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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 23, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Anaheim Ducks 4, Detroit Red Wings 5 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 79% of the time.

DET winsANA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:04Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Dostal
  3. P1 1:24Shot by Strome, saved by Lyon
  4. P1 1:32Shot by Helleson, saved by Lyon
  5. P1 2:37Shot by Zellweger, saved by Lyon
  6. P1 3:11Goal by Kasper (Raymond)+10 pts WP

    On ice: DET Larkin, Johansson, Raymond, Edvinsson, Kasper · ANA Strome, Trouba, Vatrano, Terry, Zellweger

  7. P1 3:14Shot by Motte, saved by Dostal
  8. P1 3:31Shot by Zegras, saved by Lyon
  9. P1 3:45Shot by Chiarot, saved by Dostal
  10. P1 3:59Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Dostal
  11. P1 4:21Lundeström: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Kane, Holl, Gustafsson, DeBrincat, Rasmussen, Soderblom · ANA Dumoulin, Johnston, Lundeström, Leason, Helleson

  12. P1 4:21Dumoulin: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Kane, Holl, Gustafsson, DeBrincat, Rasmussen, Soderblom · ANA Dumoulin, Johnston, Lundeström, Leason, Helleson

  13. P1 4:27Shot by Larkin, saved by Dostal5v3
  14. P1 4:29Goal by DeBrincat (Larkin, Kane)5v3+12 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · ANA Killorn, Gudas, Trouba

  15. P1 5:06Goal by Kane (Seider, Raymond)5v4+7 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · ANA Gudas, Trouba, Fabbri, Vatrano

  16. P1 5:24Vatrano: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: DET Tarasenko, Rasmussen, Johansson, Soderblom, Edvinsson · ANA Dumoulin, Strome, Vatrano, Terry, Helleson

  17. P1 5:24Johansson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Tarasenko, Rasmussen, Johansson, Soderblom, Edvinsson · ANA Dumoulin, Strome, Vatrano, Terry, Helleson

  18. P1 7:25Shot by Zegras, saved by Lyon
  19. P1 8:15Shot by Fabbri, saved by Lyon
  20. P1 8:21Shot by Terry, saved by Lyon
  21. P1 8:24Goal by Strome (Terry, Vatrano)+8 pts WP

    On ice: DET Larkin, Johansson, Raymond, Edvinsson, Kasper · ANA Dumoulin, Strome, Vatrano, Terry, Helleson

  22. P1 8:38Shot by Zegras, saved by Lyon
  23. P1 9:18Shot by Chiarot, saved by Dostal
  24. P1 9:54Shot by McTavish, saved by Lyon
  25. P1 12:59Shot by Motte, saved by Dostal
  26. P1 15:21Shot by Strome, saved by Lyon
  27. P1 16:29Shot by Fabbri, saved by Lyon
  28. P1 16:30Shot by Fabbri, saved by Lyon
  29. P1 16:40Shot by McTavish, saved by Lyon
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 1:19Helleson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kane, Chiarot, Compher, DeBrincat, Seider · ANA Killorn, Dumoulin, Zegras, Helleson, Carlsson

  33. P2 1:59Shot by Larkin, saved by Dostal5v4
  34. P2 2:10Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Dostal5v4
  35. P2 2:14Goal by Rasmussen (Compher, Gustafsson)5v4+7 pts WP

    On ice: DET Tarasenko, Gustafsson, Compher, Rasmussen, Kasper · ANA Dumoulin, Trouba, Fabbri, Leason

  36. P2 2:53Shot by Kasper, saved by Dostal
  37. P2 4:08Shot by Soderblom, saved by Dostal
  38. P2 4:30Shot by Chiarot, saved by Dostal
  39. P2 6:06Shot by Berggren, saved by Dostal
  40. P2 7:04Goal by Gauthier (LaCombe, McTavish)+7 pts WP

    On ice: DET Tarasenko, Rasmussen, Johansson, Soderblom, Edvinsson · ANA Gudas, Fabbri, LaCombe, McTavish, Gauthier

  41. P2 8:06Shot by LaCombe, saved by Lyon
  42. P2 8:58Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Dostal
  43. P2 9:30Shot by Zellweger, saved by Lyon
  44. P2 10:40Shot by Chiarot, saved by Dostal
  45. P2 13:32Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Dostal
  46. P2 13:45Shot by Holl, saved by Dostal
  47. P2 17:12Shot by Killorn, saved by Lyon
  48. P2 17:23Shot by Soderblom, saved by Dostal
  49. P2 17:37Shot by Seider, saved by Dostal
  50. P2 18:11Shot by Vatrano, saved by Lyon
  51. P2 19:14Shot by Terry, saved by Lyon
  52. P2 19:14Johansson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Larkin, Johansson, Raymond, Edvinsson, Kasper · ANA Gudas, Strome, Vatrano, Terry, LaCombe

  53. P2 19:52Shot by Compher, saved by Dostal4v5
  54. P2 0:00Chiarot: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Holl, Compher, Veleno · ANA Strome, Vatrano, Terry, Zegras, McTavish

  55. P2 0:00Terry: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Holl, Compher, Veleno · ANA Strome, Vatrano, Terry, Zegras, McTavish

  56. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 0:56Shot by Vatrano, saved by Lyon4v5
  59. P3 3:43Shot by Veleno, saved by Dostal
  60. P3 4:53Gudas: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Kane, Larkin, Johansson, Raymond, Edvinsson, Kasper · ANA Killorn, Gudas, Zegras, LaCombe, Carlsson

  61. P3 5:56Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Dostal5v4
  62. P3 7:31Shot by LaCombe, saved by Lyon
  63. P3 8:43Shot by Zellweger, saved by Lyon
  64. P3 9:06Shot by Seider, saved by Dostal
  65. P3 11:18Shot by Raymond, saved by Dostal
  66. P3 11:30Shot by Terry, saved by Lyon
  67. P3 12:20Shot by Gauthier, saved by Lyon
  68. P3 14:01Shot by Veleno, saved by Dostal
  69. P3 14:16Shot by Raymond, saved by Dostal
  70. P3 14:52Shot by Kasper, saved by Dostal
  71. P3 16:57Shot by McTavish, saved by Lyon5v6
  72. P3 17:44Goal by Zellweger (Carlsson, Fabbri)5v6+6 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Kasper · ANA Killorn, Trouba, Fabbri, Zellweger, Gauthier, Carlsson

  73. P3 19:07Goal by Gauthier, unassisted5v6+42 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Kasper · ANA Killorn, Trouba, Fabbri, Zellweger, Gauthier, Carlsson

  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. OT 0:00Period start
  76. OT 0:20Shot by Larkin, saved by Dostal3v3
  77. OT 0:44Shot by Kane, saved by Dostal3v3
  78. OT 2:12Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Dostal3v3
  79. OT 2:50Shot by Larkin, saved by Dostal3v3
  80. OT 4:00Goal by Kane (Kasper)3v3+46 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Seider, Kasper · ANA Fabbri, Zegras, LaCombe

  81. OT 4:00Period end3v3
  82. OT 4:00Final4v4