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Ice Lab

Left wing · #77

Connor McMichael

Washington Capitals St. Louis Blues(traded during the season)
Age
25
Shoots
Left
Height
183 cm
Weight
82 kg
Born
Ajax, CAN
Draft
2019, round 1, #25 (WSH)

Career · 2020–21 to 2026–27

Games
318
Goals
68
Points
157
TOI per game
15:05
xGF% (5v5)
50.0%
Goals above expected
−9.5
ShowAll teamsWashington CapitalsSt. Louis Blues

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2020–21WSH100009:5410.0%00.155.2%
2021–22WSH689918−310:281058.6%011.556.1%
2022–23WSH600008:5220.0%00.128.0%
2023–24WSH80181533−2015:5913513.3%620.447.5%
2024–25WSH82263157+1916:4917714.7%1025.451.8%
2025–26WSH78143246+816:541429.9%518.947.3%
2026–27STL3123−115:25812.5%10.963.4%
Total2 teams3186889157+315:0557011.9%2277.550.0%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.20.40.60.811.250100150200250300
8m10m12m14m16m18m20m50100150200250300Game

Player card

Model-based

How 2020–21 to 2026–27 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

2nd line

60th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

2nd line
  • Goals /600.8566th pct
  • Assists /601.1170th pct
  • ixG /600.9780th pct
  • Goals above expected−9.514th pct

Play-driving

3rd line
  • xGF% (5v5)50.0%62nd pct
  • CF% (5v5)48.6%48th pct
  • Relative xGF%+0.363rd pct
  • Penalty diff /60-0.1820th pct

Usage

2nd line
  • TOI per game15:0567th pct
  • PP time share25.0%56th pct
  • Offensive zone starts54.1%48th pct
  • Quality of competition24.7%74th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Most similar players this season

  1. James van RiemsdykPHI/BOS/CBJ/DET0.82
  2. Wyatt JohnstonDAL0.79
  3. Tyler SeguinDAL0.76
  4. Ryan HartmanMIN0.75
  5. Alex TuchBUF0.73
  6. John TavaresTOR0.72

Faceoffs

How often McMichael wins the draw over 2020–21 to 2026–27, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 1171+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

43.0%

839–1114 · #173 of 187 regulars, 8th percentile

Against an average centre

43.7%

Opponents won 50.7% of their draws; an average centre would have won 49.3% against them.

Wins above average

−124

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

7.7

1,953 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

39%414 · +1.342%380 · +1.640%270 · +0.860%57 · +0.141%64 · −0.247%55 · −1.347%66 · +1.041%288 · +1.849%359 · +2.0Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone40.9% 266–384
  • Neutral zone42.7% 280–376
  • Defensive zone45.3% 293–354

By strength

  • Even strength43.3% 696–911
  • Power play46.9% 67–76
  • Shorthanded37.4% 76–127

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +11 after a win, −14 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.2 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2020–211100.0%103.9%
2021–2234542.9%43.0%
2022–23366.7%67.4%
2023–2487242.4%43.5%
2024–2510946.8%48.6%
2025–2661842.9%43.2%
2026–27540.0%40.2%

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

−9.5 goals above expected

02040608050100150200250300Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−60−40−200+20+40+60+80+100

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed33.5 km/h31st pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph19th pct
  • Hardest shot116.0 km/h31st pct
  • Distance skated12 km51st pct
  • Offensive-zone time43.5%66th pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

37.0 km/h80th pct

▲ +0.4 km/h since 2024–25

343536373821–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 37.3 km/h, 90th percentile (68 games)2022–23: 36.2 km/h, 56th percentile (6 games, too few to rank reliably)2023–24: 37.4 km/h, 91st percentile (80 games)2024–25: 36.7 km/h, 69th percentile (82 games)2025–26: 37.0 km/h, 80th percentile (78 games)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

7.975th pct

▼ −0.0 since 2024–25

05101521–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 12.2, 93rd percentile (68 games)2022–23: 13.5, 96th percentile (6 games, too few to rank reliably)2023–24: 8.6, 82nd percentile (80 games)2024–25: 8.0, 75th percentile (82 games)2025–26: 7.9, 75th percentile (78 games)

Distance skated per 60

15.4 km40th pct

▲ +0.0 km since 2024–25

14.51515.51616.521–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 16.1 km, 78th percentile (68 games)2022–23: 15.7 km, 68th percentile (6 games, too few to rank reliably)2023–24: 16.2 km, 86th percentile (80 games)2024–25: 15.3 km, 29th percentile (82 games)2025–26: 15.4 km, 40th percentile (78 games)

Hardest shot

147.1 km/h86th pct

▲ +7.8 km/h since 2024–25

608010012014016021–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 136.5 km/h, 21st percentile (68 games)2022–23: 83.9 km/h, 0th percentile (6 games, too few to rank reliably)2023–24: 147.3 km/h, 74th percentile (80 games)2024–25: 139.3 km/h, 46th percentile (82 games)2025–26: 147.1 km/h, 86th percentile (78 games)

Offensive-zone time

37.8%8th pct

▼ −2.4 points since 2024–25

34%36%38%40%42%44%46%21–2222–2323–2424–2525–262021–22: 42.0%, 55th percentile (68 games)2022–23: 35.3%, 1st percentile (6 games, too few to rank reliably)2023–24: 37.6%, 8th percentile (80 games)2024–25: 40.3%, 28th percentile (82 games)2025–26: 37.8%, 8th percentile (78 games)