Sun, Feb 23, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
New York Rangers 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 87% of the time.
82%
8%
PIT winsNYR wins
New York Rangers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 23:24 | 0.00 | 33.6% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 22:14 | 0.05 | 30.4% | +28.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:17 | 0.08 | 12.1% | +25.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20:14 | 0.11 | 33.4% | +63.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:46 | 0.00 | 22.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 18:10 | 0.03 | 13.1% | +28.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:22 | 0.00 | 46.8% | +36.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:18 | 0.01 | 30.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16:56 | 0.90 | 29.0% | +29.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 15:56 | 0.00 | 25.9% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:51 | 0.06 | 22.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:29 | 0.11 | 20.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 14:19 | 0.20 | 42.9% | +51.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:17 | 0.32 | 60.3% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:52 | 0.27 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:05 | 0.00 | 12.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:38 | 0.01 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:52 | 0.00 | 34.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 40 | 37 | 3 | .925 | 4.88 | +1.9 | 60:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 27:54 | 0.06 | 63.6% | +28.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 23:41 | 0.09 | 72.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 23:08 | 0.52 | 79.5% | +24.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 21:38 | 0.47 | 79.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:02 | 0.11 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 20:37 | 0.13 | 73.9% | +53.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 16:27 | 0.83 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 16:19 | 0.22 | 74.6% | +41.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 15:54 | 0.21 | 73.4% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:24 | 0.03 | 82.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:18 | 0.61 | 65.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:51 | 0.40 | 68.6% | +24.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:34 | 0.24 | 67.3% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:47 | 0.00 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:29 | 0.47 | 70.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:20 | 0.02 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 10:41 | 0.48 | 75.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:00 | 0.00 | 33.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 15 | 11 | 4 | .733 | 1.39 | −2.6 | 58:25 |