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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 6, 2025·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Winnipeg Jets 4, Philadelphia Flyers 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 68% of the time.

PHI winsWPG wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:35Shot by DeMelo, saved by Ersson
  3. P1 1:43Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Ersson
  4. P1 2:38Shot by Samberg, saved by Ersson
  5. P1 4:56Shot by Foerster, saved by Comrie
  6. P1 4:56Shot by Sanheim, saved by Comrie
  7. P1 6:33Shot by Laughton, saved by Comrie
  8. P1 6:47Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Ersson
  9. P1 7:25Shot by York, saved by Comrie
  10. P1 7:47Michkov: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PHI Sanheim, Cates, York, Brink, Foerster · WPG DeMelo, Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Appleton, Vilardi

  11. P1 8:30Shot by Vilardi, saved by Ersson4v5
  12. P1 8:32Goal by Scheifele (Vilardi, Connor)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Sanheim, Poehling, Cates, York · WPG Scheifele, Morrissey, Ehlers, Connor, Vilardi

  13. P1 12:17Shot by Stanley, saved by Ersson
  14. P1 13:28Shot by Laughton, saved by Comrie
  15. P1 13:40Shot by Laughton, saved by Comrie
  16. P1 13:44Shot by Drysdale, saved by Comrie
  17. P1 14:30Foerster: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Ristolainen, Zamula, Brink, Foerster · WPG Scheifele, Connor, Vilardi, Samberg, Pionk

  18. P1 14:38Shot by Cates, saved by Comrie4v5
  19. P1 15:13Goal by Ehlers (Scheifele, Vilardi)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Laughton, Sanheim, Konecny, York · WPG Scheifele, Morrissey, Ehlers, Connor, Vilardi

  20. P1 15:34Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Ersson
  21. P1 17:32Shot by Barron, saved by Ersson
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 1:08Shot by Vilardi, saved by Ersson
  25. P2 1:09Shot by Vilardi, saved by Ersson
  26. P2 5:28Goal by Connor (Scheifele, Vilardi)+10 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Laughton, Ristolainen, Zamula, Brink, Kuzmenko · WPG Scheifele, Connor, Stanley, Vilardi, Samberg

  27. P2 6:05Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Ersson
  28. P2 6:21Shot by Barron, saved by Ersson
  29. P2 6:22Shot by Barron, saved by Ersson
  30. P2 6:42Shot by Morrissey, saved by Ersson
  31. P2 9:03Goal by Lowry (Appleton, Niederreiter)+4 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Sanheim, Konecny, Tippett, York · WPG Niederreiter, Lowry, Appleton, Samberg, Pionk

  32. P2 11:10Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Comrie
  33. P2 13:27Shot by Foerster, saved by Comrie
  34. P2 13:29Shot by Foerster, saved by Comrie
  35. P2 15:55Shot by Sanheim, saved by Comrie
  36. P2 16:42Shot by Vilardi, saved by Ersson
  37. P2 18:11Niederreiter: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Laughton, Ristolainen, Sanheim, Kuzmenko, Michkov · WPG Niederreiter, Lowry, Miller, Appleton, Stanley

  38. P2 19:18Shot by Michkov, saved by Comrie5v4
  39. P2 19:51Shot by Drysdale, saved by Comrie5v4
  40. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 1:49Shot by Foerster, saved by Comrie
  43. P3 2:25Shot by Barron, saved by Ersson
  44. P3 3:11Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Comrie
  45. P3 3:55Shot by Perfetti, saved by Ersson
  46. P3 5:19Shot by Barron, saved by Ersson
  47. P3 7:54Shot by Brink, saved by Comrie
  48. P3 8:01Shot by Seeler, saved by Comrie
  49. P3 8:07Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Comrie
  50. P3 11:38Shot by Miller, saved by Ersson
  51. P3 12:11Shot by Brink, saved by Comrie
  52. P3 12:39Shot by Barron, saved by Ersson
  53. P3 14:45Shot by Ehlers, saved by Ersson
  54. P3 15:01Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Comrie
  55. P3 16:21Shot by Connor, saved by Ersson
  56. P3 17:18Goal by Michkov, unassisted0 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Tippett, Zamula, York, Michkov · WPG Niederreiter, Lowry, Miller, Appleton, Stanley

  57. P3 19:04Shot by Samberg, saved by Ersson
  58. P3 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Final