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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 25, 2025·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Dallas Stars 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 6

Away

Dallas Stars

4

Final

Home

Columbus Blue Jackets

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 53% of the time.

CBJ winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:27Shot by Provorov, saved by Oettinger
  3. P1 0:30Goal by Marchenko (Provorov, Voronkov)+9 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Provorov, Marchenko, Voronkov, Mateychuk, Fantilli · DAL Duchene, Granlund, Ceci, Lindell, Marchment

  4. P1 4:37Goal by Olivier (Severson, Aston-Reese)+10 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Severson, Olivier, Danforth, Aston-Reese, Christiansen · DAL Benn, Smith, Dadonov, Dumba, Johnston

  5. P1 9:37Goal by Benn (Johnston, Harley)+11 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Provorov, Fabbro, Aston-Reese, Marchenko, Fantilli · DAL Benn, Dadonov, Ceci, Harley, Johnston

  6. P1 12:10Shot by Werenski, saved by Oettinger
  7. P1 14:02Shot by Lindell, saved by Merzlikins
  8. P1 16:09Shot by Provorov, saved by Oettinger
  9. P1 16:25Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Oettinger
  10. P1 17:46Shot by Johnson, saved by Oettinger
  11. P1 17:46Shot by Johnson, saved by Oettinger
  12. P1 19:05Shot by Granlund, saved by Merzlikins
  13. P1 0:00Period end
  14. P2 0:00Period start
  15. P2 0:17Shot by Johnson, saved by Oettinger
  16. P2 1:11Goal by Marchenko (Fantilli)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Provorov, Marchenko, Voronkov, Mateychuk, Fantilli · DAL Benn, Dadonov, Lyubushkin, Harley, Johnston

  17. P2 1:56Duchene: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Provorov, Marchenko, Voronkov, Mateychuk, Fantilli · DAL Smith, Duchene, Granlund, Dumba, Marchment

  18. P2 4:14Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Oettinger
  19. P2 4:57Shot by Danforth, saved by Oettinger
  20. P2 5:38Shot by Hintz, saved by Merzlikins
  21. P2 6:29Shot by Steel, saved by Merzlikins
  22. P2 7:06Shot by Olivier, saved by Oettinger
  23. P2 7:19Shot by Johnston, saved by Merzlikins
  24. P2 7:35Shot by Fantilli, saved by Oettinger
  25. P2 8:16Shot by Sillinger, saved by Oettinger
  26. P2 8:46Goal by Provorov (Johnson, Jenner)+7 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Jenner, Provorov, Johnson, Sillinger, Mateychuk · DAL Smith, Dumba, Hintz, Robertson, Bourque

  27. P2 9:13Shot by Johnson, saved by Oettinger
  28. P2 9:38Goal by Hintz (Granlund, Robertson)+7 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ van Riemsdyk, LaBate, Werenski, Fabbro, Sillinger · DAL Granlund, Hintz, Robertson, Lyubushkin, Harley

  29. P2 10:22Shot by Steel, saved by Merzlikins
  30. P2 11:40Lindell: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Werenski, Fabbro, Marchenko, Voronkov, Fantilli · DAL Granlund, Lindell, Hintz, Robertson, Harley

  31. P2 12:00Shot by Werenski, saved by Oettinger5v4
  32. P2 12:01Shot by Voronkov, saved by Oettinger5v4
  33. P2 13:43Shot by Provorov, saved by Oettinger
  34. P2 13:57Goal by Robertson (Granlund)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Provorov, Olivier, Danforth, Aston-Reese, Mateychuk · DAL Benn, Granlund, Dumba, Lindell, Robertson

  35. P2 14:13Shot by Werenski, saved by Oettinger
  36. P2 15:04Shot by Fabbro, saved by Oettinger
  37. P2 15:17Shot by Fantilli, saved by Oettinger
  38. P2 15:46Shot by Robertson, saved by Merzlikins
  39. P2 15:50Shot by Robertson, saved by Merzlikins
  40. P2 15:53Shot by Granlund, saved by Merzlikins
  41. P2 15:54Mateychuk: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: CBJ Jenner, Provorov, Johnson, Sillinger, Mateychuk · DAL Smith, Granlund, Dumba, Hintz, Robertson

  42. P2 16:49Shot by Robertson, saved by Merzlikins4v5
  43. P2 18:46Shot by Provorov, saved by Oettinger4v5
  44. P2 19:18Shot by Robertson, saved by Merzlikins4v5
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 2:37Goal by van Riemsdyk (Kuraly)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ van Riemsdyk, Kuraly, LaBate, Severson, Fabbro · DAL Smith, Granlund, Ceci, Hintz, Robertson

  48. P3 2:54Shot by Werenski, saved by Oettinger
  49. P3 3:49Shot by Voronkov, saved by Oettinger
  50. P3 5:40Aston-Reese: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Werenski, Fabbro, Olivier, Danforth, Aston-Reese · DAL Benn, Lindell, Lyubushkin, Stankoven, Johnston

  51. P3 10:36Shot by Duchene, saved by Merzlikins
  52. P3 10:37Shot by Steel, saved by Merzlikins
  53. P3 11:15Shot by Harley, saved by Merzlikins
  54. P3 11:59Shot by Johnston, saved by Merzlikins
  55. P3 12:19Shot by Marchenko, saved by Oettinger
  56. P3 13:42Shot by Robertson, saved by Merzlikins
  57. P3 15:48Shot by Hintz, saved by Merzlikins5v6
  58. P3 17:51Shot by Dadonov, saved by Merzlikins5v6
  59. P3 17:53Goal by Bourque (Dadonov, Stankoven)5v6+6 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Werenski, Provorov, Marchenko, Voronkov, Sillinger · DAL Benn, Dadonov, Dumba, Marchment, Bourque, Stankoven

  60. P3 19:28Goal by Fantilli (Voronkov, Marchenko)5v6+4 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Werenski, Provorov, Marchenko, Voronkov, Fantilli · DAL Benn, Duchene, Granlund, Robertson, Harley, Johnston

  61. P3 0:00Period end
  62. P3 0:00Final