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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 3, 2025·Centre Bell, Montreal

Buffalo Sabres 3, Montréal Canadiens 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 81% of the time.

MTL winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:23Shot by Slafkovský, saved by Reimer
  3. P1 1:45Shot by Xhekaj, saved by Reimer
  4. P1 1:55Shot by Xhekaj, saved by Reimer
  5. P1 1:57Cozens: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Savard, Gallagher, Anderson, Dvorak, Xhekaj · BUF Bryson, Cozens, Quinn, Power, Benson

  6. P1 2:00Shot by Laine, saved by Reimer5v4
  7. P1 7:02Shot by Peterka, saved by Montembeault
  8. P1 7:07Shot by Peterka, saved by Montembeault
  9. P1 7:09Shot by Peterka, saved by Montembeault
  10. P1 7:35Shot by Lafferty, saved by Montembeault
  11. P1 8:22Byram: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Savard, Armia, Evans, Heineman, Xhekaj · BUF Tuch, Greenway, Dahlin, Byram, Cozens

  12. P1 9:42Goal by Caufield (Suzuki, Hutson)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Laine, Suzuki, Caufield, Hutson, Slafkovský · BUF Tuch, Gilbert, Malenstyn, Power

  13. P1 10:01Shot by Thompson, saved by Montembeault
  14. P1 10:03Dvorak: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Gallagher, Matheson, Anderson, Dvorak, Carrier · BUF Thompson, Dahlin, Byram, Peterka, Kulich

  15. P1 10:03Carrier: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Gallagher, Matheson, Anderson, Dvorak, Carrier · BUF Thompson, Dahlin, Byram, Peterka, Kulich

  16. P1 10:03Dahlin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Gallagher, Matheson, Anderson, Dvorak, Carrier · BUF Thompson, Dahlin, Byram, Peterka, Kulich

  17. P1 10:29Shot by Thompson, saved by Montembeault4v5
  18. P1 11:20Shot by Tuch, saved by Montembeault4v5
  19. P1 11:21Shot by Tuch, saved by Montembeault4v5
  20. P1 11:41Goal by Suzuki (Matheson)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Savard, Armia, Matheson, Suzuki · BUF Tuch, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  21. P1 12:37Dahlin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Evans, Laine, Struble, Beck, Hutson · BUF Greenway, Malenstyn, McLeod, Dahlin, Byram

  22. P1 13:42Goal by Slafkovský (Suzuki, Hutson)5v4+7 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Laine, Suzuki, Caufield, Hutson, Slafkovský · BUF Clifton, Greenway, Malenstyn, Byram

  23. P1 14:21Shot by Carrier, saved by Reimer6v5
  24. P1 14:24Peterka: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: MTL Gallagher, Matheson, Anderson, Dvorak, Carrier, Suzuki · BUF Thompson, Bryson, Peterka, Power, Kulich

  25. P1 16:39Shot by Dahlin, saved by Montembeault
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:47Shot by Slafkovský, saved by Reimer
  29. P2 1:24Shot by Dahlin, saved by Montembeault
  30. P2 2:56Shot by Peterka, saved by Montembeault
  31. P2 3:35Shot by Cozens, saved by Montembeault
  32. P2 3:50Shot by Newhook, saved by Reimer
  33. P2 4:03Shot by Newhook, saved by Reimer
  34. P2 4:10Newhook: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Matheson, Carrier, Laine, Newhook, Beck · BUF Bryson, McLeod, Byram, Quinn, Benson

  35. P2 6:00Shot by Quinn, saved by Montembeault4v5
  36. P2 6:01Shot by Dvorak, saved by Reimer4v5
  37. P2 7:24Shot by Suzuki, saved by Reimer
  38. P2 7:36Shot by Cozens, saved by Montembeault
  39. P2 7:56Shot by Benson, saved by Montembeault
  40. P2 8:36Shot by Thompson, saved by Montembeault
  41. P2 9:17Shot by Quinn, saved by Montembeault
  42. P2 9:47Shot by Power, saved by Montembeault
  43. P2 11:47Shot by Lafferty, saved by Montembeault
  44. P2 12:15Shot by Xhekaj, saved by Reimer
  45. P2 12:29Shot by Dahlin, saved by Montembeault
  46. P2 12:32Shot by Thompson, saved by Montembeault
  47. P2 14:32Struble: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Laine, Struble, Newhook, Beck, Hutson · BUF Gilbert, Malenstyn, Krebs, Byram, Quinn

  48. P2 18:05Shot by Cozens, saved by Montembeault
  49. P2 18:07Goal by Tuch (Cozens, Gilbert)+6 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Carrier, Suzuki, Caufield, Xhekaj, Slafkovský · BUF Tuch, Greenway, Dahlin, Byram, Cozens

  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 3:24Goal by Thompson (Peterka, Bryson)+13 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Armia, Matheson, Evans, Carrier, Heineman · BUF Thompson, Bryson, Peterka, Power, Kulich

  53. P3 3:59Shot by Caufield, saved by Reimer
  54. P3 4:21Shot by Carrier, saved by Reimer
  55. P3 5:08Shot by Lafferty, saved by Montembeault
  56. P3 5:33Shot by Peterka, saved by Montembeault
  57. P3 9:38Newhook: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Laine, Struble, Newhook, Beck, Hutson · BUF Clifton, Lafferty, Gilbert, Malenstyn, Krebs

  58. P3 9:44Shot by Dahlin, saved by Montembeault4v5
  59. P3 9:50Shot by Quinn, saved by Montembeault4v5
  60. P3 11:24Shot by Power, saved by Montembeault4v5
  61. P3 11:36Shot by Benson, saved by Montembeault4v5
  62. P3 11:50Shot by Byram, saved by Montembeault
  63. P3 13:44Shot by Caufield, saved by Reimer
  64. P3 14:42Dahlin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Armia, Matheson, Evans, Carrier, Heineman · BUF McLeod, Dahlin, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  65. P3 15:08Shot by Suzuki, saved by Reimer5v4
  66. P3 15:39Shot by Tuch, saved by Montembeault5v4
  67. P3 17:49Shot by Cozens, saved by Montembeault
  68. P3 18:33Shot by Peterka, saved by Montembeault5v6
  69. P3 18:45Shot by Dahlin, saved by Montembeault5v6
  70. P3 18:59Goal by Dahlin (Peterka, Kulich)5v6+41 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Savard, Armia, Matheson, Evans, Suzuki · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Byram, Peterka, Kulich

  71. P3 19:16Shot by Suzuki, saved by Reimer
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. OT 0:00Period start
  74. OT 1:21Goal by Matheson (Slafkovský, Suzuki)3v3+46 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Matheson, Evans, Slafkovský · BUF Thompson, Power, Kulich

  75. OT 1:21Period end3v3
  76. OT 1:21Final4v4