Thu, Feb 6, 2025·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Vancouver Canucks 2, San Jose Sharks 1 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 06 | 013 | 13 | 12 | 224 |
| SJS | 07 | 09 | 116 | 02 | 134 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P3 8:04VANDakota JoshuaPPAssists: Pius Suter, Tyler Myers · Tip-in, 0.14 xG1–0
- P3 18:32SJSTyler ToffoliAssists: William Eklund · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–1
- OT 0:33VANDrew O'ConnorGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.23 xG2–1
Penalties (7)
- P1 7:29SJSAndrew Poturalski: Tripping2 min
- P1 19:16SJSMario Ferraro: Cross checking2 min
- P2 8:21SJSJake Walman: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:32VANDrew O'Connor: Roughing2 min
- P3 6:04SJSMacklin Celebrini: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
- P3 16:04VANFilip Chytil: Hooking2 min
- OT 0:33SJSMacklin Celebrini: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway0 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Celebrini won the faceoff against Pettersson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- Boeser – Chytil – O'Connor10:56
xG 0.67–0.64 (51%)attempts 11–11goals 0–0
- Blueger – Hoglander – Aman8:48
xG 0.21–0.20 (51%)attempts 11–6goals 0–0
- DeBrusk – Garland – Pettersson7:19
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Joshua – Suter – Sherwood10:26
xG 0.14–0.40 (26%)attempts 10–11goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSoucy – Pettersson7:16
xG 0.20–0.10 (67%)attempts 10–2goals 0–0
- Forbort – Hronek10:17
xG 0.40–0.39 (51%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Pettersson – Pettersson2:36
xG 0.00–0.09 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestToffoli – Eklund – Celebrini12:34
xG 0.47–0.06 (88%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
- Goodrow – Kunin – Graf8:20
xG 0.39–0.05 (88%)attempts 6–4goals 0–0
- Grundstrom – Dellandrea – Duehr8:26
xG 0.37–0.14 (72%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
- Poturalski – Zetterlund – Smith10:59
xG 0.42–0.51 (45%)attempts 6–13goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestLiljegren – Mukhamadullin10:28
xG 0.84–0.20 (80%)attempts 14–12goals 0–0
- Ferraro – Liljegren4:49
xG 0.40–0.06 (88%)attempts 3–5goals 0–0
- Walman – Thrun11:09
xG 0.22–0.07 (77%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).