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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 22, 2025·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Detroit Red Wings 3, Vegas Golden Knights 6

Away

Detroit Red Wings

3

Final

Home

Vegas Golden Knights

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 85% of the time.

VGK winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:43Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Hill
  3. P1 2:16Shot by Roy, saved by Talbot
  4. P1 2:17Shot by Roy, saved by Talbot
  5. P1 3:30Shot by Larkin, saved by Hill
  6. P1 3:58Stone: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Stone, Barbashev, Eichel, Whitecloud · DET Kane, Holl, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond

  7. P1 4:26Shot by Larkin, saved by Hill4v5
  8. P1 4:47Goal by Raymond (Larkin, Kane)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Pietrangelo, McNabb, Smith, Roy · DET Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond

  9. P1 6:09Shot by Larkin, saved by Hill
  10. P1 6:43Shot by Whitecloud, saved by Talbot
  11. P1 7:29Shot by Hertl, saved by Talbot
  12. P1 7:58Shot by Hague, saved by Talbot
  13. P1 8:10Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Talbot
  14. P1 8:41Shot by Smith, saved by Hill
  15. P1 10:19Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Hill
  16. P1 11:01Shot by Saad, saved by Talbot
  17. P1 11:13Berggren: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Saad, Hertl, Hanifin, Whitecloud, Dorofeyev · DET Holl, Tarasenko, Compher, Berggren, Edvinsson

  18. P1 11:28Shot by Stone, saved by Talbot5v4
  19. P1 11:29Shot by Dorofeyev, saved by Talbot5v4
  20. P1 11:47Goal by Hertl (Stone, Eichel)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Stone, Hertl, Hanifin, Eichel, Dorofeyev · DET Chiarot, Larkin, Rasmussen, Seider

  21. P1 12:04Shot by Smith, saved by Talbot
  22. P1 12:41Shot by Seider, saved by Hill
  23. P1 13:27Shot by McNabb, saved by Talbot
  24. P1 13:50Shot by Roy, saved by Talbot
  25. P1 15:39Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Hill
  26. P1 16:32Goal by Hertl (McNabb, Korczak)+14 pts WP

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Saad, Hertl, Korczak, Dorofeyev · DET Chiarot, Tarasenko, Compher, Berggren, Seider

  27. P1 18:06Shot by Whitecloud, saved by Talbot
  28. P1 18:17Shot by Kane, saved by Hill
  29. P1 18:19Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Hill
  30. P1 18:53Shot by Kane, saved by Hill
  31. P1 19:38Shot by Chiarot, saved by Hill
  32. P1 19:57Goal by Roy (Barbashev, Eichel)+13 pts WP

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Barbashev, Eichel, Roy, Korczak · DET Chiarot, Tarasenko, Compher, Berggren, Seider

  33. P1 0:00Period end
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 0:45Howden: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Pietrangelo, Stone, Eichel, Howden, Hague · DET Kane, Holl, Larkin, DeBrincat, Edvinsson

  36. P2 1:47Shot by Seider, saved by Hill4v5
  37. P2 1:49Goal by Kane (Seider, Larkin)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Pietrangelo, McNabb, Stone, Eichel · DET Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond

  38. P2 2:32Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Hill
  39. P2 3:42Shot by Korczak, saved by Talbot
  40. P2 5:12Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Hill
  41. P2 6:26Shot by Kolesar, saved by Talbot
  42. P2 7:07Goal by Stone (Pietrangelo, Hanifin)+13 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Pietrangelo, Stone, Barbashev, Hanifin, Eichel · DET Chiarot, Larkin, Rasmussen, Johansson, Raymond

  43. P2 7:16Seider: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Saad, Hertl, Korczak, Dorofeyev · DET Smith, Tarasenko, Compher, Lagesson, Seider

  44. P2 7:24Shot by Dorofeyev, saved by Talbot5v4
  45. P2 8:02Goal by Hertl (Stone, Eichel)5v4+6 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Stone, Hertl, Hanifin, Eichel, Dorofeyev · DET Holl, Motte, Larkin, Edvinsson

  46. P2 8:23Shot by Johansson, saved by Hill
  47. P2 8:30Shot by Chiarot, saved by Hill
  48. P2 9:26Shot by Whitecloud, saved by Talbot
  49. P2 11:24Shot by Hanifin, saved by Talbot
  50. P2 15:00Shot by Watson, saved by Hill
  51. P2 15:21Shot by Kane, saved by Hill
  52. P2 16:10Shot by Saad, saved by Talbot
  53. P2 18:36Shot by Johansson, saved by Hill
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 1:12Shot by Eichel, saved by Talbot
  57. P3 2:41Shot by Berggren, saved by Hill
  58. P3 4:12Shot by Chiarot, saved by Hill
  59. P3 4:20Shot by Kolesar, saved by Talbot
  60. P3 5:21Shot by Seider, saved by Hill
  61. P3 6:29Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Hill
  62. P3 7:57Shot by Karlsson, saved by Talbot
  63. P3 8:15Shot by Barbashev, saved by Talbot
  64. P3 8:25Shot by Barbashev, saved by Talbot
  65. P3 8:33Shot by Stone, saved by Talbot
  66. P3 9:36Goal by DeBrincat (Kane, Edvinsson)+3 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Saad, Hertl, Hague, Whitecloud, Dorofeyev · DET Kane, Chiarot, DeBrincat, Johansson, Kasper

  67. P3 10:16Shot by Dorofeyev, saved by Talbot
  68. P3 10:18Shot by Saad, saved by Talbot
  69. P3 10:19Shot by Saad, saved by Talbot
  70. P3 11:58Shot by Smith, saved by Talbot
  71. P3 15:25Shot by Hanifin, saved by Talbot
  72. P3 15:44Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Hill
  73. P3 16:09Shot by Smith, saved by Hill
  74. P3 17:30Shot by Berggren, saved by Hill5v6
  75. P3 17:59Goal by Eichel (Barbashev)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Stone, Barbashev, Hanifin, Eichel, Whitecloud · DET Tarasenko, Watson, Compher, Berggren, Edvinsson, Kasper

  76. P3 18:54Shot by Chiarot, saved by Hill
  77. P3 18:56Whitecloud: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: VGK Saad, Hertl, Hanifin, Whitecloud, Dorofeyev · DET Kane, Chiarot, DeBrincat, Seider, Kasper

  78. P3 18:56Chiarot: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: VGK Saad, Hertl, Hanifin, Whitecloud, Dorofeyev · DET Kane, Chiarot, DeBrincat, Seider, Kasper

  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final