Thu, Jan 9, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Edmonton Oilers 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 62% of the time.
54%
8%
30%
PIT winsEDM wins
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 7 | 27:20 | 0.42 | 66.4% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 26:55 | 0.14 | 62.6% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 10 | 26:53 | 0.68 | 62.3% | +5.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 26:29 | 0.04 | 56.6% | +2.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23:30 | 0.50 | 53.5% | +7.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 22:04 | 0.05 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 19:15 | 0.32 | 20.0% | +5.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:02 | 0.02 | 11.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14:23 | 0.10 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:17 | 0.23 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:23 | 0.23 | 21.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:16 | 0.04 | 26.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:30 | 0.02 | 13.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:55 | 0.07 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:02 | 0.00 | 75.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:38 | 0.19 | 73.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:16 | 0.10 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:07 | 0.03 | 8.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 21 | 5 | .808 | 2.75 | −2.2 | 57:04 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 25:40 | 0.30 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 25:14 | 0.03 | 54.1% | +20.6 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 23:37 | 0.21 | 45.1% | +28.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 22:22 | 0.13 | 50.7% | +3.2 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 21:20 | 0.90 | 47.9% | +21.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:57 | 0.64 | 49.1% | +9.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:51 | 0.02 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:17 | 0.09 | 78.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:14 | 0.03 | 71.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:43 | 0.00 | 71.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 12:44 | 0.20 | 52.0% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:30 | 0.00 | 69.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:07 | 0.00 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:02 | 0.03 | 63.4% | +3.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:22 | 0.32 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10:18 | 0.53 | 90.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:06 | 0.00 | 41.1% | +8.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:33 | 0.42 | 45.9% | +8.0 |
| W | 43 | 40 | 3 | .930 | 3.15 | +0.2 | 59:57 |