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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 6, 2025·Ball Arena, Denver

San Jose Sharks 3, Colorado Avalanche 7

Away

San Jose Sharks

3

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 70% of the time.

COL winsSJS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:06Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Georgiev
  3. P1 2:09Shot by Celebrini, saved by Blackwood
  4. P1 2:56Shot by Middleton, saved by Georgiev
  5. P1 3:26Necas: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, Toews, Necas, Makar, Drury · SJS Toffoli, Wennberg, Ferraro, Mukhamadullin, Eklund, Celebrini

  6. P1 3:59Shot by Toffoli, saved by Blackwood4v5
  7. P1 4:19Goal by Kiviranta (Makar)4v5+11 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, Lindgren, Drury, Kiviranta · SJS Toffoli, Wennberg, Eklund, Smith, Celebrini

  8. P1 5:30Dellandrea: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar · SJS Goodrow, Grundstrom, Ferraro, Dellandrea, Mukhamadullin

  9. P1 6:43Goal by Makar (Drouin, MacKinnon)5v4+10 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Nichushkin, Necas, Makar · SJS Wennberg, Ferraro, Mukhamadullin, Eklund

  10. P1 7:45Shot by Eklund, saved by Blackwood
  11. P1 8:27Toews: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Girard, Necas · SJS Vlasic, Wennberg, Kostin, Liljegren, Graf

  12. P1 9:54Shot by Graf, saved by Blackwood4v5
  13. P1 9:55Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Blackwood4v5
  14. P1 10:08Goal by Zetterlund (Graf)4v5+11 pts WP

    On ice: COL Vesey, Nichushkin, Lindgren, Makar · SJS Kostin, Liljegren, Zetterlund, Kovalenko, Graf

  15. P1 12:06Shot by Colton, saved by Georgiev
  16. P1 12:35Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Georgiev
  17. P1 12:57Shot by Drouin, saved by Georgiev
  18. P1 15:09Shot by Colton, saved by Georgiev
  19. P1 15:13Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Georgiev
  20. P1 15:16Shot by Smith, saved by Blackwood
  21. P1 15:39Kiviranta: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, Lindgren, Colton, Drury, Kiviranta · SJS Toffoli, Wennberg, Schuldt, Thompson, Eklund

  22. P1 15:58Shot by Celebrini, saved by Blackwood4v5
  23. P1 17:07Shot by Lindgren, saved by Georgiev4v5
  24. P1 17:40Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Blackwood
  25. P1 18:32Shot by Makar, saved by Georgiev6v5
  26. P1 18:38Dellandrea: Roughing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Drouin, Nichushkin, Middleton, Necas · SJS Goodrow, Grundstrom, Ferraro, Dellandrea, Mukhamadullin

  27. P1 19:26Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Georgiev5v4
  28. P1 19:57Goal by Drouin (Necas, Lehkonen)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Drouin, Toews, Necas · SJS Ferraro, Thompson, Eklund, Graf

  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:18Shot by Colton, saved by Georgiev
  32. P2 0:34Shot by Lindgren, saved by Georgiev6v5
  33. P2 0:37Ferraro: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Manson, MacKinnon, Lindgren, Colton, Drury, Kiviranta · SJS Toffoli, Wennberg, Ferraro, Mukhamadullin, Eklund

  34. P2 0:40Goal by Necas (Makar, MacKinnon)5v4+8 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Drouin, Necas, Makar · SJS Vlasic, Goodrow, Schuldt, Graf

  35. P2 1:23Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Georgiev
  36. P2 1:41Shot by Girard, saved by Georgiev
  37. P2 4:18Shot by Ferraro, saved by Blackwood
  38. P2 7:18Shot by Toews, saved by Georgiev
  39. P2 7:51Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Georgiev
  40. P2 8:17Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Georgiev
  41. P2 8:18Shot by Necas, saved by Georgiev
  42. P2 8:25Shot by Necas, saved by Georgiev6v5
  43. P2 8:27Celebrini: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Lindgren, Middleton, Necas · SJS Ferraro, Liljegren, Zetterlund, Smith, Celebrini

  44. P2 9:24Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Georgiev5v4
  45. P2 9:39Shot by Grundstrom, saved by Blackwood5v4
  46. P2 10:54Goal by MacKinnon (Makar, Manson)+3 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, MacKinnon, Drouin, Necas, Makar · SJS Goodrow, Ferraro, Liljegren, Celebrini, Graf

  47. P2 11:31Manson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, Vesey, Lindgren, Kelly, O'Connor · SJS Vlasic, Wennberg, Zetterlund, Mukhamadullin, Smith

  48. P2 14:11Shot by Toffoli, saved by Blackwood
  49. P2 14:27Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Georgiev
  50. P2 15:34Shot by Schuldt, saved by Blackwood
  51. P2 18:55Shot by Schuldt, saved by Blackwood
  52. P2 19:02Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Blackwood
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:33Shot by Colton, saved by Georgiev
  56. P3 2:45Shot by Kostin, saved by Blackwood
  57. P3 3:26Shot by Eklund, saved by Blackwood
  58. P3 3:49Shot by Smith, saved by Blackwood
  59. P3 5:18Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Georgiev
  60. P3 5:21Goal by MacKinnon (Lehkonen, Makar)0 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar · SJS Vlasic, Liljegren, Zetterlund, Smith, Celebrini

  61. P3 6:05Shot by Schuldt, saved by Blackwood
  62. P3 6:13Middleton: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Drouin, Middleton, Girard, Mittelstadt, O'Connor · SJS Goodrow, Grundstrom, Ferraro, Kovalenko, Mukhamadullin

  63. P3 6:51Shot by Kostin, saved by Blackwood4v5
  64. P3 6:52Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Blackwood4v5
  65. P3 6:59Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Blackwood4v5
  66. P3 7:00Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Blackwood4v5
  67. P3 8:04Shot by Celebrini, saved by Blackwood4v5
  68. P3 8:10Goal by Celebrini (Smith, Eklund)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, Vesey, Girard, Drury · SJS Toffoli, Wennberg, Eklund, Smith, Celebrini

  69. P3 9:00Goal by Makar (MacKinnon, Toews)0 pts WP

    On ice: COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar · SJS Goodrow, Wennberg, Grundstrom, Ferraro, Mukhamadullin

  70. P3 9:28Shot by Eklund, saved by Blackwood
  71. P3 9:43Shot by Kelly, saved by Georgiev
  72. P3 11:11Shot by Manson, saved by Georgiev
  73. P3 11:40Shot by Eklund, saved by Blackwood
  74. P3 11:45Shot by Celebrini, saved by Blackwood
  75. P3 11:53Shot by Mukhamadullin, saved by Blackwood
  76. P3 12:36Shot by Kostin, saved by Blackwood
  77. P3 16:19Shot by Thompson, saved by Blackwood
  78. P3 16:43Shot by Liljegren, saved by Blackwood
  79. P3 17:22Shot by Toffoli, saved by Blackwood
  80. P3 17:24Goal by Eklund (Toffoli, Wennberg)0 pts WP

    On ice: COL Vesey, Middleton, Girard, Kelly, O'Connor · SJS Toffoli, Wennberg, Ferraro, Liljegren, Eklund

  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final