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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 23, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont

Dallas Stars 4, New York Islanders 3

Away

Dallas Stars

4

Final

Home

New York Islanders

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 71% of the time.

NYI winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:47Shot by Marchment, saved by Sorokin
  3. P1 0:52Shot by Duchene, saved by Sorokin
  4. P1 2:10Goal by Steel (Bäck, Ceci)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Mayfield, Pelech, Engvall, MacLean, Gatcomb · DAL Blackwell, Ceci, Steel, Bäck, Harley

  5. P1 2:23Shot by Bäck, saved by Sorokin
  6. P1 3:23Shot by Cizikas, saved by Oettinger
  7. P1 4:19Shot by Romanov, saved by Oettinger
  8. P1 5:30Shot by Duclair, saved by Oettinger
  9. P1 7:49Shot by Marchment, saved by Sorokin
  10. P1 7:59Shot by Marchment, saved by Sorokin
  11. P1 9:32Shot by Perunovich, saved by Oettinger
  12. P1 11:15Duclair: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Lee, Duclair, Horvat, DeAngelo, Romanov · DAL Duchene, Lindell, Hintz, Robertson, Bourque

  13. P1 11:55Shot by Robertson, saved by Sorokin4v5
  14. P1 14:57Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Oettinger
  15. P1 15:11Shot by Cizikas, saved by Oettinger
  16. P1 15:14Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Oettinger
  17. P1 16:14Shot by Duchene, saved by Sorokin
  18. P1 17:38Shot by Steel, saved by Sorokin
  19. P1 19:10Shot by Nelson, saved by Oettinger
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:38Shot by Horvat, saved by Oettinger
  23. P2 1:33Shot by Bichsel, saved by Sorokin
  24. P2 2:58Shot by Pageau, saved by Oettinger
  25. P2 3:16Shot by Blackwell, saved by Sorokin
  26. P2 3:17Shot by Steel, saved by Sorokin
  27. P2 3:35Shot by Blackwell, saved by Sorokin
  28. P2 3:44Goal by Engvall (MacLean, Gatcomb)+21 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pulock, Engvall, Perunovich, MacLean, Gatcomb · DAL Blackwell, Lindell, Steel, Bäck, Lyubushkin

  29. P2 4:00Shot by Romanov, saved by Oettinger
  30. P2 4:52Shot by Palmieri, saved by Oettinger
  31. P2 5:12Shot by Palmieri, saved by Oettinger
  32. P2 6:42Shot by Granlund, saved by Sorokin
  33. P2 7:10Shot by Ceci, saved by Sorokin
  34. P2 7:16Shot by Harley, saved by Sorokin
  35. P2 8:34Shot by Hintz, saved by Sorokin
  36. P2 8:48Goal by Robertson (Hintz, Bourque)+23 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Duclair, Horvat, Pulock, Perunovich · DAL Lindell, Hintz, Robertson, Lyubushkin, Bourque

  37. P2 8:55Goal by Palmieri (DeAngelo, Nelson)+23 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Nelson, DeAngelo, Romanov, Holmstrom · DAL Benn, Dadonov, Dumba, Johnston, Bichsel

  38. P2 9:23Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Oettinger
  39. P2 9:24Shot by Nelson, saved by Oettinger
  40. P2 11:05Shot by Perunovich, saved by Oettinger
  41. P2 11:09Shot by Pulock, saved by Oettinger
  42. P2 11:52Shot by Duclair, saved by Oettinger
  43. P2 12:23Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Oettinger
  44. P2 13:12Shot by Johnston, saved by Sorokin
  45. P2 13:26Cizikas: Match penalty (5 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Pageau, Mayfield, Pelech, Gatcomb · DAL Benn, Dadonov, Dumba, Johnston, Bichsel

  46. P2 13:26Dumba: Instigator (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Pageau, Mayfield, Pelech, Gatcomb · DAL Benn, Dadonov, Dumba, Johnston, Bichsel

  47. P2 13:26Cizikas: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Pageau, Mayfield, Pelech, Gatcomb · DAL Benn, Dadonov, Dumba, Johnston, Bichsel

  48. P2 13:26Dumba: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Pageau, Mayfield, Pelech, Gatcomb · DAL Benn, Dadonov, Dumba, Johnston, Bichsel

  49. P2 13:26Dumba: Instigator misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Pageau, Mayfield, Pelech, Gatcomb · DAL Benn, Dadonov, Dumba, Johnston, Bichsel

  50. P2 15:53Goal by Robertson (Hintz, Duchene)4v5+29 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Mayfield, Romanov · DAL Duchene, Hintz, Robertson, Harley, Johnston

  51. P2 16:20Shot by Hintz, saved by Sorokin4v5
  52. P2 17:18Shot by Marchment, saved by Sorokin4v5
  53. P2 17:26Shot by Johnston, saved by Sorokin4v5
  54. P2 17:28Goal by Robertson (Johnston, Duchene)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Mayfield, Horvat, Romanov · DAL Duchene, Hintz, Robertson, Harley, Johnston

  55. P2 18:26Bourque: Too many men on the ice (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYI Nelson, Pelech, Pulock, Holmstrom · DAL Duchene, Hintz, Robertson, Harley, Johnston

  56. P2 18:49Shot by Horvat, saved by Oettinger5v4
  57. P2 18:50Shot by Pageau, saved by Oettinger5v4
  58. P2 19:17Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Oettinger5v4
  59. P2 19:48Shot by Perunovich, saved by Oettinger5v4
  60. P2 19:49Shot by Palmieri, saved by Oettinger5v4
  61. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  62. P3 0:00Period start
  63. P3 2:40Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Oettinger
  64. P3 3:28Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Sorokin
  65. P3 4:09Shot by Hintz, saved by Sorokin
  66. P3 5:31Shot by Tsyplakov, saved by Oettinger
  67. P3 5:54Shot by Palmieri, saved by Oettinger
  68. P3 5:56Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Oettinger
  69. P3 7:00Shot by Horvat, saved by Oettinger
  70. P3 8:06Shot by Nelson, saved by Oettinger
  71. P3 9:13Shot by Duclair, saved by Oettinger
  72. P3 9:17Goal by Duclair (Horvat)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Duclair, Horvat, Pulock, Romanov · DAL Duchene, Granlund, Lindell, Marchment, Lyubushkin

  73. P3 11:39Shot by Pulock, saved by Oettinger
  74. P3 14:27Shot by Johnston, saved by Sorokin
  75. P3 14:32Shot by Dumba, saved by Sorokin
  76. P3 14:52Shot by Tsyplakov, saved by Oettinger
  77. P3 15:47Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Oettinger
  78. P3 16:51Bäck: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Horvat, DeAngelo, Romanov, Holmstrom · DAL Blackwell, Lindell, Steel, Bäck, Lyubushkin

  79. P3 17:47Shot by Steel, saved by Sorokin5v4
  80. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  81. P3 0:00Final6v5