Mon, Mar 10, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Edmonton Oilers 2, Buffalo Sabres 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 56% of the time.
34%
10%
9%
47%
BUF winsEDM wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against EDM's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Hyman–Nugent-Hopkins–McDavid | Perry–Henrique–Jones | Hyman–Draisaitl–McDavid | Skinner–Brown–Janmark | Skinner–Janmark–Arvidsson | Draisaitl–Arvidsson–Podkolzin | Brown–Draisaitl–Podkolzin | Perry–Draisaitl–McDavid | Henrique–Jones–Podkolzin | Kulak–Bouchard | Nurse–Walman | Walman–Bouchard | Nurse–Stecher | Kulak–Emberson | Stecher–Emberson | Kulak–Nurse | Nurse–Bouchard | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thompson–Norris–Peterka | 0:400.00–0.04 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.22 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:550.00–0.19 | 1:490.00–0.06 | 2:070.25–0.03 | 1:150.21–0.21 | 2:110.00–0.22 | 0:570.22–0.06 | 1:250.00–0.05 | 2:340.00–0.00 | 1:560.04–0.04 | 0:520.00–0.06 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||
| Krebs–Quinn–Benson | 2:590.14–0.00 | 0:360.02–0.01 | 1:590.11–0.23 | 0:330.08–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.14 | 0:370.08–0.00 | 3:080.31–0.17 | 2:030.00–0.00 | 1:160.04–0.00 | 2:130.00–0.01 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:550.13–0.15 | |||||
| Zucker–Tuch–McLeod | 5:400.09–0.35 | 2:080.20–0.10 | 0:480.35–0.13 | 0:360.00–0.13 | 2:090.20–0.07 | 3:510.00–0.00 | 0:410.01–0.00 | 1:080.44–0.14 | |||||||||
| Lafferty–Greenway–Malenstyn | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.16 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.16 | 0:580.00–0.02 | ||||||||||||
| Tuch–Greenway–McLeod | 0:370.04–0.00 | 0:470.11–0.00 | 0:370.04–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 2:380.01–0.00 | 1:000.01–0.00 | 1:590.22–0.03 | 1:400.11–0.13 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:120.25–0.02 | 0:370.04–0.00 | 1:480.42–0.02 | 2:040.23–0.03 | 2:420.00–0.00 | 2:130.04–0.00 | 2:420.05–0.01 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||
| Bryson–Byram | 2:390.00–0.28 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:560.00–0.30 | 1:330.35–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.01 | 1:440.00–0.15 | 1:120.09–0.00 | 2:570.02–0.27 | 1:550.00–0.00 | 2:030.00–0.01 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 1:310.35–0.15 | 0:350.00–0.31 | |||
| Clifton–Power | 2:500.22–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.28 | 1:010.08–0.04 | 3:470.21–0.40 | 0:530.09–0.00 | 2:070.00–0.06 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:510.12–0.00 | ||||||||
| Dahlin–Power | 0:410.00–0.04 | 1:050.00–0.04 | |||||||||||||||
| Samuelsson–Power | 0:500.00–0.00 | 1:230.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Dahlin–Byram | |||||||||||||||||
| Bryson–Dahlin | 0:350.00–0.11 | 0:580.00–0.18 | |||||||||||||||
| Samuelsson–Byram | 0:360.00–0.16 | 0:480.00–0.16 | |||||||||||||||
| Byram–Power | 1:070.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Clifton–Dahlin | 0:450.00–0.04 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFEDMFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Evan BouchardEDM | 24 | 26:32 | 1:06 | 2:52 | 2 | 4 |
 Connor McDavidEDM | 21 | 26:01 | 1:14 | 2:24 | 5 | 2 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 28 | 23:53 | 0:51 | 1:53 | 3 | 5 |
 Darnell NurseEDM | 24 | 23:27 | 0:59 | 1:37 | 2 | 3 |
 Leon DraisaitlEDM | 25 | 23:26 | 0:56 | 2:23 | 8 | 2 |
 Zach HymanEDM | 20 | 22:18 | 1:07 | 2:10 | 3 | 2 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 26 | 22:15 | 0:51 | 2:07 | 2 | 7 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 27 | 21:58 | 0:49 | 1:46 | 1 | 3 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 25 | 21:02 | 0:50 | 1:38 | 0 | 6 |
 Brett KulakEDM | 23 | 20:09 | 0:53 | 1:32 | 0 | 3 |
 Jake WalmanEDM | 25 | 19:59 | 0:48 | 1:40 | 5 | 4 |
 Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM | 22 | 19:13 | 0:52 | 1:53 | 3 | 3 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 26 | 19:09 | 0:44 | 1:26 | 0 | 5 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 23 | 19:05 | 0:50 | 2:53 | 2 | 5 |
 Josh NorrisBUF | 25 | 17:55 | 0:43 | 1:16 | 3 | 4 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 23 | 17:54 | 0:47 | 1:32 | 5 | 2 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 22 | 17:31 | 0:48 | 1:32 | 4 | 1 |
 Connor CliftonBUF | 19 | 16:17 | 0:51 | 1:21 | 2 | 5 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 22 | 15:44 | 0:43 | 1:46 | 0 | 1 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 21 | 15:30 | 0:44 | 1:27 | 2 | 5 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 21 | 15:29 | 0:44 | 1:31 | 4 | 1 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 22 | 14:37 | 0:40 | 1:24 | 2 | 5 |
 Jason ZuckerBUF | 18 | 13:53 | 0:46 | 1:38 | 2 | 3 |
 Connor BrownEDM | 18 | 13:18 | 0:44 | 1:16 | 1 | 2 |
 Adam HenriqueEDM | 17 | 12:31 | 0:44 | 1:02 | 0 | 5 |
 Corey PerryEDM | 17 | 12:30 | 0:44 | 1:41 | 4 | 2 |
 Mattias JanmarkEDM | 16 | 12:22 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 0 | 3 |
 Viktor ArvidssonEDM | 14 | 12:15 | 0:53 | 1:17 | 0 | 2 |
 Jeff SkinnerEDM | 14 | 11:56 | 0:51 | 1:14 | 1 | 1 |
 Troy StecherEDM | 18 | 11:31 | 0:38 | 0:58 | 1 | 1 |
 Ty EmbersonEDM | 18 | 11:27 | 0:38 | 1:12 | 1 | 2 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 14 | 10:07 | 0:43 | 1:07 | 1 | 2 |
 Max JonesEDM | 12 | 9:55 | 0:50 | 1:53 | 0 | 3 |
 Vasily PodkolzinEDM | 13 | 9:37 | 0:44 | 1:11 | 1 | 1 |
 Jordan GreenwayBUF | 10 | 6:29 | 0:39 | 1:01 | 1 | 1 |
 Sam LaffertyBUF | 7 | 4:20 | 0:37 | 1:01 | 1 | 0 |