Tue, Mar 11, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Vegas Golden Knights 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 51% of the time.
41%
10%
9%
40%
PIT winsVGK wins
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 23:25 | 0.10 | 78.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22:57 | 0.12 | 38.0% | +56.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:56 | 0.03 | 77.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:39 | 0.38 | 41.6% | +43.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20:20 | 0.34 | 40.7% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:39 | 0.19 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:01 | 0.00 | 79.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 6 | 18:24 | 0.59 | 63.9% | +56.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:17 | 0.00 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:34 | 0.14 | 82.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:00 | 0.10 | 88.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:25 | 0.14 | 72.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:26 | 0.29 | 76.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:47 | 0.00 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:44 | 0.04 | 90.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:48 | 0.08 | 18.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:02 | 0.01 | 27.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:34 | 0.04 | 26.1% | 0.0 |
| O | 17 | 14 | 3 | .824 | 2.60 | −0.4 | 59:27 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25:42 | 0.14 | 55.4% | +46.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 25:07 | 0.43 | 39.3% | +46.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:46 | 0.00 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23:42 | 0.39 | 51.3% | +25.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:11 | 0.34 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 23:04 | 0.34 | 50.1% | +25.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:43 | 0.18 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:12 | 0.15 | 47.4% | +46.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:56 | 0.09 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:19 | 0.12 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:19 | 0.10 | 24.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:55 | 0.00 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:08 | 0.08 | 77.6% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:26 | 0.12 | 20.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:41 | 0.06 | 20.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:29 | 0.00 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:21 | 0.05 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:06 | 0.00 | 45.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 37 | 35 | 2 | .946 | 2.59 | +0.6 | 60:49 |