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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 29, 2025·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Buffalo Sabres 4, Philadelphia Flyers 7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 51% of the time.

PHI winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:39Shot by Konecny, saved by Luukkonen
  3. P1 2:45Shot by Power, saved by Ersson
  4. P1 4:43Shot by Power, saved by Ersson
  5. P1 5:27Goal by Michkov (Konecny, Zamula)+11 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Konecny, York, Drysdale, Michkov · BUF Bryson, Krebs, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  6. P1 5:56Goal by Pelletier (Tippett, Poehling)+11 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Tippett, Poehling, York, Pelletier, Drysdale · BUF Zucker, Tuch, Bryson, Samuelsson, Krebs

  7. P1 6:28Shot by Rosen, saved by Ersson
  8. P1 9:14Shot by Seeler, saved by Luukkonen
  9. P1 9:33Shot by Benson, saved by Ersson
  10. P1 9:41Shot by Foerster, saved by Luukkonen
  11. P1 10:23Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Luukkonen
  12. P1 10:33Shot by Couturier, saved by Luukkonen
  13. P1 10:57Goal by Quinn (Peterka, McLeod)+11 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Deslauriers, Couturier, Konecny, York, Drysdale · BUF Clifton, McLeod, Byram, Quinn, Peterka

  14. P1 12:11Kulich: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Tippett, Poehling, Zamula, Pelletier, Andrae · BUF Thompson, Bernard-Docker, Power, Kulich, Benson

  15. P1 13:09Foerster: Boarding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Konecny, Brink, Foerster, Michkov · BUF Malenstyn, Bryson, Byram, Benson

  16. P1 13:14Shot by Power, saved by Ersson4v4
  17. P1 17:43Shot by York, saved by Luukkonen
  18. P1 18:38Shot by Poehling, saved by Luukkonen
  19. P1 18:53Shot by Drysdale, saved by Luukkonen
  20. P1 19:44Shot by Brink, saved by Luukkonen
  21. P1 19:58Shot by Sanheim, saved by Luukkonen
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 1:41Goal by Peterka (Quinn, Krebs)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Konecny, Poehling, Zamula, Andrae, Michkov · BUF Clifton, Krebs, Byram, Quinn, Peterka

  25. P2 4:21Shot by Clifton, saved by Ersson
  26. P2 5:16Shot by Konecny, saved by Luukkonen
  27. P2 6:18Abols: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Deslauriers, Abols, Lycksell, Zamula, Andrae · BUF Clifton, Malenstyn, Byram, Rosen, Kozak

  28. P2 7:35Shot by Zucker, saved by Ersson4v5
  29. P2 8:13Goal by Quinn (McLeod, Power)4v5+23 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Cates, York, Drysdale, Foerster · BUF McLeod, Quinn, Power, Kulich, Benson

  30. P2 9:04Shot by Tippett, saved by Luukkonen
  31. P2 10:36Goal by Michkov (Konecny)+24 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Couturier, Sanheim, Konecny, Michkov · BUF Clifton, Thompson, Byram, Kulich, Benson

  32. P2 10:58Shot by Tuch, saved by Ersson
  33. P2 11:26Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Ersson
  34. P2 11:59Shot by Tippett, saved by Luukkonen
  35. P2 12:05Shot by Sanheim, saved by Luukkonen
  36. P2 14:11Goal by Cates (Foerster, Brink)+20 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Sanheim, Cates, Brink, Foerster · BUF Thompson, Bryson, Samuelsson, Rosen, Kulich

  37. P2 15:49Shot by Michkov, saved by Luukkonen
  38. P2 19:35Shot by Kulich, saved by Ersson
  39. P2 19:42Shot by Couturier, saved by Luukkonen
  40. P2 0:00Period end
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 1:10Shot by Michkov, saved by Luukkonen
  43. P3 3:40Shot by Sanheim, saved by Luukkonen
  44. P3 4:07Shot by Thompson, saved by Ersson
  45. P3 4:53Krebs: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Tippett, Poehling, Zamula, Pelletier, Drysdale · BUF Zucker, Tuch, Bryson, Samuelsson, Krebs

  46. P3 5:16Shot by McLeod, saved by Ersson5v4
  47. P3 5:28Shot by Couturier, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  48. P3 6:39Goal by Poehling (Tippett, Lycksell)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Tippett, Poehling, Cates, Lycksell, Drysdale · BUF Malenstyn, Bryson, McLeod, Byram

  49. P3 7:26Shot by Brink, saved by Luukkonen
  50. P3 7:51Shot by Thompson, saved by Ersson
  51. P3 9:26Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Luukkonen
  52. P3 9:28Shot by Abols, saved by Luukkonen
  53. P3 10:13Goal by Foerster (Brink, Cates)+3 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Sanheim, Cates, Brink, Foerster · BUF Thompson, Byram, Power, Kulich, Benson

  54. P3 11:40Shot by Michkov, saved by Luukkonen
  55. P3 12:33Shot by Rosen, saved by Ersson
  56. P3 12:55Shot by Poehling, saved by Luukkonen
  57. P3 13:42Shot by Andrae, saved by Luukkonen
  58. P3 14:23Benson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Sanheim, Cates, Brink, Foerster · BUF Clifton, Thompson, Bryson, Kulich, Benson

  59. P3 14:31Shot by McLeod, saved by Ersson5v4
  60. P3 15:05Goal by Tuch (McLeod)5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Konecny, Brink, Foerster, Michkov · BUF Tuch, Bryson, Krebs, Byram

  61. P3 15:34Goal by Poehling (Cates)5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Tippett, Poehling, Cates, Lycksell, Drysdale · BUF Bryson, Krebs, Byram, Quinn

  62. P3 19:24Shot by Clifton, saved by Ersson
  63. P3 19:28Shot by Krebs, saved by Ersson
  64. P3 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Final