Sun, Mar 30, 2025·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
San Jose Sharks 1, Los Angeles Kings 8
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 80% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | 07 | 18 | 08 | 123 |
| LAK | 28 | 418 | 210 | 836 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:35LAKPhillip DanaultAssists: Quinton Byfield, Trevor Moore · Slap, 0.08 xG0–1
- P1 15:13LAKAdrian KempePPGWGAssists: Anze Kopitar, Drew Doughty · Snap, 0.25 xG0–2
- P2 4:52SJSCam LundAssists: Mario Ferraro · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–2
- P2 6:57LAKTrevor MooreAssists: Anze Kopitar, Andrei Kuzmenko · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–3
- P2 13:31LAKWarren FoegelePPAssists: Brandt Clarke, Quinton Byfield · Deflected, 0.13 xG1–4
- P2 19:03LAKWarren FoegeleAssists: Mikey Anderson, Drew Doughty · Tip-in, 0.12 xG1–5
- P2 19:38LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Vladislav Gavrikov, Andrei Kuzmenko · Slap, 0.16 xG1–6
- P3 14:49LAKAndrei KuzmenkoAssists: Anze Kopitar, Vladislav Gavrikov · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–7
- P3 15:22LAKTrevor LewisAssists: Jacob Moverare, Jordan Spence · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–8
Penalties (10)
- P1 3:29SJSNoah Gregor: Holding2 min
- P1 10:18LAKDrew Doughty: Slashing2 min
- P1 10:37LAKPhillip Danault: High sticking2 min
- P1 13:18SJSNoah Gregor: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 2:33SJSCam Lund: Tripping2 min
- P2 9:37SJSMario Ferraro: Hooking2 min
- P2 11:49SJSMario Ferraro: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 3:47LAKMikey Anderson: Roughing2 min
- P3 3:47LAKMikey Anderson: Cross checking2 min
- P3 3:47SJSLuca Cagnoni: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Dellandrea
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestGoodrow – Grundstrom – Ostapchuk9:54
xG 0.61–0.32 (66%)attempts 12–10goals 0–0
- Wennberg – Eklund – Smith9:09
xG 0.23–0.29 (44%)attempts 7–10goals 0–2
- Toffoli – Lund – Celebrini10:08
xG 0.40–0.59 (41%)attempts 13–13goals 0–1
- Gregor – Dellandrea – Graf9:01
xG 0.07–0.41 (15%)attempts 5–12goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Cagnoni13:19
xG 0.59–0.31 (65%)attempts 18–15goals 0–0
- Carlsson – Liljegren12:43
xG 0.56–0.71 (44%)attempts 10–16goals 0–3
- Ferraro – Mukhamadullin15:10
xG 0.28–0.93 (23%)attempts 10–21goals 0–3
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestFiala – Byfield – Malott8:57
xG 0.69–0.17 (81%)attempts 13–4goals 0–0
- Danault – Foegele – Moore7:48
xG 0.24–0.08 (75%)attempts 11–4goals 1–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Kuzmenko10:36
xG 0.63–0.62 (51%)attempts 16–11goals 2–0
- Lewis – Malott – Helenius5:09
xG 0.07–0.12 (36%)attempts 4–10goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestMoverare – Spence6:33
xG 0.61–0.21 (75%)attempts 9–2goals 2–0
- Moverare – Clarke2:51
xG 0.27–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Edmundson – Clarke9:17
xG 0.06–0.12 (35%)attempts 7–6goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 80% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − SJS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).