Sun, Mar 23, 2025·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Boston Bruins 2, Los Angeles Kings 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 75% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 15 | 17 | 01 | 213 |
| LAK | 28 | 28 | 37 | 723 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:19BOSElias LindholmAssists: Cole Koepke · Backhand, 0.14 xG1–0
- P1 2:43LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Adrian Kempe, Brandt Clarke · Backhand, 0.16 xG1–1
- P1 19:31LAKWarren FoegeleAssists: Phillip Danault, Trevor Lewis · Wrist, 0.18 xG1–2
- P2 2:07BOSMorgan GeekieAssists: Pavel Zacha · Wrist, 0.17 xG2–2
- P2 8:46LAKDrew DoughtyGWGAssists: Mikey Anderson, Quinton Byfield · Slap, 0.06 xG2–3
- P2 17:38LAKAndrei KuzmenkoAssists: Adrian Kempe, Jordan Spence · Slap, 0.06 xG2–4
- P3 4:05LAKQuinton ByfieldAssists: Kevin Fiala, Alex Laferriere · Wrist, 0.08 xG2–5
- P3 9:20LAKTanner JeannotAssists: Brandt Clarke, Joel Edmundson · Tip-in, 0.07 xG2–6
- P3 16:03LAKSamuel HeleniusAssists: Joel Edmundson, Tanner Jeannot · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–7
Penalties (7)
- P2 9:14LAKMikey Anderson: Tripping2 min
- P2 14:13LAKDarcy Kuemper: Goalie leave crease2 min
- P2 14:13BOSJeremy Swayman: Goalie leave crease2 min
- P2 14:13LAKDarcy Kuemper: Roughing removing opponents helmet2 min
- P2 14:13BOSMarat Khusnutdinov: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 6:07BOSMorgan Geekie: Roughing2 min
- P3 6:07LAKBrandt Clarke: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Lindholm won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- Pastrnak – Mittelstadt – Khusnutdinov12:02
xG 0.18–0.29 (38%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
- Zacha – Geekie – Lysell11:28
xG 0.35–0.58 (38%)attempts 12–8goals 1–2
- Lindholm – Lettieri – Koepke8:01
xG 0.20–0.52 (28%)attempts 4–9goals 1–1
- Brown – Lauko – Beecher8:26
xG 0.02–0.44 (4%)attempts 1–10goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- Wotherspoon – Callahan16:34
xG 0.29–0.38 (43%)attempts 10–11goals 1–0
- Zadorov – Jokiharju16:45
xG 0.22–0.65 (26%)attempts 9–11goals 0–1
- Peeke – Lohrei17:13
xG 0.19–1.52 (11%)attempts 5–25goals 1–3
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestJeannot – Turcotte – Helenius9:19
xG 0.80–0.06 (93%)attempts 10–3goals 2–0
- Fiala – Byfield – Laferriere14:43
xG 0.98–0.34 (74%)attempts 18–12goals 2–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Kuzmenko11:51
xG 0.63–0.21 (75%)attempts 13–5goals 2–1
- Lewis – Danault – Foegele13:35
xG 0.22–0.19 (53%)attempts 6–5goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestEdmundson – Clarke15:18
xG 1.06–0.40 (73%)attempts 14–9goals 3–1
- Doughty – Anderson17:07
xG 0.64–0.20 (76%)attempts 15–6goals 3–1
- Gavrikov – Spence14:42
xG 0.59–0.19 (76%)attempts 17–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 75% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).