macklin Celebrini · Slap, 0.20 xG1–0
- P1 14:10VANBrock BoeserAssists: Quinn Hughes, Vincent Desharnais · Tip-in, 0.12 xG1–1
- P2 16:42VANKiefer SherwoodAssists: Teddy Blueger, Nils Hoglander · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–2
- P2 17:08VANElias PetterssonAssists: Jake DeBrusk, Conor Garland · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–3
- P2 17:52VANElias PetterssonPPGWGAssists: J.T. Miller, Quinn Hughes · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–4
- P3 4:21SJSCody CeciAssists: Fabian Zetterlund · Slap, 0.02 xG2–4
- P3 19:54SJSLuke KuninAssists: Macklin Celebrini, Tyler Toffoli · Snap, 0.05 xG3–4
Penalties (17)
- P1 1:12SJSTimothy Liljegren: Holding2 min
- P1 10:30VANCarson Soucy: Holding2 min · PPG
- P1 11:11VANDerek Forbort: Tripping2 min
- P1 14:13VANTyler Myers: Fighting5 min
- P1 14:13SJSBarclay Goodrow: Fighting5 min
- P1 18:29SJSLuke Kunin: Slashing2 min
- P2 9:36SJSTy Dellandrea: Interference2 min
- P2 9:36VANDanton Heinen: Instigator2 min
- P2 9:36SJSTy Dellandrea: Fighting5 min
- P2 9:36VANDanton Heinen: Fighting5 min
- P2 9:36VANDanton Heinen: Instigator misconduct10 min
- P2 11:44SJSJan Rutta: Roughing2 min
- P2 11:44VANTeddy Blueger: Roughing2 min
- P2 11:44SJSJan Rutta: Roughing2 min
- P2 17:08SJSWill Smith: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min · PPG
- P2 17:20SJSMario Ferraro: Hooking2 min
- P2 19:40VANTeddy Blueger: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Miller won the faceoff against Celebrini
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestKunin – Zetterlund – Kovalenko3:20
xG 0.31–0.01 (97%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Wennberg – Kunin – Zetterlund3:17
xG 0.14–0.00 (100%)attempts 9–1goals 1–0
- Toffoli – Granlund – Celebrini10:46
xG 0.29–0.18 (62%)attempts 14–4goals 0–0
- Wennberg – Eklund – Smith2:32
xG 0.13–0.07 (65%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestRutta – Mukhamadullin11:41
xG 0.34–0.13 (72%)attempts 18–5goals 0–0
- Ceci – Thrun11:10
xG 0.33–0.14 (71%)attempts 9–5goals 0–1
- Ceci – Ferraro2:01
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestJoshua – Garland – Suter6:29
xG 0.31–0.02 (93%)attempts 4–2goals 0–1
- Miller – Di Giuseppe – Boeser7:44
xG 0.26–0.15 (64%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Blueger – Joshua – Garland2:54
xG 0.03–0.05 (41%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Blueger – Heinen – Sherwood6:06
xG 0.01–0.07 (17%)attempts 2–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMyers – Hughes5:08
xG 0.67–0.31 (69%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Soucy – Juulsen9:04
xG 0.20–0.08 (72%)attempts 4–9goals 1–0
- Juulsen – Hughes3:23
xG 0.20–0.10 (66%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).