Sat, Jan 18, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington
Pittsburgh Penguins 1, Washington Capitals 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 75% of the time.
68%
18%
WSH winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 24:12 | 0.09 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:18 | 0.00 | 17.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:13 | 0.00 | 18.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:24 | 0.01 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 17:58 | 0.87 | 66.1% | +11.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 3 | 17:35 | 0.42 | 61.1% | +11.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:32 | 0.15 | 22.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:24 | 0.18 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:18 | 0.23 | 65.9% | +11.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:41 | 0.03 | 83.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:03 | 0.05 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:52 | 0.24 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:39 | 0.11 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:38 | 0.08 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:47 | 0.01 | 81.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:59 | 0.09 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:48 | 0.05 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:04 | 0.11 | 62.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 3.56 | +0.6 | 59:41 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 24:31 | 0.31 | 54.8% | +11.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:22 | 0.70 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 | 20:50 | 1.09 | 45.4% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:46 | 0.06 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:20 | 0.10 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:14 | 0.02 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:10 | 0.02 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:43 | 0.43 | 52.5% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:10 | 0.00 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 16:02 | 0.00 | 61.6% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:59 | 0.31 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 15:58 | 0.00 | 52.9% | +11.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 14:38 | 0.16 | 55.9% | +25.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:05 | 0.05 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:00 | 0.81 | 46.3% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:01 | 0.00 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:47 | 0.00 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:24 | 0.20 | 34.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 19 | 18 | 1 | .947 | 2.72 | +1.7 | 60:00 |