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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 23, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

New York Rangers 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 87% of the time.

PIT winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:21Shot by Vaakanainen, saved by Blomqvist
  3. P1 4:37Shot by Glass, saved by Shesterkin
  4. P1 6:13Shot by Crosby, saved by Shesterkin
  5. P1 7:29Shot by Schneider, saved by Blomqvist
  6. P1 8:21Shot by Crosby, saved by Shesterkin
  7. P1 9:21Shot by Graves, saved by Shesterkin
  8. P1 11:25Shot by Nieto, saved by Shesterkin
  9. P1 12:09Shot by Trocheck, saved by Blomqvist
  10. P1 12:48Shot by Heinen, saved by Shesterkin
  11. P1 12:53Goal by Malkin (Glass, Heinen)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Heinen, Glass, Joseph · NYR Trocheck, Vesey, Fox, Vaakanainen, Lafrenière

  12. P1 13:30Shot by Bunting, saved by Shesterkin
  13. P1 14:24Rempe: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Grzelcyk, Beauvillier, Acciari · NYR Brodzinski, Borgen, Miller, Kaliyev, Rempe

  14. P1 14:55Shot by Bunting, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  15. P1 15:15Shot by Smith, saved by Blomqvist5v4
  16. P1 16:34Shot by Letang, saved by Shesterkin
  17. P1 16:43Shot by Nieto, saved by Shesterkin
  18. P1 17:41Letang: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Beauvillier, Joseph · NYR Brodzinski, Borgen, Miller, Kaliyev, Rempe

  19. P1 19:12Goal by Cuylle (Miller, Smith)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Acciari, Joseph, Lizotte · NYR Smith, Brodzinski, Miller, Lafrenière, Cuylle

  20. P1 19:57Shot by Rakell, saved by Shesterkin
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 1:25Shot by Hayes, saved by Shesterkin
  24. P2 1:37Shot by Heinen, saved by Shesterkin
  25. P2 3:51Shot by Glass, saved by Shesterkin
  26. P2 4:15Shot by Joseph, saved by Shesterkin
  27. P2 4:22Shot by Glass, saved by Shesterkin
  28. P2 4:30Shot by Crosby, saved by Shesterkin
  29. P2 4:45Vaakanainen: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Rakell, Beauvillier, Shea, Joseph · NYR Brodzinski, Vaakanainen, Kaliyev, Schneider, Rempe

  30. P2 4:54Shot by Bunting, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  31. P2 4:55Shot by Bunting, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  32. P2 5:02Shot by Crosby, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  33. P2 7:39Shot by Nieto, saved by Shesterkin
  34. P2 8:21Shot by Letang, saved by Shesterkin
  35. P2 8:45Shot by Letang, saved by Shesterkin
  36. P2 8:47Shot by Rakell, saved by Shesterkin
  37. P2 9:01Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Shesterkin
  38. P2 12:26Cuylle: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Rakell, Graves, Beauvillier, Shea · NYR Zibanejad, Miller, Borgen, Miller, Cuylle

  39. P2 13:06Shot by Karlsson, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  40. P2 14:09Shot by Tomasino, saved by Shesterkin5v4
  41. P2 14:27Shot by Tomasino, saved by Shesterkin
  42. P2 14:48Shot by Nieto, saved by Shesterkin
  43. P2 15:09Shot by Schneider, saved by Blomqvist
  44. P2 15:36Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Blomqvist
  45. P2 16:39Shot by Crosby, saved by Shesterkin
  46. P2 17:00Goal by Miller (Fox, Panarin)+27 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rakell, Beauvillier, Joseph · NYR Miller, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Lafrenière

  47. P2 17:37Shot by Letang, saved by Shesterkin
  48. P2 19:59Shot by Lafrenière, saved by Blomqvist
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:57Goal by Shea (Malkin, Karlsson)+29 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Karlsson, Acciari, Shea, Glass · NYR Miller, Panarin, Fox, Lindgren, Lafrenière

  52. P3 3:17Shot by Borgen, saved by Blomqvist
  53. P3 3:31Goal by Shea (Crosby, Hayes)+25 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Hayes, Bunting, Shea · NYR Miller, Panarin, Borgen, Miller, Lafrenière

  54. P3 4:21Goal by Vesey (Trocheck, Lindgren)+25 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rakell, Beauvillier, Joseph · NYR Trocheck, Vesey, Lindgren, Vaakanainen, Kaliyev

  55. P3 4:43Shot by Smith, saved by Blomqvist
  56. P3 4:52Shot by Cuylle, saved by Blomqvist
  57. P3 10:57Shot by Lindgren, saved by Blomqvist
  58. P3 11:26Goal by Fox (Smith, Zibanejad)+37 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Nieto, Acciari, Shea, Lizotte · NYR Smith, Zibanejad, Fox, Miller, Cuylle

  59. P3 13:27Shot by Rakell, saved by Shesterkin
  60. P3 15:29Shot by Tomasino, saved by Shesterkin
  61. P3 18:57Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Shesterkin6v5
  62. P3 18:58Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Shesterkin6v5
  63. P3 18:59Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Shesterkin6v5
  64. P3 19:03Shot by Hayes, saved by Shesterkin6v5
  65. P3 19:53Goal by Miller (Vesey, Lindgren)6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Karlsson, Hayes, Rakell, Bunting · NYR Trocheck, Miller, Vesey, Lindgren, Miller

  66. P3 0:00Period end
  67. P3 0:00Final