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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 27, 2025·TD Garden, Boston

New York Islanders 2, Boston Bruins 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 74% of the time.

BOS winsNYI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BOS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Palmieri–Nelson–HolmstromLee–Duclair–HorvatFasching–MacLean–GatcombCizikas–Pageau–TsyplakovCizikas–Pageau–FaschingMacLean–Holmstrom–TsyplakovDeAngelo–RomanovPelech–DobsonPulock–BoqvistDobson–RomanovPelech–PulockPelech–DeAngeloBoqvist–RomanovPelech–Romanov
Pastrnak–Zacha–Geekie5:310.43–0.402:440.25–0.071:410.00–0.076:570.45–0.381:480.02–0.030:380.07–0.070:490.15–0.00
Marchand–Coyle–Lindholm4:060.15–0.273:390.55–0.091:480.48–0.004:140.00–0.301:570.18–0.020:500.00–0.000:360.00–0.07
Kastelic–Koepke–Beecher1:390.08–0.071:470.18–0.001:230.00–0.001:410.05–0.001:300.00–0.021:430.04–0.001:190.22–0.08
Tufte–Brazeau–Poitras1:020.00–0.001:380.03–0.000:510.05–0.001:320.02–0.00
Tufte–Brazeau–Beecher0:380.00–0.000:520.03–0.000:350.00–0.00
Marchand–Lindholm–Pastrnak
Pastrnak–Geekie–Poitras0:490.12–0.000:550.12–0.00
Peeke–Lohrei3:310.30–0.104:000.50–0.070:440.00–0.001:340.00–0.070:450.03–0.004:550.52–0.113:130.03–0.041:290.21–0.001:080.18–0.00
Zadorov–Carlo2:480.07–0.053:230.35–0.071:220.00–0.001:200.02–0.000:310.00–0.384:410.31–0.002:420.00–0.030:500.02–0.001:140.07–0.050:330.00–0.00
Wotherspoon–Callahan3:490.10–0.510:370.08–0.001:090.06–0.002:170.02–0.002:240.16–0.282:480.02–0.142:440.05–0.020:570.08–0.00
Wotherspoon–Peeke1:130.19–0.001:200.14–0.001:140.19–0.001:200.14–0.00
Zadorov–Wotherspoon0:400.00–0.070:330.00–0.001:160.00–0.07
Carlo–Callahan0:340.00–0.00
Carlo–Wotherspoon1:120.00–0.14
Callahan–Lohrei
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndCoyle FLindholm FMarchand FZacha FGeekie FPastrnak FBeecher FKoepke FKastelic FBrazeau FTufte FPoitras FCarlo DZadorov DPeeke DLohrei DWotherspoon DCallahan DSwayman GDuclair FHorvat FLee FHolmstrom FPalmieri FNelson FTsyplakov FPageau FCizikas FFasching FMacLean FGatcomb FDeAngelo DRomanov DPelech DDobson DPulock DBoqvist DSorokin G
BOSNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Alexander RomanovNYI3224:290:461:4527
David PastrnakBOS2623:550:552:0091
Mason LohreiBOS2823:510:511:5992
Elias LindholmBOS2823:050:491:5656
Brad MarchandBOS2622:110:511:5454
Simon HolmstromNYI2421:530:551:3235
Adam PelechNYI3021:420:431:3158
Morgan GeekieBOS2521:370:521:46101
Brock NelsonNYI2421:280:541:3424
Tony DeAngeloNYI2821:200:461:4825
Bo HorvatNYI2720:150:452:0416
Parker WotherspoonBOS2519:380:471:3324
Andrew PeekeBOS2719:260:431:2252
Pavel ZachaBOS2619:170:451:2464
Noah DobsonNYI2818:540:411:3475
Nikita ZadorovBOS3018:240:371:3039
Ryan PulockNYI2718:000:401:5745
Charlie CoyleBOS2617:530:411:2323
Brandon CarloBOS2717:400:391:1329
Kyle PalmieriNYI2017:310:531:3033
Anders LeeNYI2215:550:431:3332
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI2215:320:421:1847
Adam BoqvistNYI2014:100:431:4820
Michael CallahanBOS1913:510:441:1803
Anthony DuclairNYI2113:130:381:2632
Casey CizikasNYI1912:300:391:2735
John BeecherBOS2112:170:351:1227
Cole KoepkeBOS1810:530:361:2117
Maxim TsyplakovNYI1310:380:491:4323
Mark KastelicBOS1710:150:361:0817
Hudson FaschingNYI159:470:391:0723
Kyle MacLeanNYI129:120:462:1013
Justin BrazeauBOS138:190:381:0110
Riley TufteBOS138:080:381:0020
Marc GatcombNYI117:370:421:1212
Matthew PoitrasBOS117:080:391:3000