Sat, Jan 4, 2025·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Buffalo Sabres 1, Vegas Golden Knights 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 64% of the time.
55%
9%
28%
VGK winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 25:28 | 0.24 | 40.2% | +0.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 24:16 | 0.00 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:44 | 0.12 | 17.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 21:44 | 0.52 | 30.5% | +0.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 20:42 | 0.31 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:55 | 0.01 | 19.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:25 | 0.15 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:31 | 0.35 | 31.6% | +0.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:56 | 0.28 | 26.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:04 | 0.17 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:37 | 0.00 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:01 | 0.02 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:55 | 0.00 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:24 | 0.11 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:17 | 0.00 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:26 | 0.03 | 17.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:16 | 0.04 | 24.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:38 | 0.00 | 47.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 3.05 | +0.1 | 57:41 |
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 25:37 | 0.13 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 23:16 | 0.11 | 70.9% | +3.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 21:08 | 0.55 | 69.8% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:24 | 0.33 | 76.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:15 | 0.01 | 83.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:08 | 0.00 | 90.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:35 | 0.26 | 66.6% | +11.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:16 | 0.09 | 86.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18:11 | 0.65 | 89.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:03 | 0.00 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 15:43 | 0.10 | 59.5% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:49 | 0.25 | 72.5% | +10.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:39 | 0.00 | 58.3% | +10.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:06 | 0.18 | 78.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:08 | 0.33 | 75.0% | +10.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:20 | 0.00 | 10.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:24 | 0.00 | 15.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:45 | 0.05 | 17.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 2.34 | +1.3 | 60:00 |