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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 27, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Los Angeles Kings 2, Detroit Red Wings 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 50% of the time.

DET winsLAK wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:18Shot by Foegele, saved by Talbot
  3. P1 0:20Shot by Moore, saved by Talbot
  4. P1 1:30Shot by Larkin, saved by Kuemper
  5. P1 2:12Shot by Laferriere, saved by Talbot
  6. P1 3:04Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Kuemper
  7. P1 3:27Shot by Seider, saved by Kuemper
  8. P1 3:58Shot by Raymond, saved by Kuemper
  9. P1 5:51Shot by Veleno, saved by Kuemper
  10. P1 5:54Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Kuemper
  11. P1 9:28Shot by Soderblom, saved by Kuemper
  12. P1 10:07Shot by Anderson, saved by Talbot
  13. P1 10:38Seider: Cross checking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Kasper · LAK Kopitar, Lewis, Gavrikov, Jeannot, Anderson, Helenius

  14. P1 10:46Shot by Fiala, saved by Talbot4v5
  15. P1 11:09Shot by Byfield, saved by Talbot4v5
  16. P1 13:01Shot by Berggren, saved by Kuemper
  17. P1 14:50Goal by Fiala (Spence, Laferriere)+18 pts WP

    On ice: DET Holl, Gustafsson, Motte, Fischer, Veleno · LAK Edmundson, Danault, Fiala, Spence, Laferriere

  18. P1 17:01Shot by Kempe, saved by Talbot
  19. P1 17:05Goal by Byfield, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Kasper · LAK Edmundson, Foegele, Moore, Spence, Byfield

  20. P1 17:15Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Talbot
  21. P1 17:40Goal by Raymond (Kasper, Larkin)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Kasper · LAK Foegele, Gavrikov, Moore, Anderson, Byfield

  22. P1 18:41Shot by Chiarot, saved by Kuemper
  23. P1 18:47Shot by Motte, saved by Kuemper
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 4:32Shot by Turcotte, saved by Talbot
  27. P2 4:33Turcotte: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Larkin, Johansson, Raymond, Edvinsson, Kasper · LAK Kopitar, Kempe, Gavrikov, Anderson, Turcotte

  28. P2 5:13Byfield: Tripping (2 min)6v4

    On ice: DET Copp, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond, Kasper · LAK Danault, Gavrikov, Anderson, Byfield

  29. P2 5:44Shot by Kasper, saved by Kuemper5v3
  30. P2 6:03Goal by DeBrincat (Raymond, Seider)5v3+22 pts WP

    On ice: DET Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond, Kasper · LAK Kopitar, Gavrikov, Anderson

  31. P2 8:48Shot by Kopitar, saved by Talbot
  32. P2 8:50Shot by Kopitar, saved by Talbot
  33. P2 9:09Shot by Spence, saved by Talbot
  34. P2 9:12Shot by Edmundson, saved by Talbot
  35. P2 10:37Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Kuemper
  36. P2 13:41Shot by Clarke, saved by Talbot
  37. P2 14:12Shot by Moore, saved by Talbot
  38. P2 16:53Goal by Soderblom (Fischer, Johansson)+22 pts WP

    On ice: DET Fischer, Rasmussen, Johansson, Soderblom, Edvinsson · LAK Lewis, Moverare, Jeannot, Byfield, Clarke

  39. P2 18:52Shot by Raymond, saved by Kuemper
  40. P2 19:23Shot by Larkin, saved by Kuemper
  41. P2 19:30Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Kuemper
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:44Shot by Spence, saved by Talbot
  45. P3 3:44Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Talbot
  46. P3 3:59Shot by Anderson, saved by Talbot
  47. P3 6:20Shot by Kempe, saved by Talbot
  48. P3 6:56Shot by Larkin, saved by Kuemper
  49. P3 7:04Shot by Larkin, saved by Kuemper
  50. P3 7:17Shot by Copp, saved by Kuemper
  51. P3 7:18Shot by Copp, saved by Kuemper
  52. P3 8:07Shot by Fiala, saved by Talbot
  53. P3 8:43Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Kuemper
  54. P3 9:53Shot by Kempe, saved by Talbot
  55. P3 10:03Shot by Kasper, saved by Kuemper
  56. P3 10:05Goal by Kasper (Raymond)+12 pts WP

    On ice: DET Larkin, Johansson, Raymond, Edvinsson, Kasper · LAK Kopitar, Kempe, Moore, Anderson, Clarke

  57. P3 10:38Shot by Byfield, saved by Talbot
  58. P3 13:41Shot by Raymond, saved by Kuemper
  59. P3 14:14Moore: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Kasper · LAK Kopitar, Kempe, Moore, Anderson, Spence

  60. P3 15:12Shot by Larkin, saved by Kuemper5v4
  61. P3 15:33Shot by Gavrikov, saved by Talbot5v4
  62. P3 19:29Shot by Kempe, saved by Talbot5v6
  63. P3 19:53Goal by Kasper (Larkin, Raymond)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Kasper · LAK Kopitar, Danault, Fiala, Kempe, Spence, Byfield

  64. P3 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Final