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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 11, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Vegas Golden Knights 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 51% of the time.

PIT winsVGK wins

Vegas Golden Knights

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Alex PietrangeloD · #7000−1523:250.1078.0%0.0
Noah HanifinD · #151120222:570.1238.0%+56.3
Nicolas HagueD · #140000221:560.0377.1%0.0
Mark StoneRW · #61011+1420:390.3841.6%+43.0
Jack EichelC · #90110520:200.3440.7%+13.3
Tomas HertlC · #480000319:390.1964.9%0.0
Brayden McNabbD · #30000019:010.0079.3%0.0
Pavel DorofeyevRW · #16112−1618:240.5963.9%+56.3
Zach WhitecloudD · #2000−1018:170.0034.9%0.0
Brandon SaadLW · #200000117:340.1482.5%0.0
Reilly SmithRW · #190000217:000.1088.2%0.0
Nicolas RoyC · #100000016:250.1472.7%0.0
Keegan KolesarRW · #550000414:260.2976.1%0.0
Victor OlofssonLW · #950000013:470.0045.5%0.0
Kaedan KorczakD · #60000113:440.0490.4%0.0
Tanner PearsonLW · #70000019:480.0818.2%0.0
Jonas RondbjergRW · #46000006:020.0127.7%0.0
Cole SchwindtRW · #22000013:340.0426.1%0.0
Ilya Samsonov#35O17143.8242.60−0.459:27

Pittsburgh Penguins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Kris LetangD · #580110125:420.1455.4%+46.1
Erik KarlssonD · #65101+1325:070.4339.3%+46.1
Matt GrzelcykD · #24000+1023:460.0030.4%0.0
Sidney CrosbyC · #872020423:420.3951.3%+25.6
Bryan RustRW · #170000223:110.3452.1%0.0
Rickard RakellRW · #67022+2023:040.3450.1%+25.6
Vladislav KolyachonokD · #23000−1121:430.1859.0%0.0
Evgeni MalkinC · #71011+1120:120.1547.4%+46.1
Philip TomasinoRW · #530000116:560.0952.1%0.0
Connor DewarC · #190000014:190.1222.1%0.0
Noel AcciariC · #55000−1114:190.1024.1%0.0
Blake LizotteC · #460000013:550.0026.4%0.0
Kevin HayesRW · #130110013:080.0877.6%+12.8
Danton HeinenLW · #430000112:260.1220.4%0.0
Conor TimminsD · #200000110:410.0620.3%0.0
Ryan GravesD · #270000010:290.0049.6%0.0
Emil BemstromC · #52000015:210.0546.7%0.0
Bokondji ImamaLW · #14000004:060.0045.4%0.0
Tristan Jarry#35W37352.9462.59+0.660:49