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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 23, 2025·Madison Square Garden, New York

Philadelphia Flyers 1, New York Rangers 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 51% of the time.

NYR winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:13Shot by Fox, saved by Ersson
  3. P1 0:57Shot by Konecny, saved by Shesterkin
  4. P1 1:16Shot by Miller, saved by Ersson
  5. P1 1:25Goal by Tippett (Konecny, Frost)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Smith, Vaakanainen, Chytil, Miller, Cuylle · PHI Seeler, Konecny, Tippett, Frost, Drysdale

  6. P1 1:36Shot by Edstrom, saved by Ersson
  7. P1 1:47Shot by Fox, saved by Ersson
  8. P1 3:45Shot by Michkov, saved by Shesterkin
  9. P1 4:47Lindgren: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Carrick, Fox, Lindgren, Edstrom, Rempe · PHI Ristolainen, Konecny, Cates, Zamula, Foerster

  10. P1 5:22Shot by Trocheck, saved by Ersson4v5
  11. P1 5:59Shot by Foerster, saved by Shesterkin4v5
  12. P1 6:17Brink: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Miller, Schneider · PHI Ristolainen, Sanheim, Cates, Brink, Foerster

  13. P1 6:53Shot by Chytil, saved by Ersson5v4
  14. P1 8:47Shot by Kaliyev, saved by Ersson
  15. P1 9:00Goal by Schneider (Kaliyev, Smith)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Smith, Vaakanainen, Chytil, Kaliyev, Schneider · PHI Richard, Abols, Zamula, Drysdale, Michkov

  16. P1 9:39Shot by Sanheim, saved by Shesterkin
  17. P1 10:24Goal by Edstrom (Lindgren, Fox)+12 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Carrick, Fox, Lindgren, Edstrom, Rempe · PHI Seeler, Cates, Brink, Drysdale, Foerster

  18. P1 10:48Shot by Couturier, saved by Shesterkin
  19. P1 11:43Shot by Fox, saved by Ersson
  20. P1 13:08Shot by Richard, saved by Shesterkin
  21. P1 13:10Shot by Kaliyev, saved by Ersson
  22. P1 13:37Shot by Carrick, saved by Ersson
  23. P1 13:56Shot by Sanheim, saved by Shesterkin
  24. P1 14:03Shot by Couturier, saved by Shesterkin
  25. P1 15:15Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Ersson
  26. P1 17:10Shot by Borgen, saved by Ersson
  27. P1 17:51Shot by Tippett, saved by Shesterkin
  28. P1 18:51Shot by Farabee, saved by Shesterkin
  29. P1 19:02Shot by Chytil, saved by Ersson
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:36Shot by York, saved by Shesterkin
  33. P2 0:37Shot by Sanheim, saved by Shesterkin
  34. P2 3:03Shot by Abols, saved by Shesterkin
  35. P2 3:49Shot by Cates, saved by Shesterkin
  36. P2 4:44Goal by Miller (Borgen, Panarin)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Borgen, Miller, Lafrenière · PHI Sanheim, Konecny, Tippett, Frost, Zamula

  37. P2 4:59Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Ersson
  38. P2 5:00Shot by Cuylle, saved by Ersson
  39. P2 5:25Shot by Farabee, saved by Shesterkin
  40. P2 5:36Shot by Michkov, saved by Shesterkin
  41. P2 6:26Shot by Hathaway, saved by Shesterkin
  42. P2 6:40Shot by Abols, saved by Shesterkin
  43. P2 6:41Shot by Hathaway, saved by Shesterkin
  44. P2 6:51Shot by Carrick, saved by Ersson
  45. P2 7:39Shot by Borgen, saved by Ersson
  46. P2 10:44Shot by Abols, saved by Shesterkin
  47. P2 11:32Shot by Brink, saved by Shesterkin
  48. P2 12:35Panarin: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Borgen, Miller, Edstrom, Rempe · PHI Seeler, Konecny, Tippett, Frost, Brink, Drysdale

  49. P2 15:10Shot by Chytil, saved by Ersson
  50. P2 15:27Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Ersson
  51. P2 15:39Shot by Couturier, saved by Shesterkin
  52. P2 16:31Shot by Tippett, saved by Shesterkin
  53. P2 17:29Shot by Cates, saved by Shesterkin
  54. P2 17:40Shot by Panarin, saved by Ersson
  55. P2 18:11Shot by Foerster, saved by Shesterkin
  56. P2 19:03Shot by York, saved by Shesterkin
  57. P2 19:45Shot by Tippett, saved by Shesterkin
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 1:21Shot by Konecny, saved by Shesterkin
  61. P3 2:27Shot by York, saved by Shesterkin
  62. P3 2:52Shot by York, saved by Shesterkin
  63. P3 3:18Shot by Cuylle, saved by Ersson
  64. P3 4:48Shot by York, saved by Shesterkin
  65. P3 5:15Goal by Chytil (Vaakanainen, Miller)+4 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Vaakanainen, Chytil, Miller, Kaliyev · PHI Couturier, Sanheim, Farabee, York, Michkov

  66. P3 6:01Shot by Schneider, saved by Ersson
  67. P3 6:57Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Ersson
  68. P3 8:53Shot by Abols, saved by Shesterkin
  69. P3 10:43Shot by Trocheck, saved by Ersson
  70. P3 10:48Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Ersson
  71. P3 12:11Shot by Carrick, saved by Ersson
  72. P3 13:56Shot by Hathaway, saved by Shesterkin
  73. P3 14:44Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Ersson
  74. P3 14:58Shot by Trocheck, saved by Ersson
  75. P3 15:27Panarin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trocheck, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Lafrenière · PHI Hathaway, Sanheim, Tippett, Frost, Zamula

  76. P3 16:53Goal by Fox, unassisted4v60 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Fox, Miller · PHI Sanheim, Richard, Konecny, Tippett, Foerster, Michkov

  77. P3 18:04Cates: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Trocheck, Panarin, Borgen, Miller, Lafrenière · PHI Hathaway, Sanheim, Cates, York, Foerster

  78. P3 18:12Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Ersson5v4
  79. P3 18:15Goal by Smith (Lafrenière, Chytil)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Smith, Chytil, Miller, Lafrenière, Cuylle · PHI Seeler, Ristolainen, Abols, Farabee

  80. P3 18:39Shot by Vaakanainen, saved by Ersson
  81. P3 18:55Shot by Carrick, saved by Ersson
  82. P3 0:00Period end
  83. P3 0:00Final