Mon, Feb 24, 2025·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Vegas Golden Knights 2, Los Angeles Kings 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | 06 | 28 | 09 | 223 |
| LAK | 18 | 04 | 47 | 519 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:30LAKTrevor MoorePPAssists: Quinton Byfield, Jordan Spence · Tip-in, 0.09 xG0–1
- P2 10:26VGKBrayden McNabbAssists: Tomas Hertl, Kaedan Korczak · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–1
- P2 16:41VGKMark StoneAssists: Noah Hanifin, Brett Howden · Tip-in, 0.10 xG2–1
- P3 0:42LAKTrevor MooreAssists: Warren Foegele, Darcy Kuemper · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–2
- P3 8:31LAKWarren FoegeleGWGAssists: Quinton Byfield · Backhand, 0.23 xG2–3
- P3 15:28LAKJoel EdmundsonAssists: Adrian Kempe, Quinton Byfield · Slap, 0.01 xG2–4
- P3 17:41LAKKevin FialaAssists: Adrian Kempe, Quinton Byfield · Backhand, 0.12 xG2–5
Penalties (7)
- P1 4:41VGKNicolas Hague: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 8:48VGKMark Stone: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P1 12:58LAKQuinton Byfield: Hooking2 min
- P1 17:12LAKQuinton Byfield: Tripping2 min
- P3 1:25LAKAdrian Kempe: Roughing2 min
- P3 1:25VGKZach Whitecloud: Roughing2 min
- P3 6:22VGKPavel Dorofeyev: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Roy
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vegas Golden Knights
Forward lines
- bestStone – Saad – Howden5:58
xG 0.36–0.14 (72%)attempts 10–4goals 1–0
- Hertl – Lavoie – Dorofeyev9:11
xG 0.31–0.25 (56%)attempts 10–8goals 1–1
- Barbashev – Olofsson – Eichel10:12
xG 0.13–0.26 (34%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Pearson – Kolesar – Roy9:56
xG 0.32–0.54 (37%)attempts 5–14goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestPietrangelo – Hanifin2:12
xG 0.14–0.03 (85%)attempts 3–3goals 0–1
- Hanifin – Korczak2:03
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–0goals 0–0
- Hanifin – Whitecloud12:04
xG 0.21–0.20 (52%)attempts 11–9goals 1–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestFiala – Kempe – Byfield7:20
xG 0.54–0.19 (74%)attempts 10–6goals 2–0
- Lewis – Jeannot – Turcotte3:53
xG 0.08–0.01 (91%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Danault – Foegele – Moore7:53
xG 0.27–0.22 (56%)attempts 10–5goals 1–0
- Fiala – Byfield – Laferriere6:41
xG 0.19–0.31 (38%)attempts 8–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestGavrikov – Anderson12:27
xG 0.59–0.39 (60%)attempts 17–12goals 0–1
- Doughty – Edmundson16:13
xG 0.54–0.39 (58%)attempts 18–13goals 1–0
- Moverare – Clarke5:11
xG 0.31–0.30 (51%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it VGK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − VGK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).