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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 25, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Tampa Bay Lightning 0, Detroit Red Wings 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 65% of the time.

DET winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:38Shot by Soderblom, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 4:35Shot by Veleno, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 4:56Shot by Kucherov, saved by Talbot
  5. P1 5:21Shot by Raymond, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 6:31Shot by Cernak, saved by Talbot
  7. P1 6:43Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 7:18Shot by Seider, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 7:59Shot by Compher, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 8:34Shot by Kucherov, saved by Talbot
  11. P1 8:58Shot by Johansson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 9:53Shot by Chiarot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 11:11Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 11:43Shot by Raddysh, saved by Talbot
  15. P1 12:49Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Talbot
  16. P1 15:01Shot by Crozier, saved by Talbot
  17. P1 16:55Shot by Copp, saved by Vasilevskiy
  18. P1 17:09Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 17:43Shot by Kasper, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 17:47Shot by Raymond, saved by Vasilevskiy
  21. P1 19:19Shot by McDonagh, saved by Talbot
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 1:38Shot by Paul, saved by Talbot
  25. P2 2:50Shot by Fischer, saved by Vasilevskiy
  26. P2 3:04Shot by Glendening, saved by Talbot
  27. P2 3:52Shot by Cernak, saved by Talbot
  28. P2 5:06Shot by Cirelli, saved by Talbot
  29. P2 5:20Shot by Veleno, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P2 5:53Shot by Paul, saved by Talbot
  31. P2 6:32Shot by Hagel, saved by Talbot
  32. P2 7:15Shot by Kucherov, saved by Talbot
  33. P2 7:19Kasper: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Kasper · TBL Kucherov, Point, Hagel, Perbix, Lilleberg

  34. P2 8:19Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  35. P2 8:28Larkin: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Copp, Larkin, Seider · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Chaffee

  36. P2 8:28Guentzel: Embellishment (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Copp, Larkin, Seider · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Chaffee

  37. P2 8:47Shot by Point, saved by Talbot4v5
  38. P2 9:55Goal by Kasper (Compher, Fischer)+19 pts WP

    On ice: DET Compher, Fischer, Johansson, Edvinsson, Kasper · TBL Hedman, Paul, Point, Raddysh, Geekie

  39. P2 10:12Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 11:21Lilleberg: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Holl, Compher, Veleno, Berggren, Seider · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Cirelli, Perbix, Lilleberg

  41. P2 11:25Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  42. P2 12:16Shot by Larkin, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  43. P2 12:17Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  44. P2 14:06Shot by Guentzel, saved by Talbot
  45. P2 15:34Shot by Johansson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 17:19Shot by Raymond, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 17:27Shot by Holl, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P2 19:53Shot by Chiarot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P2 0:00Hedman: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Kasper · TBL Hedman, Guentzel, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel

  50. P2 0:00Hagel: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Kasper · TBL Hedman, Guentzel, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel

  51. P2 0:00Raymond: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Kasper · TBL Hedman, Guentzel, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel

  52. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 1:01Shot by Cirelli, saved by Talbot5v4
  55. P3 2:26Shot by Kucherov, saved by Talbot
  56. P3 2:35Shot by Hagel, saved by Talbot
  57. P3 2:53Shot by Fischer, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P3 2:54Shot by Fischer, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 3:25Shot by Crozier, saved by Talbot
  60. P3 3:33Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 5:16Eyssimont: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: DET Holl, Tarasenko, Gustafsson, DeBrincat, Seider · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Cernak, Cirelli, Perbix, Lilleberg

  62. P3 6:15Shot by Raymond, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  63. P3 6:39Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  64. P3 8:16Shot by Kucherov, saved by Talbot
  65. P3 8:32Shot by Hedman, saved by Talbot
  66. P3 9:10Edvinsson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Tarasenko, Larkin, Johansson, Soderblom, Edvinsson · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Cirelli, Perbix, Lilleberg

  67. P3 10:01Shot by Kucherov, saved by Talbot4v5
  68. P3 10:02Shot by Kucherov, saved by Talbot4v5
  69. P3 10:35Shot by Hedman, saved by Talbot4v5
  70. P3 16:39Shot by Raymond, saved by Vasilevskiy
  71. P3 17:30Shot by Hedman, saved by Talbot
  72. P3 18:06Shot by Point, saved by Talbot5v6
  73. P3 18:26Shot by Cirelli, saved by Talbot5v6
  74. P3 19:32Goal by Rasmussen (Johansson)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: DET Compher, Larkin, Rasmussen, Johansson, Edvinsson · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Cirelli

  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final