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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 8, 2025·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul

New York Islanders 3, Minnesota Wild 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 59% of the time.

MIN winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:47Shot by Lee, saved by Gustavsson
  3. P1 2:49Shot by Duclair, saved by Gustavsson
  4. P1 3:19Goal by Rossi (Boldy, Spurgeon)+10 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Brodin, Boldy, Rossi · NYI Lee, Duclair, Horvat, DeAngelo, Romanov

  5. P1 3:32Goal by Palmieri (Nelson, Tsyplakov)+10 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Foligno, Shore, Middleton, Trenin, Faber · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pelech, Perunovich, Tsyplakov

  6. P1 5:46Shot by Trenin, saved by Sorokin
  7. P1 7:01Rossi: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Zuccarello, Middleton, Boldy, Rossi, Faber · NYI Cizikas, Pageau, Pelech, Boqvist, Holmstrom

  8. P1 7:36Shot by Nelson, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  9. P1 7:48Shot by Nelson, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  10. P1 8:31Shot by Lee, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  11. P1 9:26Perunovich: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Foligno, Merrill, Gaudreau, Rossi · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Boqvist, Perunovich, Tsyplakov

  12. P1 10:02Shot by Faber, saved by Sorokin5v4
  13. P1 10:21Shot by Rossi, saved by Sorokin5v4
  14. P1 10:30Shot by Boldy, saved by Sorokin5v4
  15. P1 10:42Shot by Faber, saved by Sorokin5v4
  16. P1 10:55Shot by Boldy, saved by Sorokin5v4
  17. P1 11:30Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Sorokin
  18. P1 12:16Shot by Perunovich, saved by Gustavsson
  19. P1 12:23Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Gustavsson
  20. P1 13:18Shot by Trenin, saved by Sorokin
  21. P1 14:17Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Sorokin
  22. P1 16:12Shot by Trenin, saved by Sorokin
  23. P1 16:26Shot by Horvat, saved by Gustavsson
  24. P1 19:31Shot by Bogosian, saved by Sorokin
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:28Goal by Nelson (Tsyplakov, Palmieri)+20 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Brodin, Boldy, Rossi · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, DeAngelo, Romanov, Tsyplakov

  28. P2 2:39Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Sorokin
  29. P2 2:41Shot by Trenin, saved by Sorokin
  30. P2 3:26Shot by Palmieri, saved by Gustavsson
  31. P2 4:00Shot by Pelech, saved by Gustavsson
  32. P2 4:01Shot by Lee, saved by Gustavsson
  33. P2 4:11Shot by Cizikas, saved by Gustavsson
  34. P2 6:56Shot by Nelson, saved by Gustavsson
  35. P2 6:57Shot by Nelson, saved by Gustavsson
  36. P2 7:06Shot by Pelech, saved by Gustavsson
  37. P2 7:17Goal by Lee (Perunovich)+16 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Brodin, Trenin, Rossi · NYI Lee, Pelech, Duclair, Horvat, Perunovich

  38. P2 9:37Shot by Brodin, saved by Sorokin
  39. P2 10:00Shot by Palmieri, saved by Gustavsson
  40. P2 10:45Shot by Horvat, saved by Gustavsson
  41. P2 11:23Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Gustavsson
  42. P2 11:38Cizikas: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Hinostroza, Gaudreau, Middleton, Boldy, Faber · NYI Cizikas, Pageau, DeAngelo, Romanov, Holmstrom

  43. P2 13:21Goal by Gaudreau (Ohgren, Faber)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Johansson, Gaudreau, Chisholm, Ohgren · NYI Pageau, DeAngelo, Romanov, Holmstrom

  44. P2 15:18Shot by Nelson, saved by Gustavsson
  45. P2 17:25Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Sorokin
  46. P2 17:27Shot by Foligno, saved by Sorokin
  47. P2 17:59Goal by Boldy (Brodin, Spurgeon)+27 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Brodin, Boldy, Rossi · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pelech, Boqvist, Tsyplakov

  48. P2 18:34Shot by Trenin, saved by Sorokin
  49. P2 18:50Goal by Trenin (Middleton, Khusnutdinov)+22 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Foligno, Middleton, Trenin, Faber, Khusnutdinov · NYI Lee, Duclair, Horvat, DeAngelo, Romanov

  50. P2 19:41Shot by Engvall, saved by Gustavsson
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:53Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Gustavsson
  54. P3 1:08Shot by Boldy, saved by Sorokin
  55. P3 1:22Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Sorokin
  56. P3 1:26Shot by Merrill, saved by Sorokin
  57. P3 1:55Shot by Khusnutdinov, saved by Sorokin
  58. P3 3:25Shot by Brodin, saved by Sorokin
  59. P3 3:31Shot by Trenin, saved by Sorokin
  60. P3 5:05Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Sorokin
  61. P3 5:42Shot by Merrill, saved by Sorokin
  62. P3 5:53Goal by Boldy, unassisted+13 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Bogosian, Zuccarello, Merrill, Boldy, Rossi · NYI Palmieri, Nelson, DeAngelo, Romanov, Tsyplakov

  63. P3 8:46Shot by Lee, saved by Gustavsson
  64. P3 9:46Shot by Pelech, saved by Gustavsson
  65. P3 9:59Chisholm: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Bogosian, Foligno, Trenin, Chisholm, Khusnutdinov · NYI Cizikas, Pageau, Pelech, Duclair, Perunovich

  66. P3 10:06Shot by Nelson, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  67. P3 10:48Shot by Boqvist, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  68. P3 10:52Shot by Faber, saved by Sorokin4v5
  69. P3 11:12Shot by Trenin, saved by Sorokin4v5
  70. P3 15:03Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Gustavsson5v6
  71. P3 15:07Shot by Lee, saved by Gustavsson5v6
  72. P3 15:39Shot by Nelson, saved by Gustavsson5v6
  73. P3 15:41Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Gustavsson5v6
  74. P3 15:46Goal by Foligno, unassisted5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Foligno, Gaudreau, Middleton, Trenin, Faber · NYI Lee, Nelson, Horvat, DeAngelo, Boqvist, Holmstrom

  75. P3 16:13Shot by Tsyplakov, saved by Gustavsson
  76. P3 16:45Shot by Bogosian, saved by Sorokin
  77. P3 17:53Shot by Engvall, saved by Gustavsson
  78. P3 19:07Shot by Nelson, saved by Gustavsson
  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final