Sat, Mar 8, 2025·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Dallas Stars 4, Edmonton Oilers 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 63% of the time.
54%
9%
30%
EDM winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 5 | 26:06 | 0.25 | 45.3% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 22:28 | 0.20 | 24.8% | +14.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 21:56 | 0.62 | 30.5% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:12 | 0.14 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 20:54 | 0.01 | 25.0% | +4.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 20:18 | 0.27 | 23.1% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 18:13 | 0.27 | 50.5% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:54 | 0.29 | 44.4% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 16:37 | 0.10 | 53.7% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 15:49 | 0.03 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:09 | 0.04 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:35 | 0.17 | 37.0% | +4.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:13 | 0.06 | 57.7% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:39 | 0.13 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:36 | 0.00 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 10:43 | 0.01 | 17.2% | +4.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:30 | 0.20 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:15 | 0.08 | 25.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 22 | 5 | .815 | 2.94 | −2.1 | 57:53 |
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 27:58 | 0.17 | 72.1% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 24:40 | 0.12 | 87.5% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:05 | 0.00 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 20:57 | 0.54 | 77.7% | +22.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:33 | 0.73 | 65.0% | +12.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:45 | 0.09 | 76.9% | +7.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:37 | 0.00 | 55.1% | +12.2 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 18:13 | 0.80 | 77.6% | +35.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:11 | 0.11 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 15:07 | 0.59 | 55.4% | +12.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:48 | 0.00 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:47 | 0.14 | 55.9% | +2.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:39 | 0.17 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:43 | 0.00 | 74.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:57 | 0.00 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:05 | 0.15 | 19.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:29 | 0.00 | 19.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:50 | 0.00 | 14.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 21 | 4 | .840 | 2.86 | −1.1 | 60:00 |