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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 7, 2025·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose

Vegas Golden Knights 4, San Jose Sharks 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 95% of the time.

SJS winsVGK wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

SJS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against VGK's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stone–Pearson–EichelKarlsson–Hertl–DorofeyevOlofsson–Kolesar–HowdenRondbjerg–Schwindt–HoltzPearson–Kolesar–HowdenOlofsson–Schwindt–HoltzPietrangelo–HanifinMcNabb–TheodoreHague–Whitecloud
Granlund–Zetterlund–Eklund3:430.00–0.085:520.14–0.220:490.00–0.145:270.12–0.094:460.19–0.250:450.00–0.10
Smith–Celebrini–Graf0:400.00–0.054:310.23–0.453:120.00–0.133:470.15–0.061:340.00–0.023:580.08–0.53
Goodrow–Kunin–Kovalenko0:420.00–0.141:130.20–0.001:550.00–0.090:370.00–0.000:350.08–0.001:510.04–0.140:370.17–0.002:380.08–0.09
Toffoli–Wennberg–Kostin3:330.00–0.340:440.00–0.001:340.00–0.132:280.01–0.080:430.00–0.00
Toffoli–Wennberg–Kovalenko1:290.00–0.721:260.00–0.010:340.00–0.000:460.00–0.000:410.00–0.002:110.00–0.74
Goodrow–Kunin–Kostin0:410.00–0.001:340.00–0.002:020.00–0.000:470.00–0.03
Granlund–Goodrow–Kunin0:530.14–0.200:370.00–0.000:530.14–0.200:520.00–0.00
Kovalenko–Smith–Celebrini0:440.00–0.000:510.07–0.000:560.00–0.00
Granlund–Eklund–Graf1:230.00–0.191:290.00–0.19
Toffoli–Granlund–Zetterlund1:220.00–0.151:230.00–0.15
Zetterlund–Smith–Celebrini1:080.00–0.110:390.00–0.11
Wennberg–Zetterlund–Eklund0:440.00–0.00
Ceci–Thrun7:350.00–0.524:250.12–1.150:410.00–0.001:580.00–0.208:310.12–0.896:280.18–0.041:110.00–0.80
Ferraro–Liljegren3:310.00–0.213:330.22–0.113:100.08–0.312:390.00–0.004:220.12–0.126:230.19–0.212:380.00–0.45
Rutta–Mukhamadullin0:520.00–0.042:500.00–0.085:200.23–0.241:470.00–0.192:370.07–0.011:290.00–0.146:400.16–0.39
Ferraro–Rutta0:410.00–0.000:320.00–0.050:370.00–0.000:460.08–0.000:510.00–0.050:530.00–0.001:140.08–0.00
Liljegren–Thrun0:320.14–0.000:380.00–0.000:340.00–0.001:180.14–0.000:590.00–0.00
Rutta–Thrun0:400.00–0.000:470.00–0.021:150.00–0.070:560.00–0.00
Thrun–Mukhamadullin0:460.00–0.090:500.00–0.09
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndZetterlund FGranlund FEklund FKostin FToffoli FWennberg FGraf FSmith FCelebrini FGoodrow FKunin FKovalenko FRutta DMukhamadullin DCeci DThrun DLiljegren DFerraro DGeorgiev GDorofeyev FHertl FKarlsson FStone FEichel FPearson FKolesar FOlofsson FHowden FSchwindt FHoltz FRondbjerg FPietrangelo DHanifin DMcNabb DTheodore DHague DWhitecloud DSamsonov G
SJSVGKFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Alex PietrangeloVGK2423:450:591:3625
Henry ThrunSJS2223:441:052:0214
Noah HanifinVGK2421:530:551:3524
Brayden McNabbVGK2321:010:551:3762
Jack EichelVGK1920:491:061:5724
Fabian ZetterlundSJS1920:461:062:1042
Mikael GranlundSJS2020:141:011:5935
Timothy LiljegrenSJS2320:080:531:5323
Shea TheodoreVGK2319:560:521:3870
Mario FerraroSJS2319:400:512:0205
Cody CeciSJS1919:191:012:0415
William EklundSJS1819:131:042:1443
Mark StoneVGK1818:261:012:0022
Macklin CelebriniSJS1618:001:081:4833
Jan RuttaSJS2017:500:541:4906
Collin GrafSJS1916:440:531:5223
Brett HowdenVGK1816:380:551:3031
Tanner PearsonVGK1716:260:581:5212
Nicolas HagueVGK1916:210:521:5120
Zach WhitecloudVGK1816:020:532:0310
William KarlssonVGK1715:460:561:3322
Alexander WennbergSJS1915:400:492:1424
Victor OlofssonVGK1615:390:591:4930
Will SmithSJS1515:371:021:4423
Keegan KolesarVGK1615:250:582:1930
Tomas HertlVGK1815:120:511:2931
Shakir MukhamadullinSJS1413:520:592:0113
Pavel DorofeyevVGK1713:470:491:1521
Tyler ToffoliSJS1713:310:481:5612
Luke KuninSJS1712:260:441:4105
Barclay GoodrowSJS1612:190:461:2303
Nikolai KovalenkoSJS1611:430:441:0005
Cole SchwindtVGK1410:090:440:5640
Alexander HoltzVGK1410:080:431:0440
Jonas RondbjergVGK149:510:421:0530
Klim KostinSJS129:200:471:4011