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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 18, 2025·Ball Arena, Denver

Dallas Stars 3, Colorado Avalanche 6

Away

Dallas Stars

3

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 70% of the time.

COL winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:46Manson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, Girard, Parssinen, Ivan, Innala · DAL Steel, Heiskanen, Lyubushkin, Blümel, Bourque

  3. P1 3:24Goal by Duchene (Johnston, Robertson)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: COL Toews, Makar, Kelly, O'Connor · DAL Benn, Duchene, Robertson, Heiskanen, Johnston

  4. P1 4:26Shot by de Haan, saved by DeSmith
  5. P1 4:35Shot by Middleton, saved by DeSmith
  6. P1 4:52Shot by de Haan, saved by DeSmith
  7. P1 6:46Blackwell: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL de Haan, MacKinnon, Girard, Kelly, O'Connor · DAL Blackwell, Lindell, Robertson, Lundkvist, Johnston

  8. P1 7:51Shot by MacKinnon, saved by DeSmith5v4
  9. P1 9:33Shot by MacKinnon, saved by DeSmith
  10. P1 9:50Shot by Rantanen, saved by DeSmith
  11. P1 11:13Shot by Middleton, saved by DeSmith
  12. P1 11:41Shot by Colton, saved by DeSmith
  13. P1 12:21Shot by Girard, saved by DeSmith
  14. P1 12:31Shot by Girard, saved by DeSmith
  15. P1 12:33Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by DeSmith
  16. P1 13:07Goal by Mittelstadt (Lehkonen)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, Drouin, Toews, Mittelstadt, Makar · DAL Dadonov, Robertson, Heiskanen, Lyubushkin, Johnston

  17. P1 13:53Shot by MacKinnon, saved by DeSmith
  18. P1 15:52Shot by Bourque, saved by Wedgewood
  19. P1 16:46Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Wedgewood5v6
  20. P1 16:56Kelly: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Manson, Girard, Kelly, O'Connor, Kiviranta · DAL Benn, Duchene, Lindell, Robertson, Lundkvist, Stankoven

  21. P1 17:46Shot by Benn, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  22. P1 18:17Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  23. P1 18:47Shot by O'Connor, saved by DeSmith4v5
  24. P1 19:05Shot by Steel, saved by Wedgewood
  25. P1 19:08Shot by Lindell, saved by Wedgewood
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:10Shot by Robertson, saved by Wedgewood
  29. P2 0:30Shot by Johnston, saved by Wedgewood
  30. P2 0:57Shot by Dadonov, saved by Wedgewood
  31. P2 1:16Shot by Drouin, saved by DeSmith
  32. P2 3:21Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Wedgewood
  33. P2 3:26Shot by Benn, saved by Wedgewood
  34. P2 4:22Shot by Lehkonen, saved by DeSmith
  35. P2 6:20Shot by Drouin, saved by DeSmith6v5
  36. P2 6:22Blackwell: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Manson, MacKinnon, Drouin, Rantanen, Girard, Colton · DAL Blackwell, Lindell, Bäck, Lyubushkin, Hryckowian

  37. P2 7:52Shot by Harley, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  38. P2 8:24Shot by Girard, saved by DeSmith
  39. P2 8:59Shot by Rantanen, saved by DeSmith
  40. P2 9:09Stankoven: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar · DAL Benn, Duchene, Heiskanen, Lundkvist, Stankoven

  41. P2 9:56Shot by Drouin, saved by DeSmith5v4
  42. P2 10:31Goal by Makar (MacKinnon, Rantanen)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Drouin, Rantanen, Makar · DAL Blackwell, Lindell, Bäck, Harley

  43. P2 10:43Shot by Stankoven, saved by Wedgewood
  44. P2 11:56Goal by Lehkonen (Drouin)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, Drouin, Toews, Girard, Kelly · DAL Dadonov, Robertson, Heiskanen, Harley, Johnston

  45. P2 12:54Shot by Harley, saved by Wedgewood
  46. P2 13:48Shot by Middleton, saved by DeSmith
  47. P2 14:09Shot by Bäck, saved by Wedgewood
  48. P2 15:03Shot by Duchene, saved by Wedgewood
  49. P2 16:17Shot by Robertson, saved by Wedgewood
  50. P2 17:18Shot by Toews, saved by DeSmith
  51. P2 17:28Shot by Toews, saved by DeSmith
  52. P2 18:30Goal by Drouin (Lehkonen, Manson)+6 pts WP

    On ice: COL de Haan, Manson, Lehkonen, Drouin, Mittelstadt · DAL Dumba, Steel, Lundkvist, Blümel, Bourque

  53. P2 19:06Shot by Girard, saved by DeSmith
  54. P2 19:18Shot by Hryckowian, saved by Wedgewood
  55. P2 19:40Shot by Johnston, saved by Wedgewood
  56. P2 19:51Manson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, Toews, Kelly, O'Connor, Kiviranta · DAL Duchene, Robertson, Heiskanen, Harley, Johnston

  57. P2 19:56Shot by Duchene, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  58. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:44Shot by Robertson, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  61. P3 0:48Shot by Benn, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  62. P3 4:41Shot by Dadonov, saved by Wedgewood
  63. P3 5:38Shot by Bourque, saved by Wedgewood
  64. P3 6:30Shot by Lehkonen, saved by DeSmith
  65. P3 7:55Shot by Blümel, saved by Wedgewood
  66. P3 8:13Goal by Lehkonen (Mittelstadt, Manson)+1 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, Drouin, Toews, Mittelstadt, Makar · DAL Benn, Duchene, Dumba, Heiskanen, Stankoven

  67. P3 8:33Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by DeSmith
  68. P3 8:42Shot by Toews, saved by DeSmith
  69. P3 11:08Goal by Robertson (Johnston, Lyubushkin)+1 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, Drouin, Toews, Mittelstadt, Makar · DAL Dadonov, Robertson, Heiskanen, Lyubushkin, Johnston

  70. P3 11:34Toews: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, Drouin, Toews, Mittelstadt, Makar · DAL Benn, Duchene, Robertson, Lundkvist, Harley, Stankoven

  71. P3 11:47Goal by Robertson (Duchene, Johnston)4v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, Girard, Kelly, O'Connor · DAL Benn, Duchene, Robertson, Heiskanen, Johnston

  72. P3 13:11Shot by Drouin, saved by DeSmith
  73. P3 13:13Goal by Makar (Drouin, Mittelstadt)+2 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, Drouin, Toews, Mittelstadt, Makar · DAL Benn, Duchene, Lundkvist, Harley, Stankoven

  74. P3 15:06Shot by Kiviranta, saved by DeSmith
  75. P3 15:10Shot by O'Connor, saved by DeSmith
  76. P3 15:30Shot by Kiviranta, saved by DeSmith
  77. P3 19:27Shot by Robertson, saved by Wedgewood
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final